LEEM Advisory Board Meeting ACCELERATING An “Environmentally Sensitive Electricity” FUTURE September 1, 2015 Wayne State University Detroit, MI
Agenda WELCOME & Introductions 10:30 Updates 11:00 Project #991 Wrap Up Commercialization Milestones I-Corps Pilots/HCS 11:30 Lunch 12:00 Validation 12:30 LEEM 3.0 2:30 Next Steps 2:45 Adjourn 3:00
Updates Since Last Meeting
#991 Wrap Up Accomplished or exceeded all project objectives on time and on budget LEEM Additions & Improvements Expansion Market Research Technology Transfer Roadmap
LEEM 2.5 Technical Improvements Include … Coverage Prime Mover/Fuels Generation Cost/Generator-Fuel Probability Distribution Functions Outputs
LEEM 2.5 ISO COVERAGE
LEEM 2.5 (Today) Location within MISO, NYISO & Date and PJMISO Time Tag ISO, NERC Region & eGRID Sub-Region ISO s Database EIA Tag CPN Fuel Price PM-FT Heat Archive Rate Tag LMP LMP Power Generation Cost of PM-FT Air Market & eGRID CO2, NOx, SOx, Hg, Pb Marginal Generator PM-FT PM-FT Emission rate LEEM 2.5 LEEM 3.0 LMP = Locational Marginal Price Emission rate CPN = Commercial Pricing Node (lb/kWh) PM-FT = Prime Mover-Fuel Type ISO = Independent System Operator
Stochastic Approach
Heat Rate – Generator Type Probability Distribution Functions 0.25 Heat Rate (MMBtu/MWh) ST-DFO ST-SUB 0.2 ST-NG CA,CT-NG 0.15 Probability 0.1 0.05 0 0 5 10 15 20 Heat Rate (MMBtu/MWh)
Fuel Price – Fuel Type Probability Distribution Functions 0.2 Fuel Price ($/MMBtu) 0.18 0.16 0.14 0.12 Probability 0.1 0.08 0.06 DFO(RFC) 0.04 SUB(RFC) 0.02 NG(RFC) 0 0 5 10 15 20 Fuel Price ($/MMBtu)
Generation Cost – Generator Type Probability Distribution Functions 0.35 Generation Cost ($/MWh) ST-DFO(RFC) 0.3 ST-SUB(RFC) 0.25 ST-NG(RFC) Probability 0.2 CA,CT-NG(RFC) 0.15 0.1 0.05 0 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Generation Cost ($/MWh)
LMP = f (space, time)
Day-Ahead hourly LMPs for Chicago, Detroit & Buffalo
LMP to LME LEEM methodology takes this granular information on LMP as f(time,space) and calculates LME Locational Marginal Emissions
Pilot with HCS – HEPTA Control Systems Chrysler Building – Campus Martius, Detroit Suite of over 50 Buildings Control (RT) and Carbon Footprint
Chrysler Building (Side A & B) Power Demand 8/21/2015 0:00 8/20/2015 22:48 8/20/2015 21:36 One Campus Martius Building Power Demand (Side A 8/20/2015 20:24 8/20/2015 19:12 (kW) on 08/20/2015 8/20/2015 18:00 8/20/2015 16:48 8/20/2015 15:36 8/20/2015 14:24 Date/Time 8/20/2015 13:12 & B) (kW) 8/20/2015 12:00 8/20/2015 10:48 8/20/2015 9:36 8/20/2015 8:24 8/20/2015 7:12 8/20/2015 6:00 8/20/2015 4:48 8/20/2015 3:36 8/20/2015 2:24 8/20/2015 1:12 8/20/2015 0:00 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 Power Demand (kW)
8/21/2015 0:00 8/20/2015 22:48 8/20/2015 21:36 8/20/2015 20:24 Chrysler Building (Side A & B) CO2 Emission (lb) 08/20/2015 8/20/2015 19:12 8/20/2015 18:00 8/20/2015 16:48 Chrysler Building CO2 Emission (lb) 8/20/2015 15:36 8/20/2015 14:24 8/20/2015 13:12 Date/Time 8/20/2015 12:00 8/20/2015 10:48 8/20/2015 9:36 8/20/2015 8:24 8/20/2015 7:12 8/20/2015 6:00 8/20/2015 4:48 8/20/2015 3:36 8/20/2015 2:24 CO2 8/20/2015 1:12 8/20/2015 0:00 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Pollution Emission (lb)
8/21/2015 0:00 8/20/2015 22:48 8/20/2015 21:36 8/20/2015 20:24 Accumulated CO2 Emission (lb) Chrysler Building (Side A & B) 8/20/2015 19:12 8/20/2015 18:00 8/20/2015 16:48 8/20/2015 15:36 8/20/2015 14:24 Accumulated CO2 Emission (lb) Date/Time 8/20/2015 13:12 8/20/2015 12:00 8/20/2015 10:48 8/20/2015 9:36 8/20/2015 8:24 8/20/2015 7:12 Accumulated CO2 8/20/2015 6:00 8/20/2015 4:48 8/20/2015 3:36 8/20/2015 2:24 8/20/2015 1:12 8/20/2015 0:00 35000 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 Pollution Emission (lb)
Chrysler Building (Side A & B) Pollution Emission (lb) 180 One Campus Martius Building CO2 Emission (lb) C… 160 Pollution Emission (lb) 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 0:00 1:12 2:24 3:36 4:48 6:00 7:12 8:24 9:36 10:48 12:00 13:12 14:24 15:36 16:48 18:00 19:12 20:24 21:36 22:48 0:00 Date/Time 0.000016 Hg & Pb Emission (lb) 0.4 H NOx & SOx Emission (lb) 0.000014 NO G 0.35 x Pollution Emission (lb) 0.000012 Pollution Emission (lb) 0.3 0.00001 0.25 0.000008 0.2 0.000006 0.15 0.000004 0.1 0.000002 0.05 0 0 0:00 1:12 2:24 3:36 4:48 6:00 7:12 8:24 9:36 10:48 12:00 13:12 14:24 15:36 16:48 18:00 19:12 20:24 21:36 22:48 0:00 0:00 1:12 2:24 3:36 4:48 6:00 7:12 8:24 9:36 10:48 12:00 13:12 14:24 15:36 16:48 18:00 19:12 20:24 21:36 22:48 0:00 Date/Time Date/Time
8/21/2015 0:00 DECO.RVRRGE2 Gh & Pb Emission Rate 8/20/2015 22:48 8/20/2015 21:36 8/20/2015 20:24 8/20/2015 19:12 8/20/2015 18:00 Campus Martius Building) Emission Rates (lb/MWh) on 08/20/2015 (5 min intervals) DECO.RVRRGE2 CPN (Closest CPN to One 8/20/2015 16:48 8/20/2015 15:36 (lb/MWh) 8/20/2015 14:24 Date/Time 8/20/2015 13:12 8/20/2015 12:00 8/20/2015 10:48 8/20/2015 9:36 8/21/2015 0:00 8/20/2015 8:24 8/20/2015 22:48 8/20/2015 7:12 8/20/2015 21:36 DECO.RVRRGE2 CO2 Emission Rate 8/20/2015 6:00 8/20/2015 20:24 8/20/2015 4:48 8/20/2015 19:12 8/20/2015 3:36 8/20/2015 18:00 8/20/2015 2:24 8/20/2015 16:48 H G 8/20/2015 1:12 8/20/2015 15:36 8/20/2015 0:00 (lb/MWh) 2.00E-04 1.80E-04 1.60E-04 1.40E-04 1.20E-04 1.00E-04 8.00E-05 6.00E-05 4.00E-05 2.00E-05 0.00E+00 8/20/2015 14:24 Date/Time 8/20/2015 13:12 Emission Rate (lb/MWh) 8/20/2015 12:00 DECO.RVRRGE2 NOx & SOx Emission Rate 8/21/2015 0:00 8/20/2015 10:48 8/20/2015 22:48 8/20/2015 9:36 8/20/2015 21:36 8/20/2015 8:24 8/20/2015 20:24 8/20/2015 7:12 8/20/2015 19:12 8/20/2015 6:00 8/20/2015 18:00 8/20/2015 4:48 8/20/2015 16:48 8/20/2015 3:36 (lb/MWh) C… 8/20/2015 15:36 8/20/2015 2:24 8/20/2015 14:24 8/20/2015 1:12 Date/Time 8/20/2015 13:12 8/20/2015 0:00 2000 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 8/20/2015 12:00 Emission Rate (lb/MWh) 8/20/2015 10:48 8/20/2015 9:36 8/20/2015 8:24 8/20/2015 7:12 8/20/2015 6:00 8/20/2015 4:48 8/20/2015 3:36 O… 8/20/2015 2:24 N 8/20/2015 1:12 8/20/2015 0:00 5 4 3 2 1 0 4.5 3.5 2.5 1.5 0.5 Emission Rate (lb/MWh)
Campus Martius Building) on 08/20/2015 (5 min at DECO.RVRRGE2 CPN (Closest CPN to One 8/21/2015 0:00 PM-FT Probability as a Marginal Unit (All 14 8/21/2015 0:00 8/20/2015 22:48 8/20/2015 22:48 8/20/2015 21:36 8/20/2015 21:36 PM-FT Probability as a Marginal Unit (PM-FTs with ST- BIT 8/20/2015 20:24 8/20/2015 20:24 8/20/2015 19:12 8/20/2015 19:12 8/20/2015 18:00 8/20/2015 18:00 intervals) 8/20/2015 16:48 8/20/2015 16:48 GT-DFO ST-DFO 8/20/2015 15:36 ST-LIG GT-NG ST-NG 8/20/2015 15:36 Non-Aero Probability) 8/20/2015 14:24 PM-FT) Date/Time 8/20/2015 14:24 Date/Time 8/20/2015 13:12 8/20/2015 13:12 8/20/2015 12:00 8/20/2015 12:00 8/20/2015 10:48 CA-CT-DFO 8/20/2015 10:48 CA-CT-NG 8/20/2015 9:36 IC-DFO 8/20/2015 9:36 ST-BIT CS-NG 8/20/2015 8:24 8/20/2015 8:24 8/20/2015 7:12 8/20/2015 7:12 8/20/2015 6:00 8/20/2015 6:00 8/20/2015 4:48 8/20/2015 4:48 8/20/2015 3:36 8/20/2015 3:36 8/20/2015 2:24 8/20/2015 2:24 8/20/2015 1:12 8/20/2015 1:12 8/20/2015 0:00 8/20/2015 0:00 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Emission Rate (lb/MWh) 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Emission Rate (lb/MWh)
Commercialization Milestones Awareness/Promo LEEM: Connecting Energy Consumption to Real Time Emissions Impacts (Webinar 4/17/15; 90 Participants) Accelerating the Future of Environmentally Sensitive Electricity (Symposium 5/19/15; 30 Attendees; Chicago) Recent interactions with EPA …. CLEAN POWER PLAN Pilots Underway Hepta Control Systems/Bedrock Real Estate (Detroit) Wayne State University/Siemens (Detroit) WattTime/EcoMotorWorks (Chicago) New Startup Company: Energy Emissions Intelligence LLC (E2i) To commercialize LEEM In negotiation with Wayne State University for license Hope to open for business in next few months
Funding Recent NSF Grant Urban Water Center Upcoming Proposals Great Lakes Protection Fund Illinois Science & Energy Innovation Foundation Energy Emissions Intelligence LLC
I-Corps at NEXTEnergy May to June 2015 Carol Miller, Guoyao Xu, Chris Theriot, Steve Miller, Gavin McCormick Customer Discovery 84 customer discovery interviews (utility , energy policy , and corporate landscapes) Strong interest across market segments in LEEM’s transparency and ability to time-shift energy to lower emissions. No one rejected the concept Value Proposition Means to differentiate from competition and engage customer on sustainability issues Concrete and measurable sustainability and green marketing tool Appeals to customers motivated by interest rather than current ‘pain point’ Appeal for LEEM to increase significantly when EPA regulates carbon emissions Initial Target Customers Energy managers/energy management software-hardware companies Grid-connected devices/software integrators
Pilots
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