DELMAS 1 of 44 CONTENTS Purpose of the presentation - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

JOB CREATION SUMMIT AUGUST 2013 DELMAS 1 of 44

CONTENTS • Purpose of the presentation • Socio-economic analysis – research approach • Socio-economic challenges of Mpumalanga • Socio-economic profile/situation of Victor Khanye • Challenges and recommendations 2 of 44

PURPOSE OF PRESENTATION • To inform the House about the socio-economic situation and challenges of Victor Khanye for: – planning, – budget, – strategy & – intervention purposes • “Dashboard approach” • Socio-economic data challenges on municipal level! 3 of 44

SOCIO-ECONOMIC RESEARCH Socio-economic Planning and Economic research Budget impact • Demographics • Service delivery • Labour Inform Priorities, • Economic growth & • Education & health development budget & strategies • Basic service planning & • Poverty delivery/infrastructure process spending • Unemployment • Development & income • Inequality • Poverty & inequality • Economic sectors & performance Socio-economic framework • MTSF & Outcomes • National priorities • National budget • SONA • National Department Policies & NDP • PGDS & IDP/LED • SOPA & MEGDP 4 of 44 • Vision 2030

SOCIO-ECONOMIC CHALLENGES OF MPUMALANGA High HIV prevalence MEGDP Educational High challenges inflation Unequal High economic unemployment 1. Reduce distribution unemployment Socio- economic challenges Sectoral Low HDI dependency 2. Reduce inequality Low High economic inequality growth Basic 3 . Reduce poverty service High poverty delivery challenges 5 of 44

DEMOGRAPHIC INDICATORS DEMOGRAPHIC Stats SA Stats SA Share of Share of Ranking: INDICATORS Census Census Nkangala's Mpumalanga’s highest (1) – figure figure lowest (18) 2011 2011 2001 2011 Population number 56 335 75 452 5.8% 1.9% 15 Number of households 13 428 20 548 5.8% 1.9% 14 Area size (km 2 ) 1 568 9.4% 2.0% 17 Population per km 2 32 • According to Stats SA (2011 Census), 75 452 people were recorded in 2011 – 5.8% of Nkangala’s population. • Population grew by 33.9% between 2001 & 2011 while the annualised population growth rate was measured at 2.9%. • Population in 2007 Community Survey was under-estimated at only 50 452. • Females 51.4% and males 48.6% of the population – 82.3% Africans, 16.0% Whites, 1.1% Coloureds, 0.3% Asians and 0.3% Others. • Youth/children up to 34 years, 72.8% of Victor Khanye’s population. • Number of households 20 548 (3.7 people per household) – 5.8% of Nkangala’s households. • Female headed households 30.2% and child headed (0-17 years) households 0.4 % in 2011. 6 of 44

POPULATION NUMBER Population by Local Municipal Area, 2011 Mbombela Bushbuckridge 541 248 Emalahleni Nkomazi 390 610 Thembisile Hani 310 458 Govan Mbeki Dr JS Moroka 249 705 Steve Tshwete Chief Albert Luthuli 186 010 = CRDP Sites Mkhondo 171 982 Msukaligwa Lekwa Thaba Chweu Dr Pixley Ka Isaka Seme 83 235 Victor Khanye 75 452 Umjindi Emakhazeni Dipaleseng 42 390 0 100 000 200 000 300 000 400 000 500 000 600 000 700 000 Population number 7 of 44

POPULATION GROWTH RATE Population growth rate between 2001 & 2011 by Local Municipal Area, 2011 Steve Tshwete Emalahleni Victor Khanye 33,9% Govan Mbeki Umjindi Mbombela Thembisile Hani 21,0% Thaba Chweu Mkhondo 20,2% Mpumalanga Msukaligwa Nkomazi 16,7% Lekwa = CRDP Sites Emakhazeni Dipaleseng 9,8% Bushbuckridge 8,2% Dr Pixley Ka Isaka Seme 3,1% Dr JS Moroka 2,6% Chief Albert Luthuli -0,9% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Percentage Mpumalanga = 20.0% 8 of 44

LABOUR INDICATORS LABOUR INDICATORS Census Census Share of Ranking: best (1) – worst Nkangala's figure (18) 2001 2011 2011 Economically Active Population 23 074 30 415 (EAP)/Labour Force Number of employed 13 266 21 843 6.1% Number of unemployed 9 808 8 573 5.6% Unemployment rate (%) 42.5% 28.2% 10 Unemployment rate of 28.2% (strict definition) in 2011 – 8 573 unemployed • as a percentage of the EAP of 30 415 – decreasing trend. Unemployment rate for females 37.9% and males 21.6% - youth • unemployment rate of 35.8% in 2011. • Employment number 6.1% of Nkangala's employed. Employment increased with 8 619 between 2001 & 2011! • 9 of 44

LABOUR - UNEMPLOYMENT RATE Unemployment rate by Local Municipal Area, 2011 Steve Tshwete Thaba Chweu Lekwa = CRDP Sites Emakhazeni Govan Mbeki Msukaligwa Umjindi Emalahleni Mbombela Victor Khanye 28,2% Mpumalanga Nkomazi 34,3% Chief Albert Luthuli 35,4% Mkhondo 35,9% Dr Pixley Ka Isaka Seme 36,1% Thembisile Hani 37,0% Dipaleseng 37,2% Dr JS Moroka 46,6% Bushbuckridge 52,1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Unemployment rate Mpumalanga = 31.6% 10 of 44

YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT RATE Youth unemployment rate by Local municipal area, 2011 Steve Tshwete Thaba Chweu Emakhazeni Govan Mbeki Msukaligwa Lekwa Victor Khanye 35,8% = CRDP Sites Emalahleni Umjindi Mbombela Mpumalanga Nkomazi 42,3% Mkhondo 44,6% Dr Pixley Ka Isaka Seme 45,1% Chief Albert Luthuli 45,1% Dipaleseng 45,2% Thembisile Hani 49,4% Dr JS Moroka 61,4% Bushbuckridge 64,6% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Youth unemployment rate (%) 11 of 44

LABOUR INDICATORS ( Sectoral employment ) 2001 2011 Private Agriculture Private Agriculture households 24,1% households 18,2% Community 11,9% 10,9% services 10,8% Community services 14,3% Finance 3,5% Mining 12,7% Finance 4,9% Mining 10,3% Transport Manufacturing Transport 5,4% Manufacturing 7,9% 5,2% 7,8% Construction Utilities 0,6% Utilities 0,5% Trade 21,7% 4,7% Construction Trade 18,7% 5,9% • Leading industries in terms of employment – trade 18.7%, agriculture 18.2% and community services 14.3%. • Decreasing role/share of agriculture & trade and increasing role/share of community services & mining as employer. 12 of 44

EDUCATION INDICATORS EDUCATION INDICATORS Trend Latest figure Better (+) or Better (+) or Ranking: best worse (-) than worse (-) than (1) – worst Nkangala province (18) 2001 2011 Number of people 20+ with no schooling 8 361 5 529 4 Population 20+ with no schooling (%) 25.9% 11.8% (-) (11.5%) (+) (14.1%) 7 Population 20+ with matric & higher (%) 18.7% 34.5% (-) (39.7%) (-) (38.7%) 10 Functional literacy rate (%) 56.0% 76.9% (-) (79.0%) (=) (76.9%) 8 • Citizens of 20+ with no schooling, 11.8% - 5 529 people (6.0% of Nkangala’s figure). • Population 20+ with matric & higher 34.5% - improving but lower than district and provincial averages. • Functional literacy rate (15+ and grade 7+) – increasing but lower than district and equal to provincial averages. • Matric pass rate 76.7% in 2012 – improving and ranked 5 th - university/degree admission rate of 26.2% in 2012. 13 of 44

EDUCATION – NO SCHOOLING % of people 20+ with no schooling by Local Municipal Area, 2011 Emalahleni Steve Tshwete Govan Mbeki Thaba Chweu Umjindi Lekwa = CRDP Sites Victor Khanye 11.8% Mbombela Dipaleseng 12,0% Msukaligwa Mpumalanga Emakhazeni Dr JS Moroka 17,5% Thembisile Hani 18,0% Mkhondo 18,1% Bushbuckridge 18.6% Dr Pixley Ka Isaka Seme 19,4% Chief Albert Luthuli 19,9% Nkomazi 25,7% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% % with no schooling Mpumalanga = 14.1% 14 of 44

EDUCATION – FUNCTIONAL LITERACY Functional literacy rate (15 years+ with Grade 7+) by Local Municipal Area, 2011 Emalahleni Steve Tshwete Govan Mbeki Mbombela Thaba Chweu Umjindi Msukaligwa Victor Khanye 76,9% Mpumalanga = CRDP Sites Lekwa Emakhazeni Bushbuckridge 74,0% Dipaleseng 73,4% Chief Albert Luthuli 72,1% Thembisile Hani 71,7% Dr JS Moroka 71,4% Dr Pixley Ka Isaka Seme 70,4% Mkhondo 69,7% Nkomazi 67,6% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% % with functional literacy Mpumalanga = 76.9% 15 of 44

HEALTH INDICATORS HEALTH INDICATORS 2009 2010 2011 Ranking: best (1) – worst (18) HIV prevalence rate - survey (pregnant women attending 30.0% 25.0% 55.0% 16 antenatal clinic 15-49 years old) HIV prevalence rate – DHIS 44.2% 34.4% 23.0% 10 (excluding pregnant women) Ranking: best (1) – 2010 2011 2012 worst (18) TB cases 485 499 428 3 PUBLIC HEALTH FACILITIES 2011 Number of clinics 3 Number of community health centres (CHC) 0 Number of hospitals 1 HIV prevalence rate of pregnant women was 55% in 2011 – increasing trend and third • highest in 2011 among the 18 municipal areas. • HIV prevalence rate excluding pregnant women was 23.0% in 2011 - decreasing trend. TB cases – decreased & 3 rd lowest in province. • • Clinics – 3 of Nkangala’s 84 clinics. • Community health centres - none of Nkangala’s 19 CHCs. • Hospitals – 1 of Nkangala’s 8 hospitals. 16 of 44

HEALTH - HIV PREVALENCE RATE Dr JS Moroka 19,0% Bushbuckridge 27,4% Steve Tshwete Thembisile Hani 31,5% Lekwa Emalahleni Thaba Chweu Nkomazi 37,5% Dr Pixley Ka Isaka Seme 39,0% Chief Albert Luthuli 43,2% Umjindi = CRDP Sites Mbombela Govan Mbeki Msukaligwa Emakhazeni Victor Khanye 55,0% Mkhondo 56,1% Dipaliseng 60,0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 17 of 44