Key Social Impact Measurements after One Year Metric Quantitative Progress No Progress Target Met Data Insufficient # of dependents 1. Poverty Alleviation 185 # of dependents 122 eligible for school #of dependents in 185 school % eligible dependents 98% in school % Literacy 85% 2. Personal Development % Home Ownership 19% % with Electricity 19% % With Access To 27% Clean Water % with at least 20% secondary school education
Macroeconomic Impact Macroeconomic Impact Liberia’s only value -added exports in 2011 & 2012 Successfully lobbied for Liberia’s acceptance into the AGOA textile trade agreement
Post-conflict Success Story
How is L&J Financed? • $3.6MM in equity finance from foundations and other mission-related investors • Additional short and long-term debt from impact funds at attractive interest rates • How to replicate? • What about the risk?
Novametrics Novametrics, LLC Developed for the US Military Africa Command to: Optimize investments in peace-keeping activities that promote poverty-reduction and political stability. Identifying breeding grounds for conflict
Techniques originally developed for enhanced “signal processing” are applied to identify investments with the highest profitability and socio-economic benefit. Individual image “stacking” of quality multiple images
Optimizing Profit & Impact: Business identified by analyzing over 2,000 factors and evaluating over 100 potential opportunities. Consideration of All Potential Factors to Create the Most Effective and Profitable Business Objective and Quantitative Data Collection & Analysis Extensive Evaluation of Risks, Markets, and Profitability Optimization Analysis to Identify Highest Returns and Impact
Novametrics was awarded $1M for “innovative research” following its proof-of-concept that successfully predicted breeding grounds of the Boko Haram terrorists. youthlit youthlitm youthlitf unemp totlit totfemlit totmalelit housesize dollarday uniapptotal uniappmale uniappfem babyimmdpt babyimmhepb genderparity earlymarriage water sanitate malaria poverty 5 4 3 2 1 0 -1 -2 -3 -4 -5
Data ‘Stacking” allowed Novametrics to identify the regions most susceptible to conflict AND to identify the factors that made these regions vulnerable. 25 Abuja (capitol city) 15 5 Plateau -5 Kaduna Zamfara Taraba Kebbi Gombe Borno Kano -15 Sokoto (1st BH HQ's) Yobe Jigawa Bauchi Katsina (2nd BH HQ's) -25 States within Nigeria • “Weak signal” analysis reveals counties (below red line) that we predict are vulnerable to Boko Haram. • Predictions are confirmed: States marked with red have had major attacks by Boko Haram. • States that are below the line but not red are considered to have the combined characteristics that would make them supportive of the Boko Haram. Novametrics LLC Proprietary Content
Liberia: Identified as highest potential for: 1) financial profitability, 2) environmental-sustainability, 3) economic development (with highest human health benefits).
What about the risk?
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