CORESET II Progress of the Project (5/1) Lena Avellan Project Manager CORESET II MONAS20/2014, 8.-10.4.2014 Oslo, Norway CORESET II 4/9/2014 Lena Avellan 1
CORESET II in a nutshell • Operationalization of HELCOM core indicators for hazardous substances and biodiversity • Project running September 2013 - June 2015 • Supervized by HELCOM GEAR HELCOM MONAS comments on technical aspects HELCOM HABITAT comments on some BD-indicators • Development work is carried out by national experts termed Task Managers in Lead (TML) or Assisting (TMa) • All indicators will undergo an evaluation process to define which can be accepted as operational core indicators at the end of CORESET II CORESET II 4/9/2014 Lena Avellan 2
Rough schedule and milestones 2013 GEAR 5/2013 MONAS 19/2013 30-31.10.2013 19-22.11.2013 2014 HABITAT 16/2014 HELCOM CORESET II CORESET II MONAS 20/2014 GEAR 6/2014 GEAR MONAS 2/2014 1/2014 13.-16.5.2014 26-27.3.2014 8-10.4.2014 Autumn? 21/2014 September/ 15-16.1.2014 Sweden Oslo Berlin November ? October Berlin ”expert evaluation meeting” Kick-off TMs to present the Fill-in MORE template meeting developed core indicator, Gap-analysis, meeting to solve remaining criteria problems specification Possibly back-to-back with OSPAR COBAM 2015 • Pre-core and Candidate indicators work GEAR MONAS Core CORESET II HOD continues until summer 2015, meaning that Spring Spring indicators 3/2015 published June they can only be accepted by HOD ? ? ? 2015 on-line autum/2015 Maybe a need for a final overview – possibly back- to-back with EUTRO-OPER CORESET II 4/9/2014 Lena Avellan 3
Task Managers • Task Managers have been appointed either in Lead (TML) or as assisting (TMa) by GEAR Contacts • As of yesterday (7.4.) a total of 75 TMs have been officially appointed • In addition, a number of national experts have expressed interest in joining the TM-work but have not yet been appointed by their GEAR contact and some experts have been named as other relevant experts who wish to follow the discussions • Indicators with only TMa:s assigned have so far not made progress CORESET II 4/9/2014 Lena Avellan 4
CORESET II kick-off 15-16 January 2014, Berlin • Carried out a gap-analysis • Looked into specific tasks that TMs need to carry out and discussed organizing the work • Specified the criteria an indicator must fulfill to be a core indicator CORESET II 4/9/2014 Lena Avellan 5
Data-arrangements Criteria a core indicator must fulfill e) Data management arrangements • Detailed description of data-flow; sampling->analyzing->hosting • Long-term updating practices agreed, containing information on: 1. Collected data is reported frequently at a certain month 2. A certain institute/CP/group carries out the analyses required for the indicator based on common data 3. Long-term data storage, e.g. Specified common database • Quality assurance routines in place for data CORESET II 4/9/2014 Lena Avellan 6
Data-arrangements Different options are available and need to be considered 1. ICES is currently processing and hosting some of the data used in the core indicators through COMBINE 2. Some HELCOM expert groups have collected and analyzed data 3. External contractors are involved in some of the core indicator development CORESET II 4/9/2014 Lena Avellan 7
Data-arrangements 1) Using ICES to compile, review and agree to publish: • ICES has hosted the COMBINE-data since 1998 (previously BMP) • CPs report data to ICES, established system • ICES provides data that has been somewhat processed to the HELCOM community CORESET II 4/9/2014 Lena Avellan 8
Data-arrangements 1) Using ICES to compile, review and agree to publish: + Well established reporting system + ICES capacity for data-handling and storage is much higher than e.g. the HELCOM Secretariat - ICES schedules are sometimes out of synch with the HELCOM schedules - Slow process to correct problems in data once it has been sent to HELCOM (e.g. hazardous substance core indicators in CORESET I) CORESET II 4/9/2014 Lena Avellan 9
Data-arrangements 2) Using HELCOM groups to compile, review and agree to publish: • HELCOM SEAL 7/2013 discussed a detailed workflow (annual/bi-annual update): • Data from CPs from previous year (or more recent) reported to the team leader (ultimately to a common database) by March each year • Data analysed, necessary graphs updated and text of the core indicator report amended by end of August each year, submission to HELCOM SEAL by mid-September • Annual HELCOM SEAL meeting to consider the updates and agree to publish CORESET II 4/9/2014 Lena Avellan 10
Data-arrangements 2) Using HELCOM groups to compile, review and agree to publish: + Data processing and QA/QC carried out in the HELCOM family + National experts in control of interpretation of the indicator result - Only few permanent/semi-permanent HELCOM expert groups exist - Capacity for project-type HELCOM groups to process data is limited CORESET II 4/9/2014 Lena Avellan 11
Data-arrangements 3) Using external groups/contractors/consultants to compile, review and agree to publish: • HELCOM CPs collect data and submit for analysis to contractor • Suggested e.g. for bird-indicators as no HELCOM group is available but nationally collected annual data needs processing CORESET II 4/9/2014 Lena Avellan 12
Data-arrangements 3) Using external groups/contractors/consultants to compile, review and agree to publish: + Several available and specialized actors - The cost may become high - HELCOM experts and CPs have lower control of the interpretation of the indicator results CORESET II 4/9/2014 Lena Avellan 13
Data-arrangements HELCOM biodiversity database • Pilot-outcome of the EU-RSC-Data project Deltares in the lead, SYKE included 6/2014 - 12/2014 • Pilot-database to be developed for HELCOM RED LIST data, mainly species data • Writing INSPIRE compatible metadata • Develop interface to the HELCOM Map and Data service • To be hosted at the HELCOM Secretariat CORESET II 4/9/2014 Lena Avellan 14
Data-arrangements HELCOM biodiversity database A cluster of HELCOM biodiversity databases probable in the future, due to different data models, different update intervals etc. • Red List; distribution and quality data, updated 6/12 years • Core indicators; variable data-content, updated at various intervals • HELCOM MPA-database; under development • Harbour porpoise; database sporadically updated • Alien species port database; developed as a tool for granting ballast water exemptions CORESET II 4/9/2014 Lena Avellan 15
GES • All GES currently provisional according to decision at HOD 41/2013 • Developing GES is in focus for CORESET II • TML have reported progress, note that indicators with only TMa have as a rule not made concrete progress CORESET II 4/9/2014 Lena Avellan 16
GES Criteria a core indicator must fulfill b) Assessment methods, c) GES bondaries or assessment criteria, • Covers whole Baltic Sea and identified HELCOM Assessment Units where indicator is assessed, e.g. All seals not assessed in whole Baltic Sea • Assessment methods and rationale described in detail, e.g. Statistical test and description (protocol) • GES-rationale clearly described • GES-value(or boundary) endorsed and described separately if different in CORESET II 4/9/2014 Lena Avellan 17
GES - biodiveristy • Mammals – concepts are there, discussions on setting the boundary • Waterbirds – tentative boundary and deviation that need strengthening • By-caught waterbirds – no GES, proposal to use model for decline • Coastal fish – FISH-PRO II agreed on GES in 2013, planned to use the concept in CORESET II • Macrozoobenthos – discussion on the BQI-concept and the population structure (species unclear) are ongoing and discussions on setting the boundary in the future • Macrophytes – species-specific reference values to be used and discussions on which species to use are still on-going CORESET II 4/9/2014 Lena Avellan 18
GES – hazardous substances • PFOS and HBCDD – in place • Reproductive disorders – tentative, whether to use percentile or trend is still unclear • EROD and Vitellogenin – tentative, whether to use percentiles or trend is still unclear CORESET II 4/9/2014 Lena Avellan 19
Gap analysis -BSAP Segment Objective Core indicators targeting the Pre-core- or objective candidate indicators targeting the primarily secondarily objective Eutrophication Concentration of nutrients close to natural level 2 0 0 Clear water 1 0 0 Natural levels of algal blooms 1 0 0 Natural distribution and occurrence of plants and animals 6 0 1 Natural oxygen levels 1 0 0 Hazardous Concentrations of hazardous substances close to natural 7 0 2 substances levels Fish safe to eat 0 7 2 Healthy wildlife 3 3 9 Radioactivity at pre-Chernobyl level 1 0 0 Biodiversity Natural marine and coastal landscapes 0 0 2 Thriving and balanced communities of plants and animals 5 1 0 Viable populations of species 11 1 2 Others No illegal pollution 0 0 1 Safe maritime traffic without accidental pollution 0 0 1 No introduction of alien species 1 0 0 CORESET II 4/9/2014 Lena Avellan 20
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