POTENTIAL REGIONALIZATION; BLOOMSBURY AND GREENWICH BOES; FEASIBILITY STUDY MARCH, 2017
GOAL OF THE STUDY Bloomsbury and Greenwich reviewing options with respect to conserving resources and maximizing educational opportunities for students. Regionalization Committee established to study the feasibility of regionalizing the existing School Districts. Feasibility Study reviews relevant factors, under N.J.S.A. 18A:13-34 through 42 and N.J.A.C. 6A:23A-2.2 through 2.5, including the educational, financial, and racial impacts of alternatives to the current educational configuration. Considering all relevant factors, regionalization is feasible.
REGIONALIZATION What is regionalization? How do School Boards regionalize?
DEMOGRAPHICS RELEVANT FACTORS
DEMOGRAPHICS According to the 2010 United States Census, the Bloomsbury’s population was 870. Population projections for 2040 were prepared by the North Jersey Transportation Planning Authority. Between 2010 and 2040, the population of the Borough of Bloomsbury is projected to remain fairly stable and increase by 0.4%. Population and Households Forecast for 2040 County Municipality 2010 2040 Annualized 2010 2040 Annualized Population Population Population Households Households % Change Household 2010-2040 Change 2010-2040 Hunterdon Bloomsbury 870 980 0.4% 340 370 0.3% Borough
DEMOGRAPHICS According to the 2010 United States Census, the township’s population was 5,712. Population projections for 2040 were prepared by the North Jersey Transpiration Planning Authority. Between 2010 and 2040, the population of the T ownship of Greenwich is projected to remain stable and increase by 0.3%. Population and Households Forecast for 2040 County Municipality 2010 2040 Annualized 2010 2040 Annualized Population Population Population Households Households % Change Household 2010-2040 Change 2010-2040 Warren 5,710 6,280 0.3% 1,810 1,830 0.0% Greenwich T ownship
DEMOGRAPHICS Regionalization does not present negative racial or ESL/language impact. As of the 2010 Census, the population of the Borough of Bloomsbury was 95.4% white, 1% black or African American, 1.8% Asian and 4% Hispanic or Latino. As of the 2010 Census, the population of Greenwich T ownship was 84.4% white, 6.4% black or African American, 1.7% Asian Indian, 2.6% Filipino, and 6.4% Hispanic or Latino. Enrollment by ethnic/racial subgroup for 2014-2015, as defined by the No Child Left Behind Act of 2001, is 91.9% white, 7.3% black and 0.8% Hispanic. Greenwich Elementary School enrollment by ethnic/racial subgroup for 2014- 2015, as defined by the No Child Left Behind Act of 2001, is 76.1% white, 5.5% black, 7.8% Hispanic, 10.2% Asian and 0.4% Pacific Islander. Stewartsville Middle School enrollment by ethnic/racial subgroup for 2014-2015, as defined by the No Child Left Behind Act of 2001, is 79.1% white, 7.7% black, 5.1% Hispanic, 6.1% Asian and 2.0% Pacific Islander.
BOARD FACILITIES The Boards maintain/operate three separate school buildings. In the event of regionalization, buildings may continue to be used, as present, or same may be re-designated by grade, or purpose. Alternatively, if it is concluded that a regionalized district does not need to maintain each of these facilities, consistent with the process established under N.J.A.C. 6A:26-7.5, certain may be closed. Greenwich has the operational capacity for Bloomsbury students to attend the two Greenwich Schools. Greenwich Elementary School maintains capacity for 912 students in its classrooms, and 850 students in the gymnasium. Stewartsville Middle School has capacity for 480 students in its classrooms, and 1000 students in its gymnasium. Largest prior Greenwich enrollment exceeded 1000 students.
BOARD FACILITIES Operating expenses for the Bloomsbury School in 2015-2016 was $79,315.78, plus $69,197.02 additional for salaries and substitutes. Estimated expenses for the 2016-2017 school year are $115,278.00, plus $73,943.00 for salaries and substitutes. Operating expenses for Greenwich schools in 2015-2016 were $456,081.71, plus $229,998.72 additional for salaries, overtime and substitutes. Estimated expenses for the 2016-2017 school year are $416,014.00, plus $244,638.00 for salaries, overtime and substitutes. Regionalization would not automatically change the grade or building assignment of any students, nor would it require Bloomsbury School to be closed, or repurposed. Regional Board would need to review relevant factors, including building capacity, transportation costs, etc., and determine whether such changes would be educationally and financially advantageous.
BLOOMSBURY ENROLLMENT Male Students Female Students T otal Enrollment 2012-2013 80 61 141 (36 Choice) 2013-2014 79 55 134 (32 Choice) 2014-2015 66 57 123 (33 Choice)
GREENWICH ELEMENTARY ENROLLMENT Male Students Female Students T otal Enrollment 2012-2013 261 281 542 2013-2014 252 261 513 2014-2015 260 251 511
GREENWICH MIDDLE SCHOOL ENROLLMENT Male Students Female Students T otal Enrollment 2012-2013 159 154 313 2013-2014 149 167 316 2014-2015 137 160 297
CHOICE ENROLLMENT – BLOOMSBURY 2012-13 school year – 36 students Kindergarten – 8 students 2015-16 school year – 34 students Grades 1-8 – 28 students Kindergarten – 6 students 2013-14 school year – 32 students Grades 1-8 – 28 students Kindergarten – 1 student 2016-17 school year – 34 students Grades 1-8 – 31 students Kindergarten – 10 students 2014-15 school year – 33 students Grades 1-8 – 24 students Kindergarten – 5 students Grades 1-8 – 28 students
CHOICE ENROLLMENT – GREENWICH 2013-14 school year – 13 students 2015-16 school year – 20 students Kindergarten – 2 student Kindergarten – 1 students Grades 1-8 – 11 students Grades 1-8 – 19 students 2014-15 school year – 15 students 2016-17 school year – 20 students Kindergarten – 0 students Kindergarten – 1 students Grades 1-8 – 15 students Grades 1-8 – 19 students
ENROLLMENT Bloomsbury total school enrollment for the 2015-2016 school year, as reported by the New Jersey Department of Education, was 120 students. Greenwich elementary enrollment for the 2015-2016 school year, as reported by the New Jersey Department of Education, was 474 students. Greenwich middle school enrollment for the 2015-2016 school year, as reported by the New Jersey Department of Education, was 277 students.
ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS “Cohort Survival Rate” analysis used to compare community birth data with actual school attendance, in both school districts, in order to provide an approximate projection of future school enrollment for feasibility purposes. Analysis reflected a decrease regarding likely future school enrollment.
ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS The data reflects, on average, 10 annual births in Bloomsbury. Starting in 2007, considering a Kindergarten entry age of 5, Bloomsbury reported 12 births. Looking to the 2012-2013 school year, 16 students were enrolled in Kindergarten. For the following years, in 2008, 10 births were reported; 2013- 2014 school year Kindergarten enrollment was 10; 2009 births were reported as 8; 2014-2015 school year Kindergarten attendance was 16. This data reflects a “survival ratio” for Bloomsbury as follows: 2012-2013 – 1.33; 2013-2014 – 1.0; 2014-2015 – 2. The average ratio is 1.44.
ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS Numbers drop when discounting Choice students. Starting in 2007, considering a Kindergarten entry age of 5, Bloomsbury reported 12 births. Looking to the 2012-2013 school year, only 8 Bloomsbury students enrolled in Kindergarten. For the following years, in 2008, 10 births were reported; 2013- 2014 school year Bloomsbury Kindergarten enrollment was 11; 2009 births were reported as 8; 2014-2015 school year Bloomsbury Kindergarten attendance was 9. This data reflects a “survival ratio” for Bloomsbury as follows: 2012-2013 – .67; 2013-2014 – 1.1; 2014-2015 – 1.13. The average ratio is .97.
ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS For Greenwich, the data reflects, on average, 60 annual births. Starting in 2007, considering a Kindergarten entry age of 5, Greenwich reported 58 births. Looking to the 2012-2013 school year, 69 students were enrolled in Kindergarten. For the following years, in 2008, 71 births were reported; 2013- 2014 school year Kindergarten enrollment was 74; 2009 births were reported as 50; 2014-2015 school year Kindergarten attendance was 49. This data reflects a “survival ratio” for Greenwich as follows: 2012-2013 – 1.19; 2013-2014 – 1.04; 2014-2015 – .98. The average ratio is 1.07.
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