in India; And Their Opinions About the U.S. and Trump Bruce Stokes - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Indian Views on Modi, Conditions in India; And Their Opinions About the U.S. and Trump Bruce Stokes Director, Global Economic Attitudes India, November, 2017

Pew Research Center • Established 1996 • Funded by the Pew Charitable Trusts, Foundations • Non-profit, non-partisan fact tank in Washington • Research topics: U.S. politics Media and the news Social trends Religion Internet and technology Science Hispanics Global public opinion and migration • www.pewresearch.org 2 November 16, 2017

Methodology • In India, survey conducted from February 21 to March 10, 2017 among 2,464 respondents • Based on face-to-face interviews among adults 18 and older (conducted in the Union Territory of Delhi and in 16 of the 18 most populous states, Kerala and Assam excluded) • The margin of sampling error for the completed set of weighted data is ± 3.7% 3

KEY TAKEA KEAWAYS Sept. 18, 2015 www.pewresearch.org 4

Indians Increasingly Upbeat About Modi, the Economy and India’s Direction Source: Spring 2017 Global Attitudes Survey. 5 November 16, 2017

Indians Widely Satisfied With Their Government and Their Democracy __ the national government to do what is right for India Do not trust Trust 85% 11% __ with the way democracy is working in India Not satisfied Satisfied 11 79 Source: Spring 2017 Global Attitudes Survey. 6 November 16, 2017

But U.S. Image, Confidence in American President Lower Than in Previous Years 100 % Favorable view 74 of U.S. 58 70 55 56 53 49 56 48 40 Confidence in the U.S. president Modi takes office as Prime Minister 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Trump Obama Source: Spring 2017 Global Attitudes Survey. 7 November 16, 2017

IT’S THE ECONOMY Sept. 18, 2015 www.pewresearch.org 8

Indians Feel Very Positive About Life Today Compared With 50 Years Ago Would you say life in India today is better, worse or about the same as it was 50 years ago for people like you? About the same Worse 17% 7% Better 7% 69% Don't know Source: Spring 2017 Global Attitudes Survey. 9 November 16, 2017

A Strong Majority I s Satisfied With India’s Direction __ with the way things are going in our country today 100 % Satisfied 70 70 65 60 56 43 36 33 29 27 Dissatisfied 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Source: Spring 2017 Global Attitudes Survey. 10 November 16, 2017

No Disagreement About India’s Economic Situation How would you describe the current economic situation in India? Bad Good TOTAL 12% 83% Men 12 85 Women 12 81 18-29 10 83 30-49 12 84 50+ 16 80 BJP 7 87 INC 16 76 Primary school or less 12 81 Secondary school 12 86 Some college or more 13 87 Source: Spring 2017 Global Attitudes Survey. 11 November 16, 2017

Similarly, All Indians Think Children Will Be Better Off Financially Than Their Parents When children today in India grow up, they will be __ financially than their parents Worse off Better off TOTAL 12% 76% Men 12 78 Women 12 74 18-29 12 75 30-49 12 77 50+ 11 76 BJP 13 75 INC 11 73 Primary school or less 12 74 Secondary school 13 79 Some college or more 11 80 Source: Spring 2017 Global Attitudes Survey. 12 November 16, 2017

Nevertheless, Indians See Problems: Crime Is a Top Domestic Challenge __ is a very big problem in India Crime 84% Terrorism 76 Corrupt officials 74 Lack of employment 73 opportunities Rising prices 71 62 The situation in Kashmir Gap between the rich and poor 61 Corrupt businesspeople 59 Air pollution 54 Health care 54 Poor quality schools 48 Lack of availability of cash for 45 daily transactions Communal relations 37 Source: Spring 2017 Global Attitudes Survey. 13 November 16, 2017

And the Intensity of Indian Support for Institutions Varies Widely The influence __ is having on the way things are going in our country today is … Somewhat Very good good Total Military 62% 24% 86% National 54 32 86 government Media 39 37 76 Court system 36 32 68 Human rights 29 38 67 organizations Police 28 38 66 Corporations 20 36 56 Religious leaders 20 33 53 Source: Spring 2017 Global Attitudes Survey. 14 November 16, 2017

Moreover, Half or More Back Rule by a Strongman, the Military Would __ be a good or bad way of governing India? Bad Good Direct democracy 8% 76% Representative 8 75 democracy Rule by experts 14 65 Rule by a strong leader 28 55 Rule by the military 28 53 Full question wordings for political systems: Representative democracy, “A democratic system where representatives elected by citizens decide what becomes law”; Direct democracy, “A democratic system where citizens, not elected officials, vote directly on major natio nal issues to decide what becomes law”; Rule by experts, “Experts, not elected officials, make decisions according to what they think is be st for the country”; Rule by a strong leader, “A system in which a strong leader can make decisions without interference from parliament or the co urt s”; Rule by the military, “The military rules the country.” Source: Spring 2017 Global Attitudes Survey. 15 November 16, 2017

With BJP Supporters More Likely than Congress Supporters to Back Strong Man and Military Rule Would __ be a good way of governing our country Direct Rule by Representative Rule by a strong Rule by the democracy democracy Experts leader military % % % % % BJP 75 78 64 56 54 INC 63 59 42 36 36 Note: INC supporters more likely to offer no response to these questions. Source: Spring 2017 Global Attitudes Survey. 16 November 16, 2017

MODI REMAIN AINS S VERY POPUL ULAR AR Sept. 18, 2015 www.pewresearch.org 17

Modi and BJP More Popular Than the Gandhis and the Congress Party Views of … Unfavorable Favorable Unfavorable Favorable Narendra Modi 10% 88% BJP 12% 84% Rahul Gandhi 35 58 INC 34 59 Sonia Gandhi 36 57 AAP 42 34 Arvind Kejriwal 40 39 Source: Spring 2017 Global Attitudes Survey. 18 November 16, 2017

Men, Women, People of All Ages and Educational Levels Have Favorable Opinion of Modi Views of Narendra Modi Unfavorable Favorable TOTAL 10% 88% Men 10 89 Women 10 86 18-29 9 89 30-49 8 90 50+ 15 82 BJP 2 97 INC 33 65 Primary school or less 12 85 Secondary school 7 92 Some college or more 5 94 Source: Spring 2017 Global Attitudes Survey. 19 November 16, 2017

But There is a Deep Partisan Divide in Views of Prime Minister Modi Source: Spring 2017 Global Attitudes Survey. 20 November 16, 2017

And Differing Assessments of Modi’s Handling of Domestic Issues Approve of the way Prime Minister Narendra Modi is handling … The Helping Communal Air Rising situation Unemployment Terrorism Corruption the poor relations pollution prices in Kashmir % % % % % % % % TOTAL 72 71 70 72 50 48 57 60 Men 76 76 73 75 56 52 62 64 Women 68 65 67 68 43 44 52 55 18-29 72 71 69 72 52 49 57 64 30-49 74 73 73 76 50 47 59 61 50+ 68 65 66 64 46 48 53 51 Urban 78 79 80 77 56 57 63 64 Rural 68 66 64 69 46 43 54 57 BJP 81 78 78 81 55 52 62 65 INC 46 51 45 48 29 21 35 40 Source: Spring 2017 Global Attitudes Survey. 21 November 16, 2017

Indians Approve of Modi’s Dealings With the U.S., but Are Not Supportive of His Handling of Pakistan Do you __ of the way Prime Minister Narendra Modi is handling relations with … Disapprove Approve U.S. 9% 55% Russia 14 46 China 30 33 Pakistan 42 21 Source: Spring 2017 Global Attitudes Survey. 22 November 16, 2017

HOW INDIAN ANS S VIEW THE WORLD LD Sept. 18, 2015 www.pewresearch.org 23

Indians Name ISIS as Top Global Threat __ is a major threat to India The Islamic militant group 66% known as ISIS Global climate change 47 China's power and influence 44 Cyberattacks from other countries 43 Large number of refugees leaving 35 countries such as Iraq and Syria 34 The condition of the global economy U.S. power and influence 19 Russia's power and influence 17 Source: Spring 2017 Global Attitudes Survey. 24 November 16, 2017

Indians Hold Mixed Views of Other Countries Views of … Unfavorable Favorable U.S. 9% 49% Russia 13 47 Japan 15 42 China 41 26 Pakistan 72 10 Source: Spring 2017 Global Attitudes Survey. 25 November 16, 2017

Nevertheless, Many Indians Say Trump Is Strong and Qualified % saying they think of Donald Trump as … Yes No Don't know 42% 14% 44% A strong leader Well-qualified to be president 41 15 44 Dangerous 28 25 47 28 25 47 Caring about ordinary people 26 25 49 Arrogant Charismatic 22 29 49 17 32 51 Intolerant Source: Spring 2017 Global Attitudes Survey. 26 November 16, 2017

Indian Views of U.S. More Positive Than Their Views of China Favorable view Favorable view 49% 26% of U.S. of China U.S. govt. China's govt. respects respects 42 25 personal personal freedoms freedoms U.S. is the China is the world's leading 11 42 world's leading economic economic power power Confident in Confident in Xi 40 21 Trump Source: Spring 2017 Global Attitudes Survey. 27 November 16, 2017