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Overview Seasonal forecasting Final thoughts Forecasting Great Lakes Water Levels Across Multiple Time Scales Andrew Gronewold, Ph.D., P .E. drewgron@umich.edu University of Michigan School for Environment and Sustainability Department of

Overview Seasonal forecasting Final thoughts Forecasting Great Lakes Water Levels Across Multiple Time Scales Andrew Gronewold, Ph.D., P .E. drewgron@umich.edu University of Michigan School for Environment and Sustainability Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences June 2020 1 / 7
Overview Seasonal forecasting Final thoughts Outline Overview 1 Seasonal forecasting 2 Final thoughts 3 2 / 7
Overview Seasonal forecasting Final thoughts Outline Overview 1 Seasonal forecasting 2 Final thoughts 3 3 / 7
Surface water elev. (m, IGLD85) 178 Fort Gratiot (Lake Huron) 176 174 Buffalo (Lake Erie) Hurricane Sandy 172 4 Surface water elev. (m, MSL) 3 The Battery (New York) 2 1 0 −1 −2 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 October 2012 November 2012
Overview Seasonal forecasting Final thoughts Outline Overview 1 Seasonal forecasting 2 Final thoughts 3 5 / 7
Credit: David Babb, Penn State University
From NOAA-GLERL
Overview Seasonal forecasting Final thoughts Outline Overview 1 Seasonal forecasting 2 Final thoughts 3 6 / 7
– ’s
Overview Seasonal forecasting Final thoughts Forecasting Great Lakes Water Levels Across Multiple Time Scales Andrew Gronewold, Ph.D., P .E. drewgron@umich.edu University of Michigan School for Environment and Sustainability Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences June 2020 7 / 7

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