Fibre to the Home: Taking your life to new horizons! Hartwig Tauber, Director General FTTH Council Europe Press Conference - Milan, 13 January 2011
FTTH Council Europe Photo by Nicolo Baravalle
FTTH Council Europe Our Vision: A sustainable future enabled by Fibre to the Home Our Mission • To accelerate FTTH adoption through information and promotion in order to enhance the quality of life, contribute to a better environment and increased competitiveness Organisation • Founded in 2004, non-profit industry organisation • More than 150 member companies
FTTH Conference 2011 9-10 February 2011, Milan, Italy www.ftthconference.eu
Why FTTH? Photo by Nicolo Baravalle
FTTH for an enhanced experience
Fibre to the Home is an enabler FTTH allows access to enhanced content & services: • Symmetry • Real speed Upload of 300 holiday-photos (700 Mbyte): Download of 6.5 Gbyte DVD-film: + 1 Mbit/s Upstream: 92 minutes 10 Mbit/s DSL : 1.44 hours 10 Mbit/s Upstream: 9 minutes 100 Mbit/s Upstream: 56 seconds 100 Mbit/s FTTH : 8.6 min = INTERACTIVITY FTTH improves the way people live and work
FTTH for a better quality of life Teleworking eEntertainment eLearning eHealth eGovernment Web 2.0 Societal Environmental eHome eBusiness
FTTH for a better quality of life Study by Ovum 2008 in Sweden for FTTH Council Europe Study by Yankee Group 2009 in Bulgaria for FTTH Council Europe • FTTH enables users to benefit from real broadband applications, content and services • FTTH-users are ready to use new services for teleworking, eLearning, etc. • FTTH-users are more satisfied • Highest impact in rural areas Study by PriceWaterhouseCoopers/Ecobilan 2008: • Using FTTH and FTTH services can save up to CO² equivalent of driving a car for 4,600 km per year – for every household!
FTTH is a key economic driver
Economy Society FTTH is a key economic driver FTTH is a critical driver for the knowledge economy • Deployment of FTTH creates jobs • New services create GDP growth, not only from ICT industry (entertainment industry etc.) FTTH creates business opportunities & competitiveness • Operators: increased ARPU (30%!), lower churn-rate, Opex savings • Businesses: new ways of working, reduced travel & office rental costs, better time management, more innovation, better competitiveness • Regions/Municipalities: retain and attract more businesses & investment, offer cost-efficient services to the community, increase local competitiveness
Conclusions • FTTH improves the quality of life • FTTH is a key economic driver • FTTH contributes to a better environment • With FTTH, let’s build a sustainable future!
Europe in the slow lane? Photo by Nicolo Baravalle
FTTH Global panorama mid-2010 – Total subscribers 3.2 M 8.6 M 43 M (4.5M)* … and FTTH continues to grow * Including Russia
FTTH Global Ranking mid-2010
FTTH European Ranking mid-2010
FTTH European Ranking – mid-2010 Source: FTTH European Ranking, FTTH Council Europe & IDATE, September 2010 Note: The Ranking covers all countries with at least 200,000 households where FTTH/B penetration has reached 1% of the total number of homes.
Evolution of FTTH Subscribers in Europe - mid-2010 Evolution of FTTH/B (*) subscribers in Europe Source: FTTH Council Europe & IDATE, September 2010 1 400 000 Note: FTTH/FTTB definitions by the Global FTTH Councils 1 200 000 1 000 000 June 2007 December 2007 800 000 June 2008 December 2008 June 2009 600 000 December 2009 June 2010 400 000 200 000 0 Romania Lithuania Denmark Portugal Czech Republic Estonia Russia Italy Netherlands Slovakia Bulgaria Germany Finland Slovenia Spain France Sweden Norway
New subscribers per country in H1/2010 New FTTH/B subscribers between December 2009 and June 2010 300 000 250 000 200 000 150 000 100 000 50 000 - United Kingdom Denmark Romania Portugal Estonia Poland Ireland Russia Bulgaria Germany Lithuania Italy Netherlands Slovakia Finland Czech Republic Luxembourg France Latvia Hungary Spain Slovenia Croatia Austria Iceland Greece Sweden Norway Switzerland Andorra Source: FTTH European Ranking, FTTH Council Europe & IDATE, September 2010 Note: FTTH/FTTB definitions by the Global FTTH Councils
New subscribers per country in H1/2010 New FTTH/B subscribers between December 2009 and June 2010 300 000 250 000 200 000 150 000 100 000 50 000 - United Kingdom Denmark Romania Portugal Estonia Poland Ireland Russia Bulgaria Germany Lithuania Italy Netherlands Slovakia Finland Czech Republic Luxembourg France Latvia Hungary Spain Slovenia Croatia Austria Iceland Greece Sweden Norway Switzerland Andorra Source: FTTH European Ranking, FTTH Council Europe & IDATE, September 2010 Note: FTTH/FTTB definitions by the Global FTTH Councils
FTTH homes passed in Europe – mid-2010 % of FTTH/B HP in total Households (1) 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% a a a l a g y s d y c y m n k e d a a y n y a i i r i a r i n i e r c n i l d n i e n n v i l g r a u n s a a a o n w b a a t n a k d a a e u s t g p m o a o d g a I a l u m r e l r v u n S u t b L n t r u g r o p o r l w n s l e u R r h o m F i u r T n N e F E e z e l e t B S H S P R i h t i D e G K L i t w x e h d u S N c e L e t i z n C U 1) Taking into account countries where there are at least 50,000 FTTH/B homes passed. Source: FTTH European Ranking, FTTH Council Europe & IDATE, September 2010 Note: FTTH/FTTB definitions by the Global FTTH Councils
Sneak Preview - ITALY - December 2010 update o Italy remains one of the largest FTTH players in Europe: • 2.5 million homes passed • 348,000 subscribers (13.7% of homes passed) o But the penetration rate is not progressing • Falling in FTTH ranking (Number 21 in June 2010, number 13 in December 2007) o “Fibre to Italy” + TI announcement could reverse the trend • 2011 could be a decisive year for the country
Conclusions – FTTH leaders • Strong growth of FTTH/B subscribers: > 50% in one year incl. Russia • Growth of the FTTH/B market is led by Eastern European countries Bulgaria, Slovakia and Romania are showing their dynamics in terms • of coverage and subscriptions Lithuania is leading the EU Global Ranking with 21% penetration • • However, most FTTH/B subscribers, in volume, are still concentrated in Western and Northern Europe (incl. mature markets in Sweden, Norway, France, Italy and Denmark) • Efforts are to be made in order to increase penetration rates, which are still low This penetration rate can be high in small economies where FTTH/B • deployment has been necessary to compensate lack of Broadband offers and where migration has been quite rapid
Conclusions – FTTH players • There are still more Municipalities and Power utilities than any other kind of FTTH/B players at mid-2010 Source: IDATE for FTTH Council Europe • Alternative operators are still the most dynamic and represent at mid- 2010, including Russia, 72% of total European FTTH/B Homes Passed • Incumbents are getting more and more involved: they represent more than 17% of FTTH/B homes passed at June 2010 compared to 15% six months earlier
What next? Photo by Nicolo Baravalle
European Region FTTH Forecast 30000 25000 23319 Connected Households, 000s 20000 16420 15000 10665 10000 7200 4872 5000 3333 2399 1584 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: Heavy Reading, December 2009 Note: Households connected directly to fibre (FTTH) and apartments connected via basement fibre termination (FTTB)
Europe in Context: the Race to Fibre Maturity Country 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Japan Korea China Taiwan Australia USA Canada France Germany Italy UK Spain Sweden Netherlands EUROPEAN UNION 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Source: Heavy Reading, December 2009
Summary • Over 23 Mil households will be connected to FTTH or FTTB at the end of 2014 in the countries covered by this forecast– this is about 8% of all homes in the region • In the EU only, the total will reach 16 Mil, or 8.3% of all homes • Six of the 21 nations individually analysed should achieve “fibre maturity” (20% penetration) by 2014– Slovenia, Sweden, Denmark, Norway, Netherlands and Slovakia • On current trends, seven of those nations will still be under 10% penetration at the end of 2014– UK, Belgium, Poland, Spain, Greece, Italy and Germany • Unlike most other regions, incumbents are not currently the major providers of FTTH, and this will likely remain the case through the next five years • The dominance of FTTB and municipal build-outs means that P2P Ethernet is the main technology in use, though the proportion of PON will gradually increase European Commission Digital Agenda: 50% of European households connected to 100 Mbps by 2020
Thank you for your attention! www.ftthcouncil.eu
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