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Advances in Supply Chain Simulation Agostino Bruzzone & Yuri Merkuryev McLeod Institute of Simulation Science University of Genoa & Riga TU agostino@itim.unige.it, merkur@itl.rtu.lv www.simulationteam.com www.itl.rtu.lv/mik


  1. Advances in Supply Chain Simulation Agostino Bruzzone & Yuri Merkuryev McLeod Institute of Simulation Science University of Genoa & Riga TU agostino@itim.unige.it, merkur@itl.rtu.lv www.simulationteam.com www.itl.rtu.lv/mik www.liophant.org st.itim.unige.it Keynote Presentation AMS2009, Bandung - Kuta, May 29, 2009 1

  2. The Word: Logistics Logistique: l’application pratique de l’art de mouvoir les armées Antoine Henri de Jomini, General 1836 AC 2

  3. The Word: Logistics Logistics is the act of moving armies. Alfred T. Mahan, Objects of the U.S. Naval War College. An Address 1888 AC 3

  4. Supply Chain Management A Supply Chain (SC) should be viewed as a single entity that is guided by strategic decision making Keith R.Oliver Senior VP and Michael D.Webber (Consultants in Booz, Allen & Hamilton), 1982 Supply-chain management: logistics catches up with strategy. SCM (Supply Chain Management) as an integrative philosophy to manage the total flow of a distribution channel from the supplier to the ultimate user Lisa M.Ellram (ASU), Martha C.Cooper (Ohio State University) 1990 The main stated objectives of the Supply Chain Managment are to lower costs and improve customer service. 4

  5. Industrial Logistics Industrial Logistics as Flow Control & Management…. ….from Common Sense to Science magna industria bellum apparavit Cornelii Nepotis, (55 BC) de viris illustribus 5

  6. Supply Chain Environment The outsourcing process between main and sub-contractors is often iterated at lower levels and a good on-line multi-level control is requested, while customer needs drive the processes 6

  7. Decision Making Evolution & Tool Expectations For Instance in an Industrial Company logistics, in order to meet lean production requirements, the Tools evolved: “frozen” fixed purchase orders …open contracts regulated by agreements … …partnership with mutual info exchange… …web application enabling simulation… …Supply Chain Actor Federation... 7

  8. Supply Chain Simulation Why Simulation in SCM: – Many Stochastic Elements – Many Elements – Many Variables – Many Interactions – Many Multidependent Phenomena – Many Different Range of Validity – …. 8

  9. Even the Simplest Case need M&S Plant A Exporting Empty Vessels Plant B Importing Full Vessels 9

  10. Supply Chain New Challenges Today SCM faces new Challenges such as: • Capability to Guarantee Flows • Sustainability – Economic – Social – Environmental • Safety & Security • ... 10

  11. Different Methodologies for Different Methodologies for Supply Chain Control Strategies Supply Chain Control Strategies easy critical The Possible Control alternatives for the Supply Static Dynamic Chain Management are summarized as presented: A Priori fixed Dynamic Distributed HLA •Planning •RePlanning •Negotiation •Renegotiation •Contracting •New Contracting Supply Chain Net-Centric Management A Priori fixed Dynamic easy Local •Planning •Re-Planning •Policies •Change in Policies 11

  12. A Basic Aerospace Logistics as Complex Case for NSCM • A Case for Netcentric Supply Chain Management: Executive Aircraft Logistics Goal is to procure: � Right Items 15.000 items/plane � in the Correct Place 2 production sites 21 workstations � at Proper Time Plane Lead Time: 2 year Component Lead Time:3-16 months � with Minimum Cost Buy Items: 3 M Euro/plane Manpower: 15.000 hours/plane 12

  13. Where are the Resources? • In Aerospace Logistics resources are: � Production Sites � Services Centers Resources Distributed � Flying Fleet WorldWide among different � Component Providers Entities and Systems, Linked by the Web � Transport Resources 13

  14. What we could Exchange? • In Aerospace, great benefits could be provided by sharing: � Failures Data � Spare Part Inventories Fleet � Fleet Situation Net-Centric � Configuration Evolution Management � Mission Planning � This is a radical conceptual � Service Planning change feasible by current � Production Planning technologies with existing systems; in aerospace context this could provide terrific savings and service improvements both for Civil 14 and Military Users

  15. Net-Centric Management Goals Today, Supply Chain Net-Centric Managements needs to face: � Different Geographically Distributed Process Control Systems � Complexity in apr-01 giu-01 lug-01 gen-02 Storia dei Rischeduling feb-02 mar-02 apr-02 mag-02 Motori (53-79) giu-02 lug-02 ago-02 ott-02 79 78 77 76 75 � Production/Assembly Processes 74 73 72 71 Serial Number dei Velivoli 70 69 68 67 66 � After Sale Services Processes 65 64 63 62 61 60 59 58 57 56 � Models for Coordination of many subjects 55 54 53 30/06/01 30/07/01 30/08/01 30/09/01 30/10/01 30/11/01 30/12/01 30/01/02 28/02/02 30/03/02 30/04/02 30/05/02 30/06/02 30/07/02 30/08/02 30/09/02 30/10/02 30/11/02 30/12/02 30/01/03 28/02/03 30/03/03 30/04/03 30/05/03 30/06/03 30/07/03 30/08/03 Date consegna motori richieste � Dynamic Evaluation of Options and Opportunities � Encapsulated Models for guaranteeing Proprietary Issues and Strategic Know-How as well as Classified and Confidential Data and Models Interoperable Simulation 15

  16. Interoperability as Solution A Federation of Interacting Simulators and DSS (Decision Support Systems) located at the Actor HQ & Sites, representing the Supply Chain, supports: � Distributed Operation Planning by Model Interoperability without exchanging Strategic Confidential Data � On line/Real Time Control along the . . Stabilizers Stabilizers whole Supply Chain Control Control Interior Interior Composite Composite . . . . Column Column s s Landing Landing . Gears . Gears Avionics Avionics Engines Engines � Dynamic Decision making Based on 50 Days 50 Days 120 Days 120 Days Distributed Simulation Piaggio Kit Piaggio Kit P.A.I. - PiaggioAero P.A.I. - PiaggioAero Industries Industries 65 Days 65 Days 60 Days 60 Days Wing Kit Wing Kit � Alternative Solution evaluation for Fuselage Kit Fuselage Kit 65 Days 65 Days P 180 P 180 105 Days 105 Days Operative Support 16

  17. Why Agents in Supply Chain Netcentric Management? � Supply Chain Netcentric Management is turning to a key aspect for the future development of the manufacturing sector � Traditional application of the classical production management techniques cannot be directly applied � For Supplier serving two o more party a certain degree of competition among the order priority can occurs � An Agent Based approach is supposed to more efficient: Actors in a Supply Chain are able to “Sense and React” upon the external world stimuli � Experiencing Agent Based Model for supporting the Optimization of a Complex Supply Chain in Aerospace Industry. 17

  18. Federation Architecture Federation Architecture Engines Modular Distributed System, Engines Modular Distributed System, Wings + Fuselage Wings + Fuselage HLA HLA Compliant, Compliant, for for . . Kits Kits supporting MultiLevel supporting MultiLevel Supply Supply Stabilizers Stabilizers Chain Simulation. Stochastic . Chain Simulation. Stochastic . . . Object Oriented Java Based Object Oriented Java Based FOM FOM . . Federation Execution Request RTI Sub Contractor Federates Sub Contractor Federates PAI - Finale PAI - Finale FedEx Federation Main Contractor Federate Main Contractor Federate Execution 18 W I L D Request

  19. HLA Federation Example for SCM HLAPC •ID •Status 0: Ready to Be Picked by the Current Carrier •From 1: Shipping on-going •To on the Current Carrier 2: Delivered by Current •Size Carrier •ETA 3: Shipping Completed •Cost From A •Sequence Main Contractor DestroyHLASR To B Carr1 Federate Carr2 HLAPF Carr3 HLAOrders Federate Acquisition Request Federate HLAPC HLAOrders Ownership Negotiation (Shipment Logistics Data) Manager Clearance Request Federate Federate Federate Federate Sub Contractors Logistics Users Federate CIF Management Cost Insurance and Freight Federate Interaction Release HLAPF 19

  20. Interoperability Example: Interoperability Example: Agent Based Negotiation Agent Based Negotiation The agreement region is then indicated with the following simultaneous relations. where S jS is the jth Contract Specification χ χ j χ χ χ χ χ χ Supplier proposal at a specific negotiation step M is the j-th Main Contractor proposal at a jM χ χ χ χ j χ χ χ χ specific negotiation step L is the maximum number of proposal L 20 parameter on the negotiation.

  21. Virtual Ports • Training for New Device • Engineering New Solutions • Taking care of Security & Safety 21

  22. Interoperable M&S for Plant as Supply Chain Element • Optimizing Layout • Considering Interference due to Physics (i.e. noise, vibration) • Evaluating Re-Location • Evaluating Production Transfer • Evaluating Impact on the Supply Chain • Virtual Analysis of the Production Site Movement 22

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