DRAFT 2019 Pennsylvania Greenhouse Gas Emission Inventory Climate - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

DRAFT 2019 Pennsylvania Greenhouse Gas Emission Inventory Climate Change Advisory Committee December 10, 2019 Tom Wolf, Governor Patrick McDonnell, Secretary

GHG Emission Inventory ➢ State Inventory Tool: • Made available on November 5, 2018. • Updated all 11 modules with data through 2016. 2

GHG Inventory Results Total Statewide Net Emissions (MMTCO2e) 350.00 299 289 300.00 269 263 262 260 251 248 235 250.00 MMTCO2e 200.00 150.00 100.00 50.00 0.00 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Year 3

GHG Inventory Results GHG Emissions (MMTCO2e) by Sector 350.0 300.0 MMTCO2e 250.0 200.0 150.0 100.0 50.0 0.0 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Waste Management 7.0 5.1 4.0 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.3 Agriculture 8.0 7.6 8.0 7.8 8.0 8.0 8.4 8.1 8.0 Electricity Production (in-state) 115.5 121.0 116.6 111.4 104.8 103.4 96.7 86.0 80.5 Transportation 70.6 72.7 64.8 62.9 62.0 61.4 61.2 60.0 61.1 Industrial 85.1 80.7 75.7 75.2 76.6 85.3 89.5 87.1 81.4 Commercial 13.0 12.9 10.6 10.3 9.1 10.5 11.2 11.5 10.6 4 Residential 25.7 23.9 20.2 19.5 17.3 20.0 22.3 20.8 18.5

Results By Sector 2016 GHG Emissions By Sector (MMTCO2e) 90.00 2016 80.00 70.00 Change from 2015 60.00 50.00 MMTCO2e 40.00 30.00 20.00 10.00 2% 2% 0.00 -1% -8% -11% -10.00 -7% -6% -20.00 5

Electricity Production GHG Emissions from Electricity Production (MMTCO2e) 140.00 121 117 116 120.00 111 105 103 97 100.00 86 80 MMTCO2e 80.00 60.00 40.00 20.00 0.00 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Year 6

Electricity Production Total Electricity Generated, Consumed, and Exported (TWh) 250 200 150 TWh 100 50 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Electricity Consumed 118 131 139 152 152 152 148 151 152 151 151 Electricity Exported 47 43 52 53 68 66 66 67 61 55 56 7 Electricity Generated 176 185 202 218 230 227 223 227 221 215 215

Electricity Production Emissions Percent Electricity Production By Fuel Type 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Oil 2.7% 2.0% 1.9% 2.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% Natural Gas 1.6% 2.7% 1.3% 5.0% 14.7% 18.4% 23.8% 22.0% 24.0% 24.0% 31.6% 8 Coal 60.7% 57.3% 57.6% 55.5% 48.0% 44.3% 39.0% 39.0% 35.7% 35.7% 25.4%

Electricity Production Emissions GHG Emissions from Electricity Production Sector by Source (% of Total) 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Oil 4.5% 3.5% 2.9% 3.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% Natural Gas 0.7% 2.0% 1.0% 3.7% 11.5% 15.0% 20.6% 19.4% 22.2% 28.1% 34.3% 9 Coal 94.8% 94.4% 96.1% 92.9% 88.1% 84.6% 79.1% 80.3% 77.3% 71.3% 65.4%

Industrial Sector Emissions GHG Emissions from Industrial Sector (MMTCO2e) 100 90 87 85 90 85 81 81 77 76 75 80 70 60 MMTCO2e 50 40 30 20 10 0 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Year 10

Industrial Sector Emissions GHG Emissions from Industrial Sector by Source (% of Total) 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Natural Gas and Oil Systems 6.86 9.77 9.52 11.23 11.38 11.22 11.80 12.04 11.63 Coal Mining and Abandoned 13.74 10.71 12.80 10.07 10.02 11.47 10.87 10.70 9.88 Mines Industrial Process 15.56 13.81 13.27 13.30 13.15 13.57 13.88 13.82 13.76 Combustion of Fossil Fuels 48.95 46.47 40.09 40.56 42.05 49.04 52.95 50.57 46.16 Table values in MMTCO2e 11

Residential Sector GHG Emissions from Residential Sector (MMTCO2e) 30 26 24 25 22 21 20 20 19 20 18 17 MMTCO2e 15 10 5 0 12 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Residential Sector Residential Emissions by Fuel Type (% of Total) 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 1995 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Natural Gas 14.40 13.53 12.30 12.10 10.93 12.92 14.21 13.12 11.93 Propane 0.62 0.93 1.28 1.19 1.04 1.17 1.16 1.06 1.04 Kerosene 0.86 0.76 0.31 0.19 0.08 0.08 0.15 0.10 0.11 Heating Oil 8.74 8.56 6.32 5.96 5.24 5.87 6.74 6.43 5.41 Coal 0.38 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Table values in MMTCO2e 13

Commercial Sector GHG Emissions from Commercial Sector (MMTCO2e) 14 13.0 12.9 11.5 12 11.2 10.6 10.6 10.5 10.3 10 9.1 MMTCO2e 8 6 4 2 0 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 14 Year

Commercial Sector Commercial Emissions by Fuel Type (% of Total) 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 1995 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Natural Gas 7.89 8.00 7.79 7.79 7.03 8.31 8.90 8.47 7.90 Residual Fuel 0.58 0.30 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 Motor Gasoline 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.93 0.94 Propane 0.24 0.34 0.42 0.49 0.40 0.48 0.48 0.46 0.50 Kerosene 0.22 0.19 0.06 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.02 Heating Fuel 2.73 2.64 1.75 1.56 1.26 1.37 1.47 1.39 1.13 Coal 2.57 1.44 0.47 0.44 0.33 0.31 0.31 0.20 0.10 15 Table values in MMTCO2e

Transportation Sector GHG Emissions from Transportation Sector (MMTCO2e) 80 72.7 70.6 70 64.8 62.9 62.0 61.4 61.2 61.1 60.0 60 50 MMTCO2e 40 30 20 10 0 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 16 Year

Transportation Sector Transportation Sector Fuel Use (% of Total) 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 1995 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Natural Gas 39,317 32,312 49,517 53,553 39,121 40,050 44,642 45,663 48,048 Motor Gasoline 574,612 628,852 572,983 561,134 550,419 553,174 546,153 530,938 536,411 Jet Fuel, Kerosene 69,729 95,404 70,572 46,500 46,377 41,516 39,717 42,599 69,246 Diesel 170,082 225,678 208,250 216,758 220,941 215,735 221,179 214,633 198,601 Table values in BBtu 17

Waste Management Sector GHG Emissions from Waste Management Sector (MMTCO2e) 10.00 9.00 8.00 7.00 MMTCO2e 6.00 5.00 4.00 3.00 2.00 1.00 0.00 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Solid Waste 6.71 7.24 5.32 3.37 2.25 2.28 2.30 2.35 2.41 2.45 2.46 Wastewater 1.34 1.37 1.66 1.69 1.78 1.79 1.78 1.79 1.80 1.80 0.85 Total 8.06 8.62 6.98 5.06 4.03 4.07 4.08 4.14 4.21 4.25 3.31 18 Table values in MMTCO2e

Agriculture Sector GHG Emissions from Agricultural Sector by Source (% of Total) 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2000 2005 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Agricultural Soil Management 3.00 2.82 2.80 2.79 2.88 3.02 3.21 3.12 2.92 Manure Management 1.29 1.38 1.37 1.38 1.38 1.33 1.41 1.40 1.42 Enteric Fermentation 3.54 3.37 3.44 3.43 3.45 3.49 3.53 3.44 3.52 19 Table values in MMTCO2e

Emission Inventory • The 2019 GHG Inventory (2016 data) shows a continued trend of overall decreased emissions from 2005. • Net emissions continue to tick downward. • The biggest decreases since 2015 came from the Industrial sector, with a decrease of 5.71 MMTCO 2 e and the electrical production sector with a decrease of 5.53 MMTCO 2 e. • This decrease counteracted increases from the Transportation (1.12 MMTCO 2 e), and Waste Management (0.07 MMTCO 2 e) sectors. 20

Thank you! Lindsay A. Byron, P.G. Environmental Group Manager Energy Programs Office lbyron@pa.gov DEP Climate Change Website: www.dep.pa.gov\climate