Calculation of fuel consumption and CO 2 emissions in Côte d’Ivoire: Methodology and Results Hyacinthe Naré Sub-regional workshop on sharing results and policy strategies for the implementation of the Global Fuel Economy Initiative in ECOWAS countries Abidjan, July 11-13, 2017
Le GFEI GFEI | Calculation of fuel consumption and CO2 emissions in Côte d’Ivoire : Methodology and Results | Hyacinthe Naré 2
GFEI: Global Fuel Economy Initiative • L’Initiative Mondiale pour l’Economie du Carburant (GFEI) • Partenariat de 6 organisations • Promouvoir les améliorations réelles d'économie de carburant et le déploiement maximal des technologies d'économie de carburant • Aider les gouvernements et les acteurs du transport à promouvoir une plus grande économie de carburant Source: https://www.globalfueleconomy.org/ GFEI | Calculation of fuel consumption and CO2 emissions in Côte d’Ivoire : Methodology and Results | Hyacinthe Naré 3
GFEI: Le problème Le nombre de véhicules légers sur la planète pourrait tripler de 2010 a 2050, avec la plus grande partie de cette croissance observée dans les économies émergentes Pollution de l’air ambiant 2.5 2050 3X v. 2005_______ Changement climatique 2 Encombrement des voies 2030 2X v. 2005_______ 1.5 Billion LDVs Accidents 1 Etc. 0.5 0 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 OECD Non-OECD Sources: IEA Energy Technology Perspectives, 2012 ICCT, International Council on Clean Transportation GFEI | Calculation of fuel consumption and CO2 emissions in Côte d’Ivoire : Methodology and Results | Hyacinthe Naré 4
GFEI: Objectifs Atteindre la cible de 100 Doubler l’économie Doubler l’économie pays s’engageant a agir pour moyenne de carburant moyenne de carburant l’économie de carburant, de tous les véhicules de tous les véhicules conformément aux objectifs neufs d’ici 2030 d’ici 2050 du GFEI (‘ 100 pour 50 d’ici 50’ ) Source: https://www.globalfueleconomy.org/ GFEI | Calculation of fuel consumption and CO2 emissions in Côte d’Ivoire : Methodology and Results | Hyacinthe Naré 5
Atteindre l’objectif GFEI stabilisera les les ém émis issio ions de de CO 2 2 lié liées au aux véh éhic icule les lég égers , , mal algré la a cr crois issance du du par parc aut automobile le Atteindre l’objectif GFEI pourrait réduire les émissions de CO 2 de 33 milliards de tonnes entre 2015 et 2050 au delà des politiques adoptées Politiques adoptées avant Février 2014 Objectif GFEI GFEI | Calculation of fuel consumption and CO2 emissions in Côte d’Ivoire : Methodology and Results | Hyacinthe Naré 6 http://www.theicct.org/global-transportation-roadmap-model
Avantages de l’économie de carburant Réduction des émissions Amélioration de la qualité Réduction de la Economies financières de l’air de CO 2 dépendance en pétrole Source: https://www.globalfueleconomy.org/ GFEI | Calculation of fuel consumption and CO2 emissions in Côte d’Ivoire : Methodology and Results | Hyacinthe Naré 7
Côte d’Ivoire new vehicles fleet analysis GFEI | Calculation of fuel consumption and CO2 emissions in Côte d’Ivoire : Methodology and Results | Hyacinthe Naré 8
Côte d’Ivoire new vehicles Data fleet analysis GFEI | Calculation of fuel consumption and CO2 emissions in Côte d’Ivoire : Methodology and Results | Hyacinthe Naré 9
The 2015 database Genre de vehicules Genre de vehicules Genre de vehicules 555 (Heavy-duty vehicles) (Light-duty vehicles) (Agricultural and entries construction Buses ( Autocar-buses ) Passenger cars equipment) ( Voiture particuliere ) Trucks ( Camion ) 7291 Chariot elevateur Light Trucks vehicles ( Camionnette ) Plateau Tracteur agricole 9 genres Tracteur routier Vehicule a usage specifique GFEI | Calculation of fuel consumption and CO2 emissions in Côte d’Ivoire : Methodology and Results | Hyacinthe Naré 10
The 2015 database A focus on Light-duty vehicles: motor vehicles having at least four wheels and for the carriage of passengers and goods , comprising no more than eight seats in addition to the driver’s seat, and having a maximum mass (“technically permissible maximum laden mass”) not exceeding 3.5 tons by the European Commission (Transport Policy 2015). Genre de vehicules Genre de vehicules Genre de vehicules 555 (Heavy-duty vehicles) (Light-duty vehicles) (Agricultural and entries construction Buses ( Autocar-buses ) Passenger cars equipment) ( Voiture particuliere ) Trucks ( Camion ) 7291 Chariot elevateur Light Trucks vehicles ( Camionnette ) Plateau Tracteur agricole 9 genres Tracteur routier Vehicule a usage specifique GFEI | Calculation of fuel consumption and CO2 emissions in Côte d’Ivoire : Methodology and Results | Hyacinthe Naré 11
The ideal database • Information required • Additional information GFEI | Calculation of fuel consumption and CO2 emissions in Côte d’Ivoire : Methodology and Results | Hyacinthe Naré 12
Côte d’Ivoire new vehicles Methodology fleet analysis GFEI | Calculation of fuel consumption and CO2 emissions in Côte d’Ivoire : Methodology and Results | Hyacinthe Naré 13
Data preparation • The database includes all vehicles ( heavy-duty, light-duty, agricultural and construction equipment) in 2015 • We extracted all “motor vehicles having at least four wheels and for the carriage of passengers and goods , comprising no more than eight seats in addition to the driver’s seat, and having a maximum mass (“technically permissible maximum laden mass”) not exceeding 3.5 tons by the European Commission • Nearly 36% of the entries were removed and the analysis was conducted on 355 entries GFEI | Calculation of fuel consumption and CO2 emissions in Côte d’Ivoire : Methodology and Results | Hyacinthe Naré 14
Calculation of fuel consumption and CO 2 emissions • The methodology assumes that all LDVs are imported from the European Union • The International Council on Clean Transportation (ICCT), a GFEI partner ) has compiled in a database all light-duty vehicles in the European Union, with attributes including fuel consumption and CO 2 emissions. • The data was extracted from the EU database with all required details GFEI | Calculation of fuel consumption and CO2 emissions in Côte d’Ivoire : Methodology and Results | Hyacinthe Naré 15
Example: Mitsubishi camionnette L200 gasoil http://1001carreviews.com/mit subishi/mitsubishi-l200-2015- 2016 / 2015 Côte d’Ivoire database 2015 EU database GFEI | Calculation of fuel consumption and CO2 emissions in Côte d’Ivoire : Methodology and Results | Hyacinthe Naré 16
Côte d’Ivoire new vehicles Results fleet analysis GFEI | Calculation of fuel consumption and CO2 emissions in Côte d’Ivoire : Methodology and Results | Hyacinthe Naré 17
Résultats Fuel consumption CO 2 emissions (gCO 2 / km) (l/100km) 2015 7.98 189.73 2015 ( Top 10) 8.04 204.73 2014( Top 10) 8.46 216.7 2013 ( Top 9) 8.47 215.5 GFEI | Calculation of fuel consumption and CO2 emissions in Côte d’Ivoire : Methodology and Results | Hyacinthe Naré 18
Comparaison 2008-2015 300 12 250 10 200 8 150 6 100 4 50 2 0 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 CO2 emissions Fuel Consumption GFEI | Calculation of fuel consumption and CO2 emissions in Côte d’Ivoire : Methodology and Results | Hyacinthe Naré 19
Increasing share of diesel vehicles in top 10 models 2015 2014 Les véhicules gasoil non Essenc contrôlés sont e sources de 38% pollution de l’air Essence 47% Gas-oil Gas-oil Essence Gas-oil 62% 53% 2014 data is based on BestSellingCars.com and 2015 from Cote d’Ivoire’s database 20
The market GFEI | Calculation of fuel consumption and CO2 emissions in Côte d’Ivoire : Methodology and Results | Hyacinthe Naré 21
Camionnettes et véhicules utilitaires dominent les modèles les plus vendus 0 100 200 FORD RANGER MITSUBISHI L200 TOYOTA HILUX RENAULT DUSTER Pickup TOYOTA RAV4 SUV MAZDA BT50 Passenger car GREAT WALL (UNSPECIFIED) CITROEN C4 AIRCROSS TOYOTA HILUX FORD ECOSPORT GFEI | Calculation of fuel consumption and CO2 emissions in Côte d’Ivoire : Methodology and Results | Hyacinthe Naré 22
Les 10 marques les plus vendues 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 TOYOTA 14.5% HYUNDAI 12.0% 11.3% RENAULT FORD 10.9% CAMIONNETTE MITSUBISHI 10.3% VOITURE PARTICULIERE NISSAN 8.2% KIAMOTORS 5.8% 5.3% GREAT WALL 3.1% MAZDA VOLKSWAGEN 2.8% GFEI | Calculation of fuel consumption and CO2 emissions in Côte d’Ivoire : Methodology and Results | Hyacinthe Naré 23
The way forward GFEI | Calculation of fuel consumption and CO2 emissions in Côte d’Ivoire : Methodology and Results | Hyacinthe Naré 24
The way forward • Continue building a robust database • Compile data for motorcycles, tricycles, buses • Understand the end-of-life of vehicles • Integrated transportation policies • Mass Transit BRT GFEI | Calculation of fuel consumption and CO2 emissions in Côte d’Ivoire : Methodology and Results | Hyacinthe Naré 25
Merci hyacinthenare@gmail.com (remerciements: the ICCT) GFEI | Calculation of fuel consumption and CO2 emissions in Côte d’Ivoire : Methodology and Results | Hyacinthe Naré 26
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