Huntsville International Airport Master Plan Update Technical Advisory Committee Meeting March 1 4, 201 7
Agenda Welcome and introductions Master planning process Preliminary inventory of existing conditions Forecasts of aviation demand Project schedule Public meeting preparation Next steps/ action items Your thoughts 2 3/1 4/201 7
Master Planning Process HMC MCAA AA HMCAA AA Brief efing ng Brief efing ng HMCAA AA HMCAA AA Brief efing ng Brief efing ng 3 3/1 4/201 7
Inventory of Existing Conditions Huntsville International Airport
Inventory of Existing Conditions Airport characteristics and local profile Airport access, transportation, and parking Landside facilities Airfield facilities Operational characteristics Support facilities Security and airspace Utilities and infrastructure Environmental factors 5 3/1 4/201 7
Project Study Area Small-Hub Commercial Service Airport • 7,000 acres • Parallel runway system capable of handling large commercial aircraft • Interstate access Jetplex Industrial Park • Over 2,882 acres available for immediate development • Foreign Trade Zone #83 • International Intermodal Center 6 3/1 4/201 7
Existing Airfield Facilties 7 3/1 4/201 7
Terminal Area Huntsville International Airport
HSV Terminal Developments 201 2- $25.9 million baggage claim expansion opens 201 0-201 2 AirTran service SWA/ AirTran merger and loss of service to HSV GLO service start Fall 201 6 Mergers have not impacted direct flight destinations of remaining carriers Flights decreased Total seats available increased Source: HMCAA Financial Statements 9 3/1 4/201 7
HSV Terminal Area Robust and flexible terminal area • Land availability • Landside/ highway access • Airfield and apron capacity • Airspace clearances and ATCT views 1 0 3/1 4/201 7
Terminal Area 1 1 3/1 4/201 7
Terminal Building Ground Floor 1 2 3/1 4/201 7
Terminal Building Upper Floor 1 3 3/1 4/201 7
Terminal Building 1 4 3/1 4/201 7
HSV Terminal Analysis Review and Model Level of Service Review for Chokepoints and Activity Triggers • Curbfront use • Parking expansion • Rental return queuing/ parking • Terminal deliveries • Checked bag screen implementation • Vertical circulation • Gates/ holdrooms • Wayfinding • Other issues as identified in demand/ capacity analysis 1 5 3/1 4/201 7
Eastside Facilities 1 6 3/1 4/201 7
General Aviation Facilities 1 7 3/1 4/201 7
Pavement Conditions 1 8 3/1 4/201 7
Environmental Overview 1 9 3/1 4/201 7
Forecasts of Aviation Demand Huntsville International Airport
Importance of Forecasts Develop a realistic assessment of market conditions and market performance Address unique local conditions not fully considered in national and macro level forecast efforts Provide a benchmark for comparing current facilities against a reasonable estimate of future demand to define future facility needs 21 3/1 4/201 7
Forecast Elements and Purpose Forecasting Limitations General Aviation Operations and Based Historical and Baseline Aircraft Forecasts Activity Analysis Instrument Operations Factors and Forecast Opportunities Affecting Peaking Forecasts Activity Levels (General) Forecast Summary Airline Forecasts Cargo Activity Military Forecasts 22 3/1 4/201 7
Historical Operations (1 990-201 6) Itine Iti nerant rant Local Loc al 80,000 80, 000 70,000 70, 000 60,000 60, 000 50, 50,000 000 40, 40,000 000 30,000 30, 000 20, 20,000 000 10,000 10, 000 0 23 3/1 4/201 7
Historical Air Cargo Activity (201 2-201 6) Operat ation ions (5-Year ear Averag verage) e) Tota otal l Po Pounds nds (5-Year ear Ave verage) rage) 2.87% 33.42 42% 66.58% 97.13% Panalp analpina ina UPS/Fe FedEx/O x/Other her Panalp analpina ina UPS/Fe FedEx/O x/Other her Tota otal l Po Pounds nds (All l Cargo) go) 201,461,033 199,225,685 191,022,213 189,034,225 179,9 ,960, 0,08 087 2012 2012 2013 2013 2014 2014 2015 2015 2016 2016 24 3/1 4/201 7
Historical Activity by User Group (201 2-201 6) Airline irline Cargo Cargo GA GA Military Milit ary ,202 ,098 24,173 25,2 ,458 ,307 24,0 23,4 23,3 ,010 ,800 20,80 21,0 ,512 19,132 ,650 19,5 18,6 ,974 ,092 15,9 ,432 15,0 ,524 14,4 ,552 13,5 12,5 2,994 2,750 2,874 2,724 724 2,72 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 25 3/1 4/201 7
Factors and Opportunities Sharp fuel price increases after Hurricane Katrina damaged Gulf Coast refineries (August 2005) Economic Recession (late 2000s) Hurricane Matthew: airline cancellations and temporary aircraft relocations to HSV (October 201 6) Local trends are important as they provide airport-specific information that may support the selection of preferred forecasts Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen) initiatives 26 3/1 4/201 7
Economic Conditions Economic factors • Population • Unemployment Historic orical al Unem emplo loymen ent t Rates es (2006-2016) • Personal Income Madison (Unadjusted) Alabama U.S. Huntsville MSA is projected 14.0% to continue growth at a 12.0% higher AAGR than Alabama 10.0% 8.0% and U.S. 6.0% Unemployment in Madison 4.0% County has historically 2.0% tracked near U.S. and 0.0% Jan-06 Aug-06 Mar-07 Oct-07 May-08 Dec-08 Jul-09 Feb-10 Sep-10 Apr-11 Nov-11 Jun-12 Jan-13 Aug-13 Mar-14 Oct-14 May-15 Dec-15 Jul-16 generally lower than state rates Huntsville is considered the economic center of northern Alabama 27 3/1 4/201 7
Airline Forecasts Airline Trends Airline Forecast (Scheduled and Unscheduled) Airline Fleet Mix Overview Airline Belly Cargo and Remain-Overnight Considerations 28 3/1 4/201 7
Industry Wide Development Trends Airline Mergers • American/ US Airways (201 3) • SWA/ AirTran (201 1 ) • United/ Continental (201 0) • Delta/ Northwest (2008) Airlines load factors highest in history (84.5+% 201 4-201 6) Remote check-in options decrease on-site ticketing Flights decreased in number Total seats per flight higher 29 3/1 4/201 7
Scheduled Airline Destinations Atlanta, GA (ATL) Charlotte, NC (CLT) Chicago, IL (ORD) Dallas, TX (DFW) Denver, CO (DEN) Detroit, MI (DTW) Houston, TX (IAH) New Orleans, LA (MSY) Washington, DC (DCA/ IAD) 30 3/1 4/201 7
Historical Enplanements (1 990-201 6) Unadjust adjusted ed Term rminal inal Area ea Forecas ecast t Enplan anements ements 700,000 60 600, 0,00 000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 31 3/1 4/201 7
Enplanement Forecasts (201 6-2036) Tren rend (19 d (1990) Tren rend (20 d (2013) TAF Target arget 1,200,000 1,000,000 800,000 600,000 400,000 200,000 0 32 3/1 4/201 7
Air Cargo Huntsville International Airport
Panalpina Overview Panalpina supports 1 8 operations a week to/ from HSV Occupies an on ramp facility at HSV Huntsville is a closed operation Panalpina does not board freight for other freight forwarders, with the 34 3/1 4/201 7
Top 25 Global Freight Forwarders Rank ank Pro rovider ider Rank ank Pro rovider ider 1 DHL Supply Chain & Global Forwarding 1 4 Pantos Logistics 2 Kuehne + Nagel 1 5 C.H. Robinson 3 DB Schenker Logistics 1 6 Hellmann Worldwide Logistics 4 Sinotrans 1 7 Damco 5 Panalpina 1 8 Kerry Logistics 6 Nippon Express 1 9 UTi Worldwide 7 CEVA Logistics 20 Yusen Logistics 8 Expeditors International of Washington 21 Toll Holdings 9 UPS Supply Chain Solutions 22 Geodis 1 0 SDV (Bolloré Group) 23 Logwin 1 1 DSV A/ S 24 Sankyu 1 2 Kintetsu World Express 25 BDP International 1 3 Agility Source: Armstrong & Associates, 201 5 35 3/1 4/201 7
Rail Overview HMCAA operates an intermodal facility for Norfolk Southern Railway at HSV CSX and NS provide a rail link between east coast ports Interchanges with western rail carriers (UP and BNSF) providing service from both US coasts FedEx and UPS utilize rail intermodal today with expectations of expanding use in the future 36 3/1 4/201 7
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