Corn Export Cargo Quality Report Developing Markets Enabling Trade - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

U.S. Grains Council 2019/2020 Corn Export Cargo Quality Report Developing Markets ● Enabling Trade ● Improving Lives • May 29, 2020 • North East Asia Webinar

Quality, Reliability, Transparency Cor orn n Qu Qual alit ity y Rep epor ort Systematic survey of Building partnerships corn quality at harvest based on trust and of early exports Transparent and Bridge to world’s Consistent Methodology largest, most reliable grain supply Reliable and Comparable Data

Harvest Quality Report HARVEST QUALITY REPORT

Export Cargo Quality Report EXPORT CARGO REPORT

USGC Corn Quality Reports 2011/2012 through 2019/2020 2019/2020 Harvest Export Cargo

“Export Catchment Areas” (ECA) 430 export samples targeted from ECAs representing approximately 90% of U.S. Corn Exports

Quality Factors Tested Grading Factors Moisture Test weight Chemical Broken corn/foreign material Composition Total damage Heat damage Protein Starch Physical Factors Oil Stress cracks 100-kernel weight Mycotoxins Kernel volume Aflatoxin True density DON Whole kernels Fumonisin Horneous (hard) endosperm

2019/2020 Corn Export Cargo Quality Report Highlights Chemical Grade Factors/ Physical Factors Overall Crop Composition vs. Mycotoxins Moisture vs. 5YA vs. 5YA 5YA 99.8 .8 % of Test Weight Stress Cracks samples ≤ FDA action level Aggregate average Lower Protein Higher her for Aflatoxin ‡ BCFM slightly Slight htly ly Lower er BCFM exceeded maximum 100-Kernel Weight 100.0 00.0% of samples requirement for U.S. Hi Higher her Slight htly ly Lower er Starch No. 2 Slight htly ly Lower er below FDA advisory level for Total Damage True Density DON of 5.0 ppm ‡ Aggregate averages Higher her Lower Oil for other grade 93.3 .3 % of Same me Moisture factors rated U.S. Whole Kernels samples ≤ FDA Fumonisin Similar ilar Lower No. 1 or better guidance level of 5 ppm ‡ † 5YA = Marketing years 2014/2015 through 2018/2019 ‡ Action, advisory and guidance levels for corn intended for feed use

Grade Factors and Moisture

Grades and Grade Requirements Minimum Maximum Limits of Test Weight Damaged Kernels Heat Damage Total BCFM Grade lb/bu kg/hl (%) (%) (%) U.S. No. 1 56.0 72.1 0.1 3.0 2.0 U.S. No. 2 54.0 69.5 0.2 5.0 3.0 U.S. No. 3 52.0 66.9 0.5 7.0 4.0 U.S. No. 4 49.0 63.1 1.0 10.0 5.0 U.S. No. 5 46.0 59.2 3.0 15.0 7.0

Grade Factors and Moisture No. of Std. Samples Avg. Dev. Min. Max. Test Weight (lb/bu) 431 56.8 1.00 50.4 60.1 Test Weight (kg/hl) 431 73.1 1.29 64.9 77.4 BCFM (%) 431 3.1 0.79 0.9 7.0 Total Damage (%) 430 2.9 1.37 0.1 10.8 Heat Damage (%) 431 0.0 0.01 0.0 0.2 Moisture (%) 431 14.5 0.39 12.4 15.6

Test Weight – U.S. Units (lb/bu) U.S. Aggregate: 56.8 lb/bu Export Catchment Area Average Pacific Northwest ➢ Average lower than 5YA (57.4 lb/bu) 53.9 ➢ 73.1% No. 1 grade 57.5 58.0 Southern Rail Gulf 37.6 35.5 58.1 MY17/18 57.8 MY18/19 57.5 57.3 57.4 57.4 57.4 MY19/20 57.3 14.6 10.9 56.8 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3 16.3 13.3 43.3 41.3 40.5 43.1 <49.0 49.0-51.9 52.0-53.9 54.0-55.9 56.0-57.9 ≥ 58.0 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 Percent of Samples by Marketing Year Historical Aggregate by Marketing Year

Test Weight – Metric (kg/hl) U.S. Aggregate: 73.1 kg/hl Export Catchment Area Average Pacific Northwest ➢ Average lower r than 5YA (73.9 lb/bu) 69.3 ➢ 73.1% No. 1 grade 74.0 74.6 Southern Rail Gulf 74.8 37.6 74.4 35.5 MY17/18 74.0 73.7 73.8 73.9 73.9 73.8 MY18/19 MY19/20 14.6 73.1 10.9 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3 16.3 13.3 43.3 41.3 40.5 43.1 <63.1 63.1-66.8 66.9-69.4 69.5-72.0 72.1-74.6 ≥ 74.7 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 Percent of Samples by Marketing Year Historical Aggregate by Marketing Year

Broken Corn and Foreign Material* Sieve Size FM 12/64 inches (0.476 cm) Sieve Size 6/64 inches BC (0.238 cm) FM * Measured as % of weight

Broken Corn & Foreign Material (%) U.S. Aggregate: 3.1% Export Catchment Area Average Pacific Northwest ➢ 55.7% No. 2 grade 3.8 ➢ Average slightly ightly higher her than 5YA (2.9%) 2.2 3.0 Southern Rail Gulf 45.5 MY17/18 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 MY18/19 27.4 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 MY19/20 2.7 12.5 10.2 4.4 0.0 12.3 13.8 47.4 50.2 32.8 30.0 7.2 4.8 0.2 0.7 0.0 0.5 0.00-2.00 2.01-3.00 3.01-4.00 4.01-5.00 5.01-7.00 >7.00 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 Percent of Samples by Marketing Year Historical Aggregate by Marketing Year

Harvest vs. Export Cargo Broken Corn & Foreign Material (%) 3.5 9YA A An Annual l 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 Differenc erence from om 3.0 2.7 Harves Ha est 2.5 2.1% BCFM (%) 2.0 1.5 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 Harvest 0.5 Export 0.0 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 Marketing Year

Whole Kernels (%) Whole hole kernels rnels meas asures ures the percen centage tage of BCFM FM-free free kernels rnels that t are free ee of chips s and d pericarp carp damage. age. The two o kerne rnels s indica icated ed would ld not ot be consi side dered red whole ole kernels rnels. FM 12/64 inches BC 6/64 inches FM

Whole Kernels (%) U.S. Aggregate: 77.4% Export Catchment Area Average Pacific Northwest ➢ Average lower r than 5YA (87.1%) 66.6 84.4 80.5 Southern Rail Gulf MY17/18 34.7 MY18/19 89.9 88.6 88.4 89.5 88.2 MY19/20 87.5 21.5 84.4 85.2 20.4 16.9 6.5 77.4 0.0 4.9 5.3 12.3 8.9 35.1 26.1 33.0 43.8 14.0 15.1 0.7 0.7 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 <75.0 75.0-79.9 80.0-84.9 85.0-89.9 90.0-94.9 95.0-100.0 Percent of Samples by Marketing Year Historical Aggregate by Marketing Year

Harvest vs. Export Cargo Whole Kernels (%) 100.0 9YA A An Annual l 95.2 94.9 Differenc erence from om 94.4 95.0 93.8 93.6 93.0 92.4 Harves Ha est 90.8 89.9 89.9 89.5 -6.5% 90.0 Whole Kernels (%) 88.6 88.4 88.2 87.5 85.2 84.4 85.0 80.0 77.4 Harvest 75.0 Export 70.0 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 Marketing Year

Total Damage (%) U.S. Aggregate: 2.9% Export Catchment Area Average Pacific Northwest ➢ Average higher her than 5YA (2.3%) 1.6 ➢ 90.7% No. 2 grade 2.5 3.6 Southern Rail Gulf 2.9 2.7 59.8 2.6 MY17/18 2.3 MY18/19 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.7 MY19/20 30.9 7.4 1.6 0.2 0.0 86.5 64.9 11.6 29.8 1.6 3.9 0.0 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 0.00-3.00 3.01-5.00 5.01-7.00 7.01-10.00 10.01-15.00 >15.00 Percent of Samples by Marketing Year Historical Aggregate by Marketing Year

Harvest vs. Export Cargo Total Damage (%) 3.5 9YA A An Annual l 2.9 Differenc erence from om 3.0 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 Ha Harves est 2.5 2.3 Total Damage (%) 0.6% 2.0 1.9 1.9 2.0 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.3 1.1 0.9 1.0 0.8 Harvest 0.5 Export 0.0 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 Marketing Year

Heat Damage (%) U.S. Aggregate: 0.0% ➢ Only five samples in the entire sample set showed any heat damage (all either 0.1% or 0.2%). ➢ Average below the limit for U.S. No. 1 Grade ➢ Indicates good managemen agement t of the drying and storage of corn Percent of Samples by Marketing Year

Moisture (%) U.S. Aggregate: 14.5% Export Catchment Area Average Pacific Northwest ➢ Average simila milar to 5YA (14.4%) 14.6 14.7 14.4 Southern Rail Gulf 42.5 41.5 MY17/18 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 MY18/19 14.4 14.4 MY19/20 14.3 14.3 14.2 9.0 4.4 2.6 0.9 0.7 11.2 3.2 56.7 54.5 28.6 39.1 2.6 2.5 ≤ 13.50 13.51-14.00 14.01-14.50 14.51-15.00 >15.00 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 Percent of Samples by Marketing Year Historical Aggregate by Marketing Year

Harvest vs. Export Cargo Moisture (%) 18.0 17.5 17.3 9YA A An Annual l 17.0 16.6 16.6 Differenc erence from om 16.1 16.0 Ha Harves est 15.7 16.0 15.6 15.3 -1.9% 15.0 Moisture (%) 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.5 14.4 14.4 14.3 14.3 14.2 14.0 13.0 12.0 Harvest 11.0 Export 10.0 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 Marketing Year

Chemical Composition

Chemical Composition Important for poultry Influenced by Genetics, weather, and livestock feeding crop yields and available nitrogen Protein Supplies essential during the growing season amino acids Important for wet millers and dry-grind ethanol Starch manufacturers Influenced by Genetics, weather and crop yields Important by-product of wet and dry milling Oil Essential feed component

Chemical Composition No. of Std. Samples Avg. Dev. Min. Max. Protein (Dry Basis %) 432 8.3 0.29 7.1 9.3 Starch (Dry Basis %) 432 72.2 0.38 70.2 73.4 Oil (Dry Basis %) 432 4.0 0.15 3.6 4.6