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Building Trust for Sample Voting N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Randomness in Politics Random Sample Voting Building Trust The Public Opinion Platform The Future Building Trust for Sample Voting N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC Talk at TeSS 2017 27th June 2017 N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC

  1. Randomness in Politics Random Sample Voting Building Trust The Public Opinion Platform The Future Building Trust for Sample Voting N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC Talk at TeSS 2017 27th June 2017 N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC Building Trust for Sample Voting

  2. Randomness in Politics Random Sample Voting Building Trust The Public Opinion Platform The Future Plan of the talk 1 Randomness in Politics 2 Random Sample Voting 3 Building Trust 4 The Public Opinion Platform 5 The Future N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC Building Trust for Sample Voting

  3. Randomness in Politics Random Sample Voting Building Trust The Public Opinion Platform The Future Believing Monty Hall N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC Building Trust for Sample Voting

  4. Randomness in Politics Random Sample Voting Building Trust The Public Opinion Platform The Future The Monty Hall Problem N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC Building Trust for Sample Voting

  5. Randomness in Politics Random Sample Voting Building Trust The Public Opinion Platform The Future The Monty Hall Problem N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC Building Trust for Sample Voting

  6. Randomness in Politics Random Sample Voting Building Trust The Public Opinion Platform The Future The Monty Hall Problem N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC Building Trust for Sample Voting

  7. Randomness in Politics Random Sample Voting Building Trust The Public Opinion Platform The Future The Monty Hall Problem N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC Building Trust for Sample Voting

  8. Randomness in Politics Random Sample Voting Building Trust The Public Opinion Platform The Future The Monty Hall Problem N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC Building Trust for Sample Voting

  9. Randomness in Politics Random Sample Voting Building Trust The Public Opinion Platform The Future The Monty Hall Problem Switching is very counter-intuitive More than 10000 complaints from readers Close to 1000 from people with PhDs N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC Building Trust for Sample Voting

  10. Randomness in Politics Random Sample Voting Building Trust The Public Opinion Platform The Future The Monty Hall Problem Switching is very counter-intuitive More than 10000 complaints from readers Close to 1000 from people with PhDs Theorem (Gardner, 1959) In no other branch of mathematics is it so easy for experts to blunder as in probability theory. N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC Building Trust for Sample Voting

  11. Randomness in Politics Random Sample Voting Building Trust The Public Opinion Platform The Future The Monty Hall Problem People don’t agree with Monty Hall Minimal and no consequence on real world People still refuse to believe the solution N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC Building Trust for Sample Voting

  12. Randomness in Politics Random Sample Voting Building Trust The Public Opinion Platform The Future The Monty Hall Problem People don’t agree with Monty Hall Minimal and no consequence on real world People still refuse to believe the solution Politics based on probabilities Huge consequences and risks Higher trust threshold No reason to believe it’s easier than Monty Hall N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC Building Trust for Sample Voting

  13. Randomness in Politics Random Sample Voting Building Trust The Public Opinion Platform The Future Sortition and the Athenians N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC Building Trust for Sample Voting

  14. Randomness in Politics Random Sample Voting Building Trust The Public Opinion Platform The Future The Boulê Citizen’s Assembly Uses randomly selected citizens (serving one year each) Takes decisions on a diveristy of subjects N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC Building Trust for Sample Voting

  15. Randomness in Politics Random Sample Voting Building Trust The Public Opinion Platform The Future The Boulê Citizen’s Assembly Uses randomly selected citizens (serving one year each) Takes decisions on a diveristy of subjects Voting Influence peddling possible Votes are not secret N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC Building Trust for Sample Voting

  16. Randomness in Politics Random Sample Voting Building Trust The Public Opinion Platform The Future The Heliaia Justice Court Used for most trials Jury of random citizens selected in the morning N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC Building Trust for Sample Voting

  17. Randomness in Politics Random Sample Voting Building Trust The Public Opinion Platform The Future The Heliaia Justice Court Used for most trials Jury of random citizens selected in the morning Trial conditions No interaction with outside world until the end Trials last 6 hours at most N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC Building Trust for Sample Voting

  18. Randomness in Politics Random Sample Voting Building Trust The Public Opinion Platform The Future Sortition today Sortition not directly usable in our societies Logistical problems N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC Building Trust for Sample Voting

  19. Randomness in Politics Random Sample Voting Building Trust The Public Opinion Platform The Future Sortition today Sortition not directly usable in our societies Logistical problems Privacy problems N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC Building Trust for Sample Voting

  20. Randomness in Politics Random Sample Voting Building Trust The Public Opinion Platform The Future Sortition today Sortition not directly usable in our societies Logistical problems Privacy problems Trials last more than a day N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC Building Trust for Sample Voting

  21. Randomness in Politics Random Sample Voting Building Trust The Public Opinion Platform The Future Sortition today Sortition not directly usable in our societies Logistical problems Privacy problems Trials last more than a day Fact Giving power to a limited set of people is dangerous. N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC Building Trust for Sample Voting

  22. Randomness in Politics Random Sample Voting Building Trust The Public Opinion Platform The Future Random Sample Voting N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC Building Trust for Sample Voting

  23. Randomness in Politics Random Sample Voting Building Trust The Public Opinion Platform The Future The Random Sample Voting Project Team Aggelos Kiayias Douglas Wikström David Chaum Konstantinos Patsourakos Deborah Hurley Maciej Kosarzecki Hannu Nurmi Pedro A. D. de Rezende James Honaker Markus Duermuth Jeremy Clark Nicolas K. Blanchard Neal McBurnett Michael Clarkson Brian Sutin Tomasz M. Wlisłocki Peter Schwabe Richard Carback Mark Ryan Christopher Nguyen Emin Gun Sirer Pance Ribarski Lirong Xia Douglas Wikström Filip Zagorski Alan Sherman Paul Tylkin Bingsheng Zhang David Parkes Christof Paar Nan Yang N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC Building Trust for Sample Voting

  24. Randomness in Politics Random Sample Voting Building Trust The Public Opinion Platform The Future Client-side protocol Simplified Protocol 1 Register on the voting lists 2 Get chosen at random in the population 3 Receive a ballot with a unique ID and two vote codes 4 Log in and cast your vote 5 Check that the other code hasn’t been used N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC Building Trust for Sample Voting

  25. Randomness in Politics Random Sample Voting Building Trust The Public Opinion Platform The Future Constraints Three constraints to satisfy N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC Building Trust for Sample Voting

  26. Randomness in Politics Random Sample Voting Building Trust The Public Opinion Platform The Future Constraints Three constraints to satisfy 1 : The sampling is demonstrably fair N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC Building Trust for Sample Voting

  27. Randomness in Politics Random Sample Voting Building Trust The Public Opinion Platform The Future Constraints Three constraints to satisfy 1 : The sampling is demonstrably fair 2 : The voting is provably secure N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC Building Trust for Sample Voting

  28. Randomness in Politics Random Sample Voting Building Trust The Public Opinion Platform The Future Constraints Three constraints to satisfy 1 : The sampling is demonstrably fair 2 : The voting is provably secure 3 : The protocol actively prevents corruption N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC Building Trust for Sample Voting

  29. Randomness in Politics Random Sample Voting Building Trust The Public Opinion Platform The Future Fair sampling Public Roster Publish list of citizen-number pairs N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC Building Trust for Sample Voting

  30. Randomness in Politics Random Sample Voting Building Trust The Public Opinion Platform The Future Fair sampling Public Roster Publish list of citizen-number pairs Use Public Random Beacon Bits (NYSE) for the seed N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC Building Trust for Sample Voting

  31. Randomness in Politics Random Sample Voting Building Trust The Public Opinion Platform The Future Fair sampling Public Roster Publish list of citizen-number pairs Use Public Random Beacon Bits (NYSE) for the seed Random Number generator outputs the sample N.K.Blanchard IRIF, RSVP, POPSpEC Building Trust for Sample Voting

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