Graduation Rates Who Am I? Data Data Analyst at - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Graduation Rates

Who Am I? Data • Data Analyst at PED(Accountability Bureau) • Jeanho.Rodriguez2@state.nm.us • I like cauliflower bowls and the Rail Runner. 2

Map • Intro • Graduation Rates • Data Pipeline • Understanding Graduation Rates • Shared Accountability • Webpage Files • Questions 3

Graduation Trends in Statewide Rates Rate 78.9% 80.0% 77.9% 76.9% 76.4% 75.9% 75.0% 75.0% 73.9% 70.4% 70.0% 71.1% 71.0% 69.3% 68.6% 65.0% 60.0% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 4 Year Rate 5 Year Rate 6 Year Rate 4

Graduation Historical Four-Year Graduation Rates Rate 90.0% Statewide By Race/Ethnicity 86.0% 85.0% 85.0% 81.0% 80.0% 79.3% 79.0% 76.0% 76.0% 73.9% 75.0% 74.0% 73.1% 71.0% 71.0% 71.0% 71.0% 69.0% 70.0% 69.2% 68.0% All Students 67.0% 65.8% Caucasian 65.0% African American 63.0% 63.0% Hispanic 61.0% 61.0% 61.0% 60.0% Asian American Indian 55.0% 5 Cohort 2015 Cohort 2016 Cohort 2017 Cohort 2018

Historical Five-Year Graduation Rates Graduation Statewide By Race/Ethnicity Rate 90.0% 89.9% 86.0% 85.0% 85.0% 81.0% 80.6% 79.0% 80.0% 76.4% 76.0% 75.0% 75.5% 75.0% 73.0% 73.2% 71.0% 71.0% 72.0% 70.9% 70.0% 70.0% 69.0% All Students 66.0% Caucasian 65.0% African American 63.0% 62.0% 62.0% Hispanic 60.0% Asian 59.0% American Indian 57.0% 55.0% Cohort 2014 Cohort 2015 Cohort 2016 Cohort 2017 6

Difference between 4-year and 5-year Graduation Rates (Cohort 2017) Native American 9.9 7.6 Student w Disabilities English Learners 7.2 6.7 Economically Disadvantaged Male 6.0 5.9 Non Hispanic All Students 5.3 5.3 African American Hispanic 5.0 4.8 Female 4.5 Asian Percent 4.2 Caucasian 7

Difference between 4-year, 5-year, and 6- year Graduation Rates (Cohort 2016) 11.1 Students w Disabilities 3.1 9.9 African American 3 9.6 Native American 3.5 8.2 English Language Learners 2.5 8 Economically Disadvantaged 2.4 7.7 Asian 2.2 7.6 Male 2.3 6.9 All Students 2 6.5 Difference Between 4-6 Hispanic 1.8 Yr Cohort 6.4 Caucasian 1.8 Difference 5-6 Yr Cohort 6.1 Female 1.7 8

Historical Four-Year Graduation Rates New Mexico’s 10 Largest Cohorts District 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018 Albuquerque Public 61.7% 66.2% 67.9% 69.6% Schools Las Cruces Public 74.5% 79.6% 85.5% 86.2% Schools Rio Rancho Public 82.7% 83.8% 82.0% 85.4% Schools Gallup McKinley 66.6% 65.3% 67.2% 73.1% County Schools Gadsden 80.7% 86.1% 81.7% 81.8% Independent Schools Santa Fe Public 66.8% 71.3% 68.9% 73.0% Schools Farmington 71.7% 70.5% 66.2% 74.7% Municipal Schools Roswell Independent 68.3% 68.8% 65.8% 68.5% Schools Los Lunas Public 75.7% 80.6% 76.3% 73.9% Schools Hobbs Municipal 84.8% 86.6% 86.1% 88.9% Schools Note: These 10 districts represent 61.2 percent of all students in the Cohort of 2018.

2017-2018 Four-Year Graduation Rates Highest and Lowest Rates by District Large Districts Five Highest Rates Five Lowest Rates District Rate District Rate Grants Cibola Los Alamos Public 62.4% 89.4% County Schools Schools Bernalillo Public 63.2% Hobbs Municipal Schools 88.9% Schools Central Consolidated 63.6% Las Cruces Public 86.2% Schools Schools Portales Municipal Rio Rancho Public 65.2% 85.4% Schools Schools Roswell Clovis Municipal Independent 68.5% 83.0% Schools Schools Note: Of the 78 districts with at least 10 students in the cohort, “large” districts are those in the highest third.

2017-2018 Four-Year Graduation Rates Highest and Lowest Rates by District Medium Districts Five Highest Rates Five Lowest Rates District Rate District Rate Tatum Municipal Raton Public 93.0% 67.5% Schools Schools Cloudcroft Tularosa Municipal 91.6% 69.1% Municipal Schools Schools Mora Independent Cuba Independent 90.4% 70.4% Schools Schools Santa Rosa Socorro Consolidated 89.0% Consolidated 71.6% Schools Schools Cobre Consolidated T or C Municipal 87.7% 72.3% Schools Schools Note: Of the 78 districts with at least 10 students in the cohort, “medium” districts are those in the middle third.

2017-2018 Four-Year Graduation Rates Highest and Lowest Rates by District Small Districts Five Highest Rates Five Lowest Rates District Rate District Rate Lordsburg Melrose Public 56.8% 100.0% Municipal Schools Schools Mesa Vista Springer Municipal Consolidated 67.1% 100.0% Schools Schools Logan Municipal Grady Municipal 68.5% 99.3% Schools Schools Peñasco Animas Public 98.5% Independent 70.2% Schools Schools Fort Sumner Clayton Municipal 97.0% 74.1% Municipal Schools Schools Note 1: Of the 78 districts with at least 10 students in the cohort, “small” districts are those in the lowest third. Note 2: The following 11 districts were excluded from this analysis because they have fewer than 10 students in the cohort: Carrizozo, Corona, Des Moines, House, Lake Arthur, Maxwell, Mosquero, Roy, San Jon, Vaughn, and Wagon Mound.

Highest Increases in Graduation Rate Four-Year Rate by District Large Districts 2017-to-2018 Change 2015-to-2018 Change One-Year Three-Year District Percentage-Point District Percentage-Point Increase Increase Alamogordo Public Bloomfield Schools 9.6% 11.7% Schools Aztec Municipal 8.9% Las Cruces Public Schools 11.7% Schools Farmington 8.5% Española Public Municipal Schools 9.3% Schools Bernalillo Public 6.4% Bloomfield Schools 9.3% Schools Gallup McKinley Albuquerque Public 5.9% 7.9% County Schools Schools Note: Of the 78 districts with at least 10 students in the cohort, “large” districts are those in the highest third.

Highest Increases in Graduation Rate Four-Year Rate by District Medium Districts 2017-to-2018 Change 2015-to-2018 Change Three-Year One-Year District Percentage-Point District Percentage-Point Increase Increase Tucumcari Public Tatum Municipal 23.8% 19.9% Schools Schools Pecos Independent Zuni Public Schools 18.2% 23.4% Schools Mora Independent Dexter Consolidated 17.3% 15.0% Schools Schools Hatch Valley Public Mora Independent 8.9% 13.9% Schools Schools Cuba Independent Estancia Municipal 8.1% 13.6% Schools Schools Note: Of the 78 districts with at least 10 students in the cohort, “medium” districts are those in the middle third.

Highest Increases in Graduation Rate Four-Year Rate by District Small Districts 2017-to-2018 Change 2015-to-2018 Change One-Year Three-Year District Percentage-Point District Percentage-Point Increase Increase Mountainair Public Reserve Public 20.5% 39.6% Schools Schools Melrose Public Taos Municipal 20.3% 21.6% Schools Schools Hondo Valley Public 15.3% Jal Public Schools 19.4% Schools Jemez Valley Public Melrose Public 16.5% 15.2% Schools Schools Reserve Public Hondo Valley Public 16.1% 13.4% Schools Schools Note 1: Of the 78 districts with at least 10 students in the cohort, “small” districts are those in the lowest third. Note 2: The following 11 districts were excluded from this analysis because they have fewer than 10 students in the cohort: Carrizozo, Corona, Des Moines, House, Lake Arthur, Maxwell, Mosquero, Roy, San Jon, Vaughn, and Wagon Mound.

Data Pipeline SOAP Graduation Data Grad Rates Schools & SPSS STARS Districts Snapshot Data Data Web Tools Files

National Adjusted Cohort Graduation Rate • Comparable and meaningful across states • Students who do not graduate within four years are counted as non graduates in the four-year cohort rate • Credit given for students who take longer than four years to graduate • Schools accountable for improving graduation rates for all students and student subgroups 17

Understanding Graduation Rates • How are graduation rates and points determined? – Assigning students to the 4-year cohort – Applying shared accountability – Computing the cohort graduation rates 18

Creation of 4-Year Graduation Cohort A student’s snapshot history (40D, 80D, 120D, EOY) , grade level and school year information determine the student’s 4-year cohort membership. 1. Identify the first two consecutive snapshots pair in high school. 2. From the second snapshot of the snapshot pair, identify the grade level and the school year. 3. Determine the cohort year (expected graduation year). a) If grade level is 9, add 3 to the snapshot school year. b) If grade level is 10, add 2 to the snapshot school year. c) If grade level is 11, add 1 to the snapshot school year. d) If grade level is 12, add 0 to the snapshot school year. 19

4-Year, 5-Year, and 6-Year Cohorts 5-Year 6-Year Cohort Cohort 4-Year Cohort of 2018 of 2018 of 2018 Grade 9 10 11 12 12 12 School 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Year 20

4- YR COHORT OF 2016 21

5-YR COHORT OF 2016 22

6-YR COHORT OF 2016 23

Outcomes Excusing Cohort Membership • Deceased • Transfer Students • Foreign exchange students on “J” or “F” visa • Students without two consecutive snapshots 24

Who is Considered a Transfer? Student must exit to an educational setting that can potentially grant a diploma. • Out-of-state schools • Exchange programs in other countries • Private schools • Home schools • Military schools overseas • Other non-PED education settings 25