Dublin Unified School District: 2019 Bond Measure Feasibility Survey September 2019 Page 1 September 2019
Overview and Research Objectives Dublin Unified School District commissioned Godbe Research to conduct a survey of local voters with the following research objectives: ➢ Gauge the public’s perceptions of whether the District is providing a quality education to students, effectively managing public funds, and needs additional funding; ➢ Assess potential support for a bond measure to improve the quality of education with funding that cannot be taken by the State; ➢ Prioritize projects and programs to be funded with the proceeds; ➢ Test informational and critical statements; ➢ Identify the rate issues; and ➢ Identify demographic and/or voter behavioral characteristics to validate the representativeness of the sample. Page 2 September 2019
Methodology Overview ➢ Data Collection Landline (36), cell phone (98), text to online (421), and email to online (70) interviewing ➢ Universe 21,188 likely November 2020 voters in the Dublin Unified School District, with a subsample of those likely to vote in the March 2020 election (14,562) ➢ Fielding Dates August 8 through August 15, 2019 ➢ Interview Length 22 minutes ➢ Sample Size 625 Likely November 2020 voters 458 Likely March 2020 voters ➢ Margin of Error ± 3.86% Likely November 2020 voters ± 4.51% Likely March 2020 voters The data have been weighted to reflect the actual population characteristics of likely voters in the Page 3 Dublin Unified School District in terms of their gender, age, and political party type. September 2019
Key Findings Page 4 September 2019
Q1. Opinion on Whether DUSD is Providing a Quality Education March 2020 (n=458) DK/NA 18.6% Very Favorable 24.9% Very Unfavorable 6.2% Somewhat Unfavorable 11.8% Somewhat Favorable 38.5% March 2020 Total Favorable 63.3% Total Unfavorable 18.1% Ratio Fav to Unfav 3.5 Page 5 September 2019
Q2. Opinion on Whether DUSD Effectively Manages Public Funds March 2020 (n=458) DK/NA Very favorable 19.0% 14.7% Very unfavorable 11.1% Somewhat favorable 29.9% Somewhat unfavorable 25.3% March 2020 Total Favorable 44.6% Total Unfavorable 36.4% Ratio Fav to Unfav 1.2 Page 6 September 2019
Q3. Agreement on Whether DUSD Needs Additional Funding March 2020 (n=458) DK/NA 11.6% Strongly agree Strongly 23.4% disagree 12.9% Somewhat disagree 19.0% Somewhat agree 33.3% March 2020 Total Agree 56.6% Total Disagree 31.8% Ratio Agree to Disagree 1.8 Page 7 September 2019
Q4. Uninformed Support for Bond Extension and Increase Sample A To improve the quality of education with funding that cannot be taken by the State, shall the Dublin Unified School District 62.8% • construct and complete schools to prevent overcrowding; and • update aging classrooms and science labs; by issuing $290 million dollars in bonds at legal interest rates, 23.3% 39.5% 12.1% 15.7% 9.4% raising approximately $18.3 March 2020 million dollars annually, with rates averaging $50 per $100,000 assessed value while bonds are outstanding, with citizen oversight, annual audits, no funds for administrator salaries, and all funds used for Dublin Unified School District schools? 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Definitely Yes Probably Yes Probably No Definitely No DK/NA Page 8 September 2019
Q5. Uninformed Support for Bond Extension Only Sample B To improve the quality of education with funding that cannot be taken by the State, shall the Dublin Unified School District 62.5% • construct and complete schools to prevent overcrowding; and • update aging classrooms and science labs; by issuing $151 million dollars in bonds at legal interest rates, 33.9% 28.6% 11.0% 20.1% 6.4% raising approximately $9.7 March 2020 million dollars annually, with rates averaging $27 per $100,000 assessed value while bonds are outstanding, with citizen oversight, audits, no funds for administrator salaries, and all funds for Dublin Unified School District schools? 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Definitely Yes Probably Yes Probably No Definitely No DK/NA Page 9 September 2019
Q6. Features of the Measure I March 2020 (n=458) Sample C Sample D 74.7% 1.12 F. Relieve overcrowding at Dublin High School H. Protect the quality of academic instruction in core 0.98 subjects like math, science, reading, and writing L. Update classroom technology to support 21st century 0.95 learning environment Tier 1 G. Provide classrooms, science labs and computer labs to 0.93 accommodate growing student enrollment and relieve overcrowding I. Provide advanced instruction that prepares students for 0.92 college and 21st century careers 0.92 T. Maintain small class sizes P. Replace aging roofs and outdated heating and cooling 71.3% 0.92 systems for student safety and to improve energy efficiency -2 -1 0 1 2 Somewhat Somewhat Much More Much Less Less Likely More Likely Likely Likely Note: The above rating questions have been abbreviated for charting purposes, and responses were recoded to calculate mean scores: Page 10 “Much More Likely” = +2, “Somewhat More Likely” = +1, “No Effect” = 0, “Somewhat Less Likely” = - 1, and “Much Less Likely” = -2. September 2019
Q6. Features of the Measure II March 2020 (n=458) Sample C Sample D K. Modernize older schools to ensure they are safe and have up-to-date classrooms and science labs including at 0.91 70.0% Wells and Fallon Middle Schools, and Dublin and Dougherty Elementary Schools 0.87 R. Ensure access for students with disabilities Tier 2 0.87 O. Update schools to improve student safety B. Complete the second comprehensive high school on the 0.86 east side of the District 71.4% 0.86 A. Construct schools to prevent overcrowding -2 -1 0 1 2 Somewhat Somewhat Much More Much Less Less Likely More Likely Likely Likely Note: The above rating questions have been abbreviated for charting purposes, and responses were recoded to calculate mean scores: Page 11 “Much More Likely” = +2, “Somewhat More Likely” = +1, “No Effect” = 0, “Somewhat Less Likely” = - 1, and “Much Less Likely” = -2. September 2019
Q6. Features of the Measure III March 2020 (n=458) Sample C Sample D J. Provide additional classrooms, science labs and 0.85 67.3% Tier 2 cont’d engineering labs at the second comprehensive high school D. Update and reopen Nielsen Elementary school to 0.77 accommodate our growing student enrollment and ensure students can attend their neighborhood school E. Build a new school at Camp Parks to relieve 0.59 overcrowding Tier 3 0.45 53.8% M. Build a new elementary school to relieve overcrowding -2 -1 0 1 2 Somewhat Somewhat Much More Much Less Less Likely More Likely Likely Likely Note: The above rating questions have been abbreviated for charting purposes, and responses were recoded to calculate mean scores: Page 12 “Much More Likely” = +2, “Somewhat More Likely” = +1, “No Effect” = 0, “Somewhat Less Likely” = - 1, and “Much Less Likely” = -2. September 2019
Q6. Features of the Measure IV March 2020 (n=458) Sample C Sample D 49.3% 0.25 C. Provide a high school performing arts theater Tier 4 0.20 S. Provide high school competition and warm-up pools N. Provide a gym for Cottonwood Creek Elementary 0.14 Schools Tier 5 Q. Provide a high school aquatic complex with 50-meter -0.02 40.2% competition and warm-up pools -2 -1 0 1 2 Somewhat Somewhat Much More Much Less Less Likely More Likely Likely Likely Note: The above rating questions have been abbreviated for charting purposes, and responses were recoded to calculate mean scores: Page 13 “Much More Likely” = +2, “Somewhat More Likely” = +1, “No Effect” = 0, “Somewhat Less Likely” = - 1, and “Much Less Likely” = -2. September 2019
Q7. Informational Statements I March 2020 (n=458) A. Every penny from this measure will benefit local 1.32 73.6% schools, be controlled locally, and cannot be taken away by the State C. By law, no money from this measure can be used for 1.30 administrator salaries R. Building a new comprehensive high school campus on 1.29 the east side will relieve student overcrowding and save Tier 1 money B. This measure requires citizens' oversight and reports 1.29 to the community to ensure the funds are spent as promised P. The measure includes a plan on a school by school 1.28 basis detailing how the money will be spent E. The measure will help relieve overcrowding at each of 72.3% 1.24 our schools and limit increases to class sizes Sample A Sample B 0 1 2 Sample C No Effect Somewhat Much More Sample D More Likely Likely Note: The above rating questions have been abbreviated for charting purposes, and responses were recoded to calculate mean scores: Page 14 “Much More Likely” = +2, “Somewhat More Likely” = +1, and “No Effect” = 0. September 2019
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