MITIGATION OF DOMAIN STATION CONSTURCTION IMPACT Mr. CHRISTOPHER FELLOWS INTRODUCTION • Owner & Resident in “THE PROMENADE”, 416A St. Kilda Rd • ORIGINAL SUBMISSION: “Why was a station on the western verge of the Shrine Precinct rejected ?” • UPDATE: The western verge was never considered • PRESENTATION TODAY: • Request Panel’s help to get a thorough, independent evaluation of alternatives for Domain • Decision Quality fundamentals 1 Presentation by C.C. Fellows on Domain Station Construction 19-Sep-16
PERSONAL BACKGROUND • The Senior Development Planning Consultant for one of the world’s largest corporations • Practising engineer for 40 years • Predominantly Concept Selection, Project Planning & Economics for very large, international oil & gas projects • Recently led a team to prepare a multi-company technical report on Decision Quality for the Society of Petroleum Engineers & the Society of Decision Professionals • I support Government investment in productive infrastructure, especially at a time when monetary policy is not working 2 Presentation by C.C. Fellows on Domain Station Construction 19-Sep-16
DECISION QUALITY HOME TRUTHS FOR MEGA PROJECTS Concept Concept Execution Gate Gate Definition Selection OPPORTUNITY COST OF TO INFLUENCE CHANGE “…we hold these truths to be self- evident……” 3 Presentation by C.C. Fellows on Domain Station Construction 19-Sep-16
IS THERE A PRIMA FACIE CASE TO LOOK AT ALTERNATIVES FOR DOMAIN? St Kilda Road Verge of Shrine precinct Long term functionality Construction Impact: Traffic - St Kilda Rd Traffic – General Area Tram rerouting ANALYSIS Shrine impact REQUIRED Utility re-routing Tree loss Noise / Dust / Vibration Schedule Schedule risk Cost Cost Risk Safety Risk PERSONAL OBSERVATIONS OF MEGA-PROJECTS HAVING MULTIPLE, INTERACTING SOCIO- ECONOMIC ISSUES IS THAT THE SOCIO-ECONOMIC ISSUES WILL TURN OUT TO BE MUCH MORE INVIDIOUS THAN FEARED Presentation by C.C. Fellows on Domain Station Construction 4 19-Sep-16
DECISION QUALITY ISSUES • ARTIFICIAL SCHEDULE PRESSURE: Time invested now will save overall project time and mitigate schedule risk. • “CONFIRMATION BIAS” BY PROJECT PROPONENT: Bias towards evidence that supports an existing proposal is inevitable. • COMPARISON OF FACTORS: Relative weighting of factors (e.g. cost & schedule vs socio- economics) is always challenging. • FREEDOM OF INFORMATION REQUESTS BY THE PUBLIC ARE LARGELY INEFFECTIVE CONCLUSION • AN INDEPENDENT TECHNICAL AUDIT OF ALTERNATIVES IS ESSENTIAL TO DECISION QUALITY 5 Presentation by C.C. Fellows on Domain Station Construction 19-Sep-16
SUMMARY • “Cut & Cover” in St Kilda Road is extremely disruptive and has very high cost and schedule risk • The alternative of the verge of the Shrine precinct has the potential to mitigate all concerns • The Shrine Precinct option has not been evaluated at all. • In light of the magnitude of the impacts of cut & cover in St Kilda Road, this boundary condition needs to be challenged. PLEASE USE THE INFLUENCE OF THE EES PROCESS TO INSIST ON A THOROUGH, INDEPENDENT ASSESSMENT OF ALTERNATIVES PRIOR TO THE PROJECT PASSING THE NEXT PROJECT “GATE ” 6 Presentation by C.C. Fellows on Domain Station Construction 19-Sep-16
BACK-UP 7 Presentation by C.C. Fellows on Domain Station Construction 19-Sep-16
Proposed Domain Station Location Tram Stop 19 Domain Interchange Cobbers Monument remains in place 8 Presentation by C.C. Fellows on Domain Station Construction 19-Sep-16
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