Introduction Scalability Mobile teledensity Competition - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Introduction Scalability Mobile teledensity Competition Conclusions ACORN Conference, Brasilia, May 2010 2 Risks of: Hurricanes, typhoons, etc Vulcanism Tsunami Global warming and sea-level rises Lack of

 Introduction  Scalability  Mobile teledensity  Competition  Conclusions ACORN Conference, Brasilia, May 2010 2
 Risks of: › Hurricanes, typhoons, etc › Vulcanism › Tsunami  Global warming and sea-level rises  Lack of economies of scale  Narrow economies: › Tourism (and construction) › Fruit › Fishing › Financial services › Government ACORN Conference, Brasilia, May 2010 3
 Technology  Regulatory interventions  Parliamentary oversight  Ministry  Regulatory authority  Appellate body  Markets ACORN Conference, Brasilia, May 2010 4
180 Antigua & Barbuda 160 Aruba Bahamas 140 Bermuda 120 Cayman Islands Martinique 100 Guadeloupe Saint Lucia 80 St. Vincent & Gren. 60 Jamaica Trinidad & Tobago 40 U.S. Virgin Islands Dominica 20 Dominican Rep. 0 Grenada Saint Kitts & Nevis ACORN Conference, Brasilia, May 2010 5
 Classic options are unconvincing: › Additional operators › Mobile number portability  Classical measures are not helpful › Market shares › HHI  Need to drill down › Launch of new services › Comparative costs of baskets ACORN Conference, Brasilia, May 2010 6
Lime Digicel 0.35 0.30 0.25 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 ACORN Conference, Brasilia, May 2010 7
200 Digicel Lime 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 ACORN Conference, Brasilia, May 2010 8
highest on-net highest off-net lowest on-net lowest off-net 1.40 1.20 1.00 0.80 0.60 0.40 0.20 0.00 ACORN Conference, Brasilia, May 2010 9
 Very small states and territories  Global regulatory cookbook is not easily adjusted to fit › What are the criteria?  Conventional indicators are misleading  Requires quite detailed analysis › Surveys › Market analyses › Impact assessments ACORN Conference, Brasilia, May 2010 10
Ewan Sutherland sutherla [at] gmail [dot] com www.3wan.net www.ssrn.com/author=927092 ACORN Conference, Brasilia, May 2010 11

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