Brain Drain Distressing the Delta Dollar By: Catherine Cannatella
DDD
Problem � The outward migration of talented and educated individuals from the Delta impairs social and economic growth and development which perpetuates the existing poverty.
Eleven County Region = The Delta • Bolivar •Coahoma ����������� •Humphreys ������������ ���� •Issaquena •Leflore 8.2% to 24.0% •Quitman •Sharkey 24.1% to 35.7% •Sunflower •Tallahatchie •Tunica (Foundation for the Mid South) •Washington
Poverty Rate is 24.1 to 35% Poverty Rate in MS Counties 40.0% 35.0% Poverty Rate 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% y n e n e r a r a s a a e o a n y e c i r m h v w o e k t m e i n g c l i o r l o u r f u o h a n t t e h a i l q f T u B p h i L a n h h a Q m S o u s a s S a l C u s l a I H W T Counties (Foundation for the Mid South)
Poverty Definition by U.S. Census Bureau POVERTY THRESHOLDS 2003 Weighted Related Children Under 18 Years Size of Family Unit Average Thresholds None One Two Three Four Five One person (unrelated individual).…… 9,393 Under 65 years....................………… 9,573 9,573 65 years and over.................………… 8,825 8,825 Two persons.........................………… 12,015 Householder under 65 years........…… 12,384 12,321 12,682 Householder 65 years and over...… 11,133 11,122 12,634 Three persons.......................……… 14,680 14,393 14,810 14,824 Four persons........................………. 18,810 18,979 19,289 18,660 18,725 Five persons........................……… 22,245 22,887 23,220 22,509 21,959 21,623 Six persons.........................…… 25,122 26,324 26,429 25,884 25,362 24,586 24,126 Seven persons................... 28,544 30,289 30,479 29,827 29,372 28,526 27,538 Eight persons.......................… 31,589 33,876 34,175 33,560 33,021 32,256 31,286 37,656 40,751 40,948 40,404 39,947 39,196 38,163 Nine persons or more................ Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey 2004
New Economy Two Elements 1 st – Globalization of Business 2 nd – Revolution in Information Technology
Characteristics of High-Value Business � Identify problems � Solve problems � Link problem-identifiers and problem-solvers
Race to the Bottom Mississippi began the bidding process of trying to lure manufacturers to its area in the early 1900s with offers of: � Cheap abundant non-union labor � Low-priced land � Minimal taxes � Tax-Exempt industrial revenue bonds
Corporate Welfare Mississippi continues to rank number one in poverty. Is current government policy part of the problem or part of the solution?
Brain Drain � An immigration of trained and talented individuals for other nations or jurisdictions, due to conflict or lack of opportunity or health hazards where they are living.
Out-migration Is it a factor in economic distress?
Civil Rights Hearing 1997 � Absent innovative policy changes, Mississippi will face a work force crisis as a result of globalization and the shift from unskilled workers � The Delta suffers from a brain drain as a result of out-migration of college graduates � Without skilled and educated workers, Mississippi does not have the means to stimulate vigorous economic growth
Do you plan to move from your community in the next year? Frequency Percent Valid Cumulative Percent Percent Valid 1. Yes 125 15.5 15.5 15.5 Valid 2. No 650 80.3 80.3 95.8 Valid 3. Not Sure/Uncertain 34 4.2 4.2 100.0 809 100.0 100.0 (Delta Rural Poll 2003)
Do you plan to move from your community in the next year? Recorded – Years of formal education cross tabulation Recorded – Years of formal education 9 th to12 th Less High Some Associate Bachelors Graduate Total Do you plan to move than Grade School College Degree Degree or From you community 9 th Grade Diploma Professional in the next year? (or equal) Degree 1) Yes Count 6 31 24 28 7 20 9 125 % within Recorded - Years 8.7% 17.1% 15.7% 19.3% 11.1% 15.0% 14.8% 15.5% of formal education 2) No Count 59 141 121 110 54 109 52 646 % within Recorded - Years 85.5% 77.9% 79.1% 75.9% 85.7% 82.0% 85.2% 80.2% of formal education 3) Not Sure/Uncertain Count 4 9 8 7 2 4 0 34 % within Recorded- Years 5.8% 5.0% 5.2% 4.8% 3.2% 3.0% 0% 4.2% of formal education Total Count 69 181 153 145 63 133 61 805 % within Recorded - Years 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% of formal education (Delta Rural Poll 2003)
Do you plan to move from your community in the next year? Respondent’s age recorded into categories cross tabulation Respondent’s age recorded into categories Do you plan to move Less 21-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 61-64 65 or more Total From you community Than in the next year? 21 1) Yes Count 21 37 21 20 15 0 11 125 % within Respondent’s 65.6% 33.3% 15.3% 12.4% 10.2% .0% 5.8% 15.5% age recorded into categories 2) No Count 10 70 109 133 127 29 172 650 % within Respondent’s 31.3% 63.1% 79.6% 82.6% 86.4% 93.5% 90.5% 80.3% age recorded into categories 3) Not Sure/Uncertain Count 1 4 7 8 5 2 7 34 % within Respondent’s 3.1% 3.6% 5.1% 5.0% 3.4% 6.5% 3.7% 4.2% age recorded into categories Total Count 32 111 137 161 147 31 190 809 % within Respondent’s 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% age recorded into categories (Delta Rural Poll 2003)
How likely is it that you will be living in your current community five years from now? Recorded – Years of formal Education Recorded – Years of formal education 9 th to12 th How likely is it that you will be living in your Less High Some Associate Bachelors Graduate Total current community five years from now? than Grade School College Degree Degree or 9 th Grade Diploma Professional (or equal) Degree 1)Definitely Not Count 0 23 21 26 7 23 5 105 % within Recorded – Years .0% 12.7% 13.7% 17.9% 11.1% 17.3% 8.2% 13.0% of formal education 2)Probably Not Count 4 21 17 33 10 23 9 117 % within Recorded – Years 5.8% 11.6% 11.1% 22.8% 15.9% 17.3% 14.8% 14.5% of formal education 3) Don’t Know Count 24 47 34 15 5 15 11 151 % within Recorded- Years 34.8% 26.0% 22.2% 10.3% 7.9% 11.3% 18.0% 18.8% of formal education 4) Probably Will Count 19 43 41 34 21 39 17 214 % within Recorded- Years 27.5% 23.3% 26.8% 23.4% 33.3% 29.3% 27.9% 26.6% of formal education 5) Definitely Will Count 22 47 40 37 20 33 19 218 % within Recorded- Years 31.9% 26.0% 26.1% 25.5% 31.7% 24.8% 31.1% 27.1 of formal education Total Count 69 181 153 145 63 133 61 805 % within Recorded – Years 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% of formal education (Delta Rural Poll 2003)
How likely is it that you will be living in your current community five years from now? Respondent’s age recorded into categories cross tabulation Respondent’s age recorded into categories How likely is it that you will be living in your Less 21-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 61-64 65 or more Total current community five years from now? Than 21 1)Definitely Not Count 15 29 15 18 12 5 11 105 % within Respondent’s 46.9 26.1 10.9 11.2 8.2 16.1 5.8% 13.0% age recorded into categories 2)Probably Not Count 5 27 22 33 19 1 10 117 % within Respondent’s 15.65 24.3% 16.1% 20.5% 12.9% 3.2% 5.3% 14.5% age recorded into categories 3) Don’t Know Count 4 18 27 24 24 4 52 153 % within Respondent’s 12.5% 16.2% 19.7% 14.9% 16.3% 12.9% 27.4% 18.8% age recorded into categories 4) Probably Will Count 4 22 41 44 42 10 52 215 % within Respondent’s 12.5% 19.8% 29.9% 27.3% 26.6% 32.3% 27.4% 26.6% age recorded into categories 5) Definitely Will Count 4 15 32 42 50 11 65 219 % within Respondent’s 12.5% 13.5% 23.4% 26.1% 34.0% 35.5% 34.2% 27.1 age recorded into categories Total Count 32 111 137 161 147 31 190 809 % within Respondent’s 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% age recorded into categories (Delta Rural Poll 2003)
Brain Drain and the Delta � Mississippi places in the bottom quartile of states in both high school and college graduate retention.
Rural Areas More Susceptible Lack of Higher Education Institutions � Attending college outside of your state increases the chance of not returning by 10 Lack of well paying jobs
Policies � Education is primary element of economic growth and development � Mississippi lacks a quality education system
Policies Public Education – teachers are leaving due to: � Ability to retire � Inadequate salary (average wage is 25% below the national average – approx 11,000 dollars) � Discipline problems � Better job opportunities
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