CORESET II Operationalization of HELCOM indicator- based assessment system for biodiversity (doc. 5/3) Lena Avellan Project Manager CORESET II HABITAT16/2014, 14.5.2014 Gothenburg, Sweden CORESET II 5/14/2014 Lena Avellan 1
HELCOM Monitoring and Assessment Strategy (2013) CORESET II 5/14/2014 Lena Avellan 2
CORESET II in a nutshell • Operationalization of HELCOM core indicators for hazardous substances and biodiversity • Project running September 2013 - June 2015 • Supervized by HELCOM GEAR HELCOM MONAS comments on technical aspects HELCOM HABITAT comments on some BD-indicators • Development work is carried out by national experts termed Task Managers in Lead (TML) or Assisting (TMa) • All indicators will undergo an evaluation process to define which can be accepted as operational core indicators at the end of CORESET II CORESET II 5/14/2014 Lena Avellan 3
Rough schedule and milestones 2013 GEAR 5/2013 MONAS 19/2013 30-31.10.2013 19-22.11.2013 2014 HELCOM CORESET II HABITAT 16/2014 CORESET II MONAS 20/2014 GEAR 6/2014 GEAR MONAS 1/2014 2/2014 13.-16.5.2014 26-27.3.2014 8-10.4.2014 Autumn? 21/2014 September 15-16.1.2014 Oslo Sweden Berlin Sweden November ? Berlin Focusing work and limiting the number of candidates ”expert evaluation meeting” Kick-off meeting TMs to present the developed Gap-analysis core indicator, meeting to solve criteria specification remaining problems Fill-in MORE template back-to-back with OSPAR COBAM 2015 • Pre-core and Candidate indicators work GEAR MONAS Core ?CORESET II HOD continues until summer 2015, meaning that Spring Spring indicators 3/2015 published June they can only be accepted by HOD ? ? Poland? 2015 on-line autum/2015 Maybe a need for a final overview – possibly back-to-back with EUTRO-OPER CORESET II 5/14/2014 Lena Avellan 4
Task Managers • Task Managers have been appointed either in Lead (TML) or as assisting (TMa) by GEAR Contacts • As of yesterday (12.5.) a total of 80 TMs have been officially appointed CORESET II 5/14/2014 Lena Avellan 5
CORESET II kick-off 15-16 January 2014, Berlin • Carried out a gap-analysis • Looked into specific tasks that TMs need to carry out and discussed organizing the work • HELCOM GEAR 5/2013 set priorities and general criterias for indicator development in CORESET II, the criteria an indicator must fullfill to be operational were further specificed ( Annex1 ) CORESET II 5/14/2014 Lena Avellan 6
GES - biodiveristy • Mammals – concepts are there, discussions on setting the boundary • Waterbirds – tentative boundary and deviation that need strengthening • By-caught waterbirds – no GES, proposal to use model for decline • Coastal fish – FISH-PRO II agreed on GES in 2013, planned to use the concept in CORESET II • Macrozoobenthos – discussion on the BQI-concept and the population structure (species unclear) are ongoing and discussions on setting the boundary in the future • Macrophytes – species-specific reference values to be used and discussions on which species to use are still on-going CORESET II 5/14/2014 Lena Avellan 7
Gap analysis -BSAP Segment Objective Core indicators targeting the Pre-core- or objective candidate indicators targeting the primarily secondarily objective Eutrophication Concentration of nutrients close to natural level 2 0 0 Clear water 1 0 0 Natural levels of algal blooms 1 0 0 Natural distribution and occurrence of plants and animals 6 0 1 Natural oxygen levels 1 0 0 Hazardous Concentrations of hazardous substances close to natural 7 0 2 substances levels Fish safe to eat 0 7 2 Healthy wildlife 3 3 9 Radioactivity at pre-Chernobyl level 1 0 0 Biodiversity Natural marine and coastal landscapes 0 0 2 Thriving and balanced communities of plants and animals 5 1 0 Viable populations of species 11 1 2 Others No illegal pollution 0 0 1 Safe maritime traffic without accidental pollution 0 0 1 No introduction of alien species 1 0 0 CORESET II 5/14/2014 Lena Avellan 8
Gap analysis -MSFD Descriptor Criteria Core indicators targeting the criteria Pre-core- or candidate indicators targeting the criteria primarily secondarily 1. 1.1 0 3 2 5 1 0 1.2. 1.3 5 2 1 1.4 0 0 1 1.5 0 0 2 1.6 4 1 6 1 0 0 2. 2.1 2.2. 0 0 0 3. 3.1. 0 0 0 3.2. 0 0 0 4. 4.1. 3 2 1 1 0 0 4.2 4.3 8 0 9 5. 5.1 2 0 0 5.2 2 0 5 5.3 1 1 1 0 0 4 6. 6.1 6.2 2 1 0 7. 7.1 0 0 0 7.2 0 0 0 8. 8.1 7 0 2 1 5 10 8.2 9. 9.1 0 7 2 10. 10.1. 0 0 3 10.2. 0 0 1 0 0 1 11. 11.1. 11.2. 0 0 1 CORESET II 5/14/2014 Lena Avellan 9
CORESET II prioritiy No.1 - operationalization of core indicators Data-arrangements Criteria a core indicator must fulfill e) Data management arrangements • Detailed description of data-flow; sampling->analyzing->hosting • Long-term updating practices agreed, containing information on: 1. Collected data is reported frequently at a certain month 2. A certain institute/CP/group carries out the analyses required for the indicator based on common data 3. Long-term data storage, e.g. Specified common database • Quality assurance routines in place for data CORESET II 5/14/2014 Lena Avellan 10
CORESET II prioritiy No.1 - operationalization of core indicators Data-arrangements Different options are available and need to be considered 1. ICES is currently processing and hosting some of the data used in the core indicators through COMBINE 2. Some HELCOM expert groups have collected and analyzed data 3. External contractors are involved in some of the core indicator development CORESET II 5/14/2014 Lena Avellan 11
CORESET II prioritiy No.1 - operationalization of core indicators HABITAT16 invited to discuss long-term management of bird indicators • How to operationalize the data-handling for bird indicators? • Bird indicators rely on sensus counts in national monitoring • Currently there is no HELCOM entity or other group that could annually collect the data from all sources for analysis to update the indicator CORESET II 5/14/2014 Lena Avellan 12
CORESET II prioritiy No.1 - operationalization of core indicators BALSAM WP3 (birds) meeting 8.5.2014 Tallinn Abundance of waterbirds in the wintering season & Abundance of waterbirds in the breeding season – No common data-arrangements – GES boundaries tentative – Stated that monitoring methods differ – > detailed discussion needed to resolve this – Assessment units need to be specified CORESET II 5/14/2014 Lena Avellan 13
CORESET II prioritiy No.1 - operationalization of core indicators BALSAM WP3 (birds) meeting 8.5.2014 Tallinn White-tail eagle productivity – No TML assigned to the indicator – GES boundaries set for three main parameters – HELCOM assessment units to be specified – National monitoring in SE, DE, FI with practical work carried out by NGOs, lacks data from several CPs – No official data-reporting procedure CORESET II 5/14/2014 Lena Avellan 14
CORESET II prioritiy No.1 - operationalization of core indicators BALSAM WP3 (birds) meeting 8.5.2014 Tallinn Number of drowned mammals and waterbirds in fishing gears – Circulated questionnaire highlighted that no CP monitors adequately – Some progress, but now somewhat unclear how to progress and what data would support the operational indicator CORESET II 5/14/2014 Lena Avellan 15
CORESET II prioritiy No.1 - operationalization of core indicators BALSAM WP3 (birds) meeting 8.5.2014 Tallinn Number of waterbirds being oiled annually (pre-core) – Basing an indicator on beach surveys of oiled birds (currently not done in all countries) is not a good option, most seaducks affected by oil live offshore and drown before reaching the beach – Suggestion to develop into a pressure indicator e.g. ’ petroleum products in sea water ’. • Monitoring input from HELCOM aerial survey data, possibly chemical analysis of water samples • Setting the environmental target based on amounts of oil negatively affecting seabirds and possibly other ecological elements, the pressure remaining below that level would indicate that GES would be reached. CORESET II 5/14/2014 Lena Avellan 16
CORESET II prioritiy No.1 - operationalization of core indicators BALSAM WP3 (birds) meeting 8.5.2014 Tallinn Distribution of seabirds (candidate) – Current ’abundance’ indicator not be sufficient (MSFD) – Distribution changes important indicators coupled to abundance e.g. shifts in distribution have been coupled to climate change – Creating a robust indicator is challenging due to annual variability, first step to build the indicator around distribution of breeding birds – Monitoring input from existing sensus for coastal areas, off-shore currently not sufficiently covered CORESET II 5/14/2014 Lena Avellan 17
CORESET II prioritiy No.2 - complete pre-core indicators Cumulative impacts on benthic habitats – Work progressing nicely with close contacts to the corresponding OSPAR indicator development group – Coarseness of data and availability of map-layers the biggest concern – Wherther to include oxygen depletion is the main conceptual ’?’ CORESET II 5/14/2014 Lena Avellan 18
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