introduction
play

Introduction Jayendran Venkateswaran IEOR, IIT Bombay A systems - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Dec 28, 2022 •231 likes •464 views

IE604 System Dynamics Modeling & Analysis Introduction Jayendran Venkateswaran IEOR, IIT Bombay A systems perspective Reactive Low Events and Decisions Leverage Adaptive Patterns of Behavior Generative High System Structure

  1. IE604 System Dynamics Modeling & Analysis Introduction Jayendran Venkateswaran IEOR, IIT Bombay

  2. A systems perspective Reactive Low Events and Decisions Leverage Adaptive Patterns of Behavior Generative High System Structure Leverage Source: Lecture notes on An Introduction to System Dynamics by George Richardson, University of Albany IEOR, IIT Bombay Jayendran Venkateswaran

  3. How have we been ‘solving’ problems? p Open Loop Thinking Identify Evaluate Select Gather Data Implement Problem Alternatives Solution p Event oriented view of solving problems Goal Problem Decision Result Situation IEOR, IIT Bombay Jayendran Venkateswaran

  4. Source: Lecture notes on Introduction to System Dynamics by John Sterman, MIT IEOR, IIT Bombay Jayendran Venkateswaran

  5. Source: Lecture notes on Introduction to System Dynamics by John Sterman, MIT IEOR, IIT Bombay Jayendran Venkateswaran

  6. Source: Lecture notes on Introduction to System Dynamics by John Sterman, MIT IEOR, IIT Bombay Jayendran Venkateswaran

  7. Why does this happen? p Short term focus p Delays p Feedback p Unintended consequences p Unanticipated consequences n “Not my fault!” p Counter-intuitive behavior p Policy resistance IEOR, IIT Bombay Jayendran Venkateswaran

  8. Systems thinking p Give a man a fish and you feed him for a day; teach a man to fish and you feed him for a lifetime n A popular Chinese proverb p Is this adequate? Source: Systems Thinking, Bowman et al., Oxfam (2015) IEOR, IIT Bombay Jayendran Venkateswaran

  9. Moving towards a systems view Decisions Goals "Side" Effect State of the System More "Side" Effects Goal of Other Agents Action of Others IEOR, IIT Bombay Jayendran Venkateswaran

  10. Moving towards a systems view Decisions Goals "Side" Effect State of the System More "Side" Effects Goal of Other Agents Action of Others IEOR, IIT Bombay Jayendran Venkateswaran

  11. Moving towards a systems view Decisions Goals "Side" Effect State of the System More "Side" Effects Goal of Other Agents Action of Others IEOR, IIT Bombay Jayendran Venkateswaran

  12. Moving towards a systems view Decisions Goals "Side" Effect State of the System More "Side" Effects Goal of Other Agents Action of Others IEOR, IIT Bombay Jayendran Venkateswaran

  13. Moving towards a systems view Decisions Goals "Side" Effect State of the System More "Side" Effects Goal of Other Agents Action of Others IEOR, IIT Bombay Jayendran Venkateswaran

  14. How do we do Systems Thinking ? p Dynamics thinking (graphs over time) p Causal thinking (feedback loops) p Stock-and-Flow thinking (accumulations) p Thinking endogenously (system as cause) These characterize System Dynamics Approach Source: Lecture notes on An Introduction to System Dynamics by George Richardson, University of Albany IEOR, IIT Bombay Jayendran Venkateswaran

  15. India’s car production (2008-2018) IEOR, IIT Bombay Jayendran Venkateswaran

  16. Example causal loop diagram + + Rat Death Rate Birth Rate Population - - + + Population Infant Area Mortality Density - + IEOR, IIT Bombay Jayendran Venkateswaran

  17. Stock-Flow model of Epidemics Recovered Infectious Susceptible Population population population (R) Recovery (S) Infection Rate (I) Rate (RR) (IR) Average duration of infectivity (d) Contact Rate (c) Infectivity (i) Total Population (N) IEOR, IIT Bombay Jayendran Venkateswaran

  18. System Dynamics Methodology p System Dynamics Methodology is modeling technique to frame, understand, and discuss complex issues and problems. n Focus on behavior of the system n System boundaries and variables n Inter-relation between variables n Learn from the model development process n Identify and use measurable variables n Iterative model development process p Build, study, simulate, observe, learn and improve • System Dynamics Methodology IEOR, IIT Bombay Jayendran Venkateswaran

  19. What we are going to do in this course p Learn System Dynamics methodology n Causal Loop Diagram n Stock Flow diagram p To elicit mental models of business, social, economic and environmental systems n Expand mental models by explicitly accounting for feedback and delays p Test and improve model using computer simulation p Analyze the model and simulation results correctly IEOR, IIT Bombay Jayendran Venkateswaran

  20. Textbook and references p John Sterman, Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World , Irwin/McGraw-Hill (2000). p Craig W. Kirkwood, S ystem Dynamics: A Quick Introduction , Arizona State University (1998) [ Available online at: http://www.public.asu.edu/~kirkwood/sysdy n/SDIntro/SDIntro.htm ] p Others reading material as provided/ indicated in class p Computer Usage: Vensim, Python, R IEOR, IIT Bombay Jayendran Venkateswaran

  21. Course Assessment (TBD) p Exams p Quizzes p Assignments p Project/ Presentation p Others p Audit students must have sufficient performance to obtain a CC & should maintain sufficient attendance IEOR, IIT Bombay Jayendran Venkateswaran

  22. Points to Note p It is assumed that you are intelligent, capable and willing to learn. n Ask question any time during the lectures p Do attend the lectures n You may find it useful n Instructor (me!) will be happy to see a full class n You may actually learn something p Be on time p Moodle used for announcements & interactions. p Lectures (M 10:35 – 11:30, T 11:35-12:30, Th: 8:30-9:25) n On Tuesdays we may go up to 1pm n On Thursdays we may start a little early, say 8:15am (esp. for tests) n I will announce any such updates in advance. IEOR, IIT Bombay Jayendran Venkateswaran

Recommend

INTRODUCTION INTRODUCTION INTRODUCTION INTRODUCTION INTRODUCTION INTRODUCTION INTRODUCTION

INTRODUCTION INTRODUCTION INTRODUCTION INTRODUCTION INTRODUCTION INTRODUCTION INTRODUCTION

TRAINING COURSE ON SOCIAL PROTECTION & FORMALIZATION TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO MARCH 15, 2017 INTRODUCTION INTRODUCTION INTRODUCTION INTRODUCTION INTRODUCTION INTRODUCTION INTRODUCTION INTRODUCTION Design of the NIS Assistance from the

547 views • 23 slides
INTRODUCTION Introduction 2/42 INTRODUCTION Alternations I am giving bread to the

INTRODUCTION Introduction 2/42 INTRODUCTION Alternations I am giving bread to the

Patterns of variation in the expression of case and agreement Andrs Brny Leiden University Centre for Linguistics 9 November 2019, BaSIS Workshop a.barany@hum.leidenuniv.nl INTRODUCTION Introduction 2/42 INTRODUCTION

1.37k views • 42 slides
Introduction Introduction Introduction Introduction Outline Motivation Failures

Introduction Introduction Introduction Introduction Outline Motivation Failures

Introduction Introduction Introduction Introduction Outline Motivation Failures Definition and concepts Process and product properties Principles SE Approaches Motivation Software and the economy The economies of

1.03k views • 49 slides
Introduction Introduction Introduction Nationwide Cause for Concern 1

Introduction Introduction Introduction Nationwide Cause for Concern 1

Introduction Introduction Introduction Nationwide Cause for Concern 1 https://www.cdc.gov/std/stats17/infographic.htm Introduction Epidemiology in Western Colorado CPHE Surveillance Data Report, May 2018 Chlamydia Epidemiology in Western

977 views • 39 slides
DAQ introduction Purpose of this talk : (1) Introduction for those who have not been in every

DAQ introduction Purpose of this talk : (1) Introduction for those who have not been in every

DAQ introduction Purpose of this talk : (1) Introduction for those who have not been in every meeting (2) Some ideas of diagrams for section 7.1 (Introduction) of TP. Giles Barr 25 Jan 2018, Pembroke College On DUNE, the reality is there is a

474 views • 10 slides
INTRODUCTION cf. Schneider, Chapter 1 INTRODUCTION THEY ARE OUT TO GET YOU INTRODUCTION WHAT

INTRODUCTION cf. Schneider, Chapter 1 INTRODUCTION THEY ARE OUT TO GET YOU INTRODUCTION WHAT

ADVANCED COMPUTER SECURITY INTRODUCTION cf. Schneider, Chapter 1 INTRODUCTION THEY ARE OUT TO GET YOU INTRODUCTION WHAT IS SECURITY? A systems security policies describe What the system is supposed to do Store and provide access

479 views • 16 slides
Overview Introduction to SMIL Introduction to W3C and XML Introduction to SMIL

Overview Introduction to SMIL Introduction to W3C and XML Introduction to SMIL

Overview Introduction to SMIL Introduction to W3C and XML Introduction to SMIL Writing a SMIL file Adding Media Objects Martin Halvey Clipping media files January 2008 Timing and Synchronising Layout World Wide

387 views • 14 slides
14 Introduction Introduction Bad guys can put malware into Example: hosts

14 Introduction Introduction Bad guys can put malware into Example: hosts

Introduction Introduction source Encapsulation ISO/OSI reference model message M application segment H t H t M transport network datagram H n H n H t M presentation: allow applications to frame link H l H n H t M interpret

583 views • 4 slides
Previous Lecture Introduction to SMIL 2 Introduction to W3C and XML Introduction to SMIL

Previous Lecture Introduction to SMIL 2 Introduction to W3C and XML Introduction to SMIL

Previous Lecture Introduction to SMIL 2 Introduction to W3C and XML Introduction to SMIL Writing a SMIL file Adding Media Objects Martin Halvey Clipping media files January 2008 Timing and Synchronising Layout

322 views • 8 slides
Lecture 1 Andreas Habegger Introduction Zynq Introduction Zynq Introduction Zynq PS vs. PL

Lecture 1 Andreas Habegger Introduction Zynq Introduction Zynq Introduction Zynq PS vs. PL

Introduction Zynq Lecture 1 Andreas Habegger Introduction Zynq Introduction Zynq Introduction Zynq PS vs. PL Processing System Processor Peripherals Data Buses AXI Bus Conclusion BTE5380 - Embedded Systems Octobre 2014 Andreas Habegger

1.81k views • 30 slides
2018.06 01 SMILE5 Introduction S E 5 02 Alpha Cloud M I L 03 Company Introduction 04

2018.06 01 SMILE5 Introduction S E 5 02 Alpha Cloud M I L 03 Company Introduction 04

2018.06 01 SMILE5 Introduction S E 5 02 Alpha Cloud M I L 03 Company Introduction 04 Project References S E 5 PART.1 SMILE5 Introduction M I L Introduction STORION-SMILE5 Residential Energy Storage System Inverter 5kW Output Input

1.06k views • 25 slides
Introduction to CICS Course introduction Course introduction What is CICS? What is an

Introduction to CICS Course introduction Course introduction What is CICS? What is an

Introduction to CICS Course introduction Course introduction What is CICS? What is an application server? Why use an application server? Course introduction Services provided by CICS How CICS applications are defined Scaling CICS to meet

1.84k views • 146 slides
Network Visualization Introduction Presented by Shahed Introduction Introduction Basic

Network Visualization Introduction Presented by Shahed Introduction Introduction Basic

Network Visualization Introduction Presented by Shahed Introduction Introduction Basic building blocks Node Links (relationship between nodes) Spatial information Network data

584 views • 9 slides
Introduction Introduction (1) Main argument of the paper: universities are not only

Introduction Introduction (1) Main argument of the paper: universities are not only

Le jugement des pairs comme outil de management des universits Peer-review as a management tool Christine Musselin (CSO, Sciences Po et CNRS) Avril 2013, Lirrsistible ascension du capitalisme acadmique Introduction Introduction (1)

590 views • 28 slides
Introduction Introduction to storage and to storage and filesystems filesystems Introduction

Introduction Introduction to storage and to storage and filesystems filesystems Introduction

Moreno Baricevic Gilberto Daz Axel Kohlmeyer Stefano Cozzini ULA ICTP CNR-IOM DEMOCRITOS Merida, VENEZUELA Trieste, ITALY Trieste, ITALY Introduction Introduction to storage and to storage and filesystems filesystems Introduction

1.19k views • 51 slides
JABLOTRON JA-100 introduction November 2011 Introduction Todays goals First introduction of

JABLOTRON JA-100 introduction November 2011 Introduction Todays goals First introduction of

JABLOTRON JA-100 introduction November 2011 Introduction Todays goals First introduction of the brand new JA-100 alarm system Visions Basic architecture System components Setting Help us with final validations You are the FIRST ones

1.69k views • 111 slides
1 Introduction Introduction Communication System Baseband an adjective that describes

1 Introduction Introduction Communication System Baseband an adjective that describes

Introduction Introduction Physical Layer Mobile network Global ISP Provides the means to transmit bits Basic Concepts of from sender to receiver, Data Transmission Defines the mechanical, electrical, and Home network timing

463 views • 7 slides
Welcome! Todays Agenda: Topic Introduction Course Introduction Team Practical

Welcome! Todays Agenda: Topic Introduction Course Introduction Team Practical

INFOGR Computer Graphics Jacco Bikker - April-July 2015 - Lecture 1: Introduction Welcome! Todays Agenda: Topic Introduction Course Introduction Team Practical Details Assignments Field Study State of

869 views • 62 slides
Introduction (00) RNDr. Martin Madaras, PhD. madaras@skeletex.xyz Introduction Introduction

Introduction (00) RNDr. Martin Madaras, PhD. madaras@skeletex.xyz Introduction Introduction

Virtual and Augmented Reality Introduction (00) RNDr. Martin Madaras, PhD. madaras@skeletex.xyz Introduction Introduction Who am I? What do I do here? 2 About me Short research bio: - 2014 - finished PhD at FMFI UK - 2014 2016 -

1.3k views • 39 slides
PRESENTATION The Introduction What is the Introduction ? The introduction prepares the audience

PRESENTATION The Introduction What is the Introduction ? The introduction prepares the audience

PRESENTATION The Introduction What is the Introduction ? The introduction prepares the audience for your presentation. It tells them what your presentation is about, why it is important, and finally, what to listen for in your speech. Get the

505 views • 3 slides
How to make a presentation with L A T EX? Introduction to L A T EX Introduction to Beamer

How to make a presentation with L A T EX? Introduction to L A T EX Introduction to Beamer

Introduction to Beamer Hafida Benhidour How to make a presentation with L A T EX? Introduction to L A T EX Introduction to Beamer Introduction to Beamer Hafida Benhidour Department of computer science King Saud University November

732 views • 49 slides
Shenzhen Cuilu jewelry Co., Ltd was founded in 1996 and its a large private enterprise

Shenzhen Cuilu jewelry Co., Ltd was founded in 1996 and its a large private enterprise

Introduction Introduction - - Brief Brief Introduction Introduction of of Cuilu Cuilu Group Group Introduction Introduction - - Brief Brief Introduction Introduction of of Cuilu Cuilu Group Group Shenzhen Cuilu jewelry Co., Ltd

147 views • 14 slides
Introduction to ICS- -214 214 Introduction to ICS Official Unit / Incident Log - A V-C-N.org

Introduction to ICS- -214 214 Introduction to ICS Official Unit / Incident Log - A V-C-N.org

V olunteer C ommunications N etwork (V-C-N.org) Introduction to ICS- -214 214 Introduction to ICS Official Unit / Incident Log - A V-C-N.org Academy Course - 2012-02.24-2208 262: Introduction to ICS-214 : V-C-N.org : Slide: 1 V olunteer C

735 views • 34 slides
Introduction to ICS- -214 214 Introduction to ICS Official Unit / Incident Log - A V-C-N.org

Introduction to ICS- -214 214 Introduction to ICS Official Unit / Incident Log - A V-C-N.org

V olunteer C ommunications N etwork (V-C-N.org) Introduction to ICS- -214 214 Introduction to ICS Official Unit / Incident Log - A V-C-N.org Academy Course - 2012-02.24-2208 262: Introduction to ICS-214 : V-C-N.org : Slide: 1 V olunteer C

558 views • 18 slides

More recommend