Introduction CREDIT Hybrid design Results Conclusions Connecting E-Hailing to Mass Transit Platform Marco Nie 1 1 Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Northwestern University Transportation Center Seminar Series, Northwestern University, 2016 Nie Credit
Introduction CREDIT Hybrid design Results Conclusions Outline Introduction 1 CREDIT 2 Hybrid design 3 Results 4 Conclusions 5 Nie Credit
Introduction CREDIT Hybrid design Results Conclusions Challenges Chronic traffic congestion (Over $ 100 billion/year for wasted time and fuel in the US) Nie Credit
Introduction CREDIT Hybrid design Results Conclusions Challenges Elevated environment impacts of travel (about a quarter of green house gas emissions) Nie Credit
Introduction CREDIT Hybrid design Results Conclusions Challenges Added vulnerability to energy insecurity (60% petroleum in the US) Nie Credit
Introduction CREDIT Hybrid design Results Conclusions Challenges Limited mobility options for those who cannot drive. Nie Credit
Introduction CREDIT Hybrid design Results Conclusions Towards sustainable transportation My research has been focused on developing solutions for sustainable transportation. Specifically, my research profile in the past five years features: Nie Credit
Introduction CREDIT Hybrid design Results Conclusions Towards sustainable transportation My research has been focused on developing solutions for sustainable transportation. Specifically, my research profile in the past five years features: Promoting alternative fuel vehicles; Nie Credit
Introduction CREDIT Hybrid design Results Conclusions Towards sustainable transportation My research has been focused on developing solutions for sustainable transportation. Specifically, my research profile in the past five years features: Promoting alternative fuel vehicles; Exploiting novel travel demand management strategies; Nie Credit
Introduction CREDIT Hybrid design Results Conclusions Towards sustainable transportation My research has been focused on developing solutions for sustainable transportation. Specifically, my research profile in the past five years features: Promoting alternative fuel vehicles; Exploiting novel travel demand management strategies; Reinventing transit systems; Nie Credit
Introduction CREDIT Hybrid design Results Conclusions Towards sustainable transportation My research has been focused on developing solutions for sustainable transportation. Specifically, my research profile in the past five years features: Promoting alternative fuel vehicles; Exploiting novel travel demand management strategies; Reinventing transit systems; Analyzing new mobility services Nie Credit
Introduction CREDIT Hybrid design Results Conclusions Disruptive technologies Mobile computing and communication technologies Nie Credit
Introduction CREDIT Hybrid design Results Conclusions Disruptive technologies New vehicle technology Nie Credit
Introduction CREDIT Hybrid design Results Conclusions Disruptive technologies Ridesourcing and ridesharing Nie Credit
Introduction CREDIT Hybrid design Results Conclusions Disruptive technologies Social network Nie Credit
Introduction CREDIT Hybrid design Results Conclusions Future of personal mobility Nie Credit
Introduction CREDIT Hybrid design Results Conclusions Future of personal mobility Most travellers will give up not only driving but likely also car ownership; Nie Credit
Introduction CREDIT Hybrid design Results Conclusions Future of personal mobility Most travellers will give up not only driving but likely also car ownership; Personal travel will be mostly provided as a public service, operated by driverless cars; Nie Credit
Introduction CREDIT Hybrid design Results Conclusions Future of personal mobility Most travellers will give up not only driving but likely also car ownership; Personal travel will be mostly provided as a public service, operated by driverless cars; Traffic congestion will be here to stay (if not becoming worse). Nie Credit
Introduction CREDIT Hybrid design Results Conclusions Future of personal mobility Most travellers will give up What do we need to get there? not only driving but likely also car ownership; Personal travel will be mostly provided as a public service, operated by driverless cars; Traffic congestion will be here to stay (if not becoming worse). Nie Credit
Introduction CREDIT Hybrid design Results Conclusions Future of personal mobility Most travellers will give up What do we need to get there? not only driving but likely New strategies for design and also car ownership; operation Personal travel will be mostly New theories for regulations provided as a public service, and policies operated by driverless cars; New mathematical models Traffic congestion will be for forecasting and planning here to stay (if not becoming worse). Nie Credit
Introduction CREDIT Hybrid design Results Conclusions Case of Transportation Network Companies Transportation Network Companies are touted as a strong contender as the future personal travel provider. Nie Credit
Introduction CREDIT Hybrid design Results Conclusions Case of Transportation Network Companies Transportation Network Companies are touted as a strong contender as the future personal travel provider. Car manufacturers and tech giants are busy building part- nership with them. Nie Credit
Introduction CREDIT Hybrid design Results Conclusions Case of Transportation Network Companies Transportation Network Companies are touted as a strong contender as the future personal travel provider. Car manufacturers and tech giants are busy building part- nership with them. Uber and Didi Chuxing are valued currently at $68B and $36B, respectively Nie Credit
Introduction CREDIT Hybrid design Results Conclusions Case of Transportation Network Companies Uber lost $1.27B in the first half of 2016, and Didi Chux- ing lost about $1.6B in 2015 based on some estimation. Nie Credit
Introduction CREDIT Hybrid design Results Conclusions Case of Transportation Network Companies New York City Taxi Ridership from 2010 - 2016 Uber lost $1.27B in the first 550,000 half of 2016, and Didi Chux- 500,000 450,000 ing lost about $1.6B in 2015 400,000 Jan-Jun based on some estimation. 350,000 Jul-Dec 300,000 There are signs that TNCs’ 250,000 200,000 expansion in the market has 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 slowed in recent months. Taxi ridership from 2013 - 2015 (Shenzhen, China) 4000 3800 3600 Thousand Passenger 3400 2013 3200 2014 3000 2800 2015 2600 2016 2400 2200 2000 Jan Apr May Jul Aug Oct Nov Nie Credit
Introduction CREDIT Hybrid design Results Conclusions Case of Transportation Network Companies New York City Taxi Ridership from 2010 - 2016 Uber lost $1.27B in the first 550,000 half of 2016, and Didi Chux- 500,000 450,000 ing lost about $1.6B in 2015 400,000 Jan-Jun based on some estimation. 350,000 Jul-Dec 300,000 There are signs that TNCs’ 250,000 200,000 expansion in the market has 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 slowed in recent months. Taxi ridership from 2013 - 2015 (Shenzhen, China) 4000 TNCs’ current business 3800 3600 Thousand Passenger 3400 model, built on e-hailing, 2013 3200 2014 3000 economy of scale and ag- 2800 2015 2600 2016 2400 gressive pricing, can only go 2200 2000 so far (Nie, 2016) Jan Apr May Jul Aug Oct Nov Nie Credit
Introduction CREDIT Hybrid design Results Conclusions Case of Transportation Network Companies TNCs are now betting heavily on driverless cars. Nie Credit
Introduction CREDIT Hybrid design Results Conclusions Case of Transportation Network Companies TNCs are now betting heavily on driverless cars. But can driverless cars solve all the problems? Nie Credit
Introduction CREDIT Hybrid design Results Conclusions Case of Transportation Network Companies TNCs are now betting heavily on driverless cars. But can driverless cars solve all the problems? Much greater ride consol- idation/sharing must be achieved. Nie Credit
Introduction CREDIT Hybrid design Results Conclusions Case of Transportation Network Companies TNCs are now betting heavily on driverless cars. But can driverless cars solve all the problems? Much greater ride consol- idation/sharing must be achieved. Structured routes must be put in place, along with flex- ible routes. Nie Credit
Introduction CREDIT Hybrid design Results Conclusions What is CREDIT Phyical System Regular stops CybeR-Enabled Demand Interactive Fixed-route service On-demand check points Transit (CREDIT) is a hybrid system in- ‘On-demand service Regular stops tegrating flexible routes with structured routes. Service request Trip guidance GPS trajectory real time service information s e t u o Real-time service R information On-demand router G P S t r a j e c t o r y Control and Communication Center Trip planner a a t d a l i c o r s t H i System designer H i s t o r c i a l d a t a Historical data Cyber System Data warehouse Nie Credit
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