Agenda Census Background Statistical Overview 2011 Census of Comparing to Division 11 (Edmonton Region) Agriculture Agricultural Region 5 (North Central Alberta) Alberta Canada Presented to Agriculture Services 2011 to 2006 Board by: Economic Development and Tourism June 14 th , 2012 This presentation is an overview of the data recently released by Statistics Canada. The Census of Agriculture is completed by Statistics Canada every five years. The It is intended to give an understanding of how agriculture has changed. It has been 2001 Census was the basis for the “ Future of Agriculture Report” completed in prepared with the intention of looking for realistic agricultural opportunities for the 2002. For the basis of comparison we have compared the trends in Strathcona future. It also assumes that that the data is accurate as reported by Statistics County to those in Census Division 11, being the Edmonton Region, Ag Region 5, Canada and their protocols. which is basically North Central Alberta and amalgamates Census Divisions 8, 9 and 11. We also compared to Alberta and Canada to get and understanding of how Strathcona County fits in to the agricultural economy. We compared the 2011 Ag Census to the numbers from 2006 in order to see trends. 1 2
Topics Agricultural Census Timing Financial comparison 2002 “Future of Agriculture Report” based Farm and Farm Operator profiles on 2001 Federal Census of Agriculture Revenue vs. Expenses Completed every five years by Statistics Canada Farm Investment 2011 released May 10, 2012 Land and equipment Animal Type numbers Comparable back as far as 1921 Crop type numbers We compare the profile of the farm operators, farm types and size, farm finances, animals and crop types. 3 4
Agriculture Region 5 Money Stuff – Strathcona County Average value of land and buildings – all farms $ 1,893,087 Average value of all farm machinery and equipment $ 158,363 Average Farm Capital $ 2,080,602 Average Farm Size 335 Acres Average Farm Cash Receipts $ 138,139 Average Operating Expenses $ 116,440 Receipts minus Expenses $ 21,698 Average Land and Buildings Per Acre 5,657.32 Average Profit per Acre 64.84 This Map indicates Ag Region 5, which covers a very large area, from south of Red This provides some data of averages for Strathcona County. This will be better Deer, to the national parks, to North of Edmonton and east to Strathcona county’s illustrated in charts to follow. It does indicated that number are big to get into the boundaries. farming industry. 5 6
Average Farm Values – Land and Buildings Average Farm Size in Acres $2,000,000 $1,893,087 1400 $1,858,980 $1,761,402 $1,800,000 $1,745,113 1168 1200 $1,600,000 $1,400,000 $1,342,301 1000 $1,200,000 778 $1,093,653 800 $1,000,000 568 600 $800,000 510 $600,000 400 335 325 $400,000 200 $200,000 0 $- County_11 County_06 Division11_11 Ag 5_2011 AB_11 CA_11 County_11 County_06 Division11_11 Ag 5_2011 AB_11 CA_11 This indicates the value of the land and buildings on Farms in the various The average farm in Strathcona County is small in relation to other jurisdictions. The jurisdictions. The average farm value has increased by $800,000 from the average average farm is about one third the size of the average Alberta farm and one half of in 2006. the average size of a Canadian farm. The size of farms has been stable since 2006. 7 8
Average Equipment Value Average Cash Receipts $300,000 $300,000 $264,518 $252,884 $248,199 $250,000 $250,000 $201,438 $200,000 $200,000 $187,205 $181,974 $175,984 $158,363 $150,587 $150,000 $150,000 $138,139 $134,560 $113,480 $100,000 $100,000 $50,000 $50,000 $- $- County_11 County_06 Division11_11 Ag 5_2011 AB_11 CA_11 County_11 County_06 Division11_11 Ag 5_2011 AB_11 CA_11 The average investment in all farm equipment correlates somewhat to farm size. As Farm cash receipts also relates to the size of farms. Strathcona County does Strathconas farms are smaller the amount and size of equipment is smaller. The relatively well on a per acre basis. We have seen a 22% increase over the five year average has increased 13% in 5 years. period. 9 10
Average Farm Expenses Farmer Age Profile 100% $250,000 $224,607 $205,080 80% $200,000 60% Percentage Over 55 $146,459 $150,000 35-54 $127,948 Under 35 $116,440 40% $102,102 $100,000 20% $50,000 0% 2011 2006 2001 1996 2011 2006 2011 2006 2011 2006 2011 2006 Strathcona County (CCS 485011052) Division No. 11 Agricultural Region Alberta (PR Canada (1) $- (CD 485011000) 5 (CAR 480000000) County_11 County_06 Division11_11 Ag 5_2011 AB_11 CA_11 485000000) Census Year \ Jurisdiction Farm expenses have stayed in check with costs at about a 14% increase over the This chart indicates the age of farmers into three groups. As the investment to start same five year period, creating a larger spread between receipts and expenses farming is steadily increasing and the return on operational costs is challenged, it which is good news. makes it financially difficult for young persons to start farming. This has lead to a signiicant change in the Farm Operator age profile. Over 56% of the Farmer operators are now over 55 Years old. This trend appears to be escalating, while the percentage of “young farmers is now less than 5% with only 45 operators in this category compared to 160 twenty years ago. 11 12
Average Farm Operator Ages Operators Per Farm 1.520 60.0 1.500 58.0 1.480 56.0 1.460 Age Op All All Age 54.0 Single Operator 1.440 Multiple Operator 1.420 52.0 1.400 50.0 1.380 County_11 County_06 Division 11 Ag Reg 5 Alberta Canada 48.0 Jurisdiction County_11 County_06 Division 11 Ag Reg 5 Alberta Canada Jurisdiction The number of reported farm operators shows a steady increase in the number of operators per farm which indicates that there are more people living on each farm. As Strathcona County’s numbers are higher than other jurisdictions, it is likely due its proximity to off farm employment. 13 14
Alberta Cattle and Calf 35 Year Trends 7,000,000 50,000 # Farms 45,000 44,569 6,000,000 40,000 37,134 36,560 5,000,000 33,498 35,000 34,912 31,774 Number of animals 30,000 # Animals 28,751 4,000,000 25,000 3,000,000 21,888 20,000 15,000 2,000,000 10,000 1,000,000 5,000 0 0 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 Census Year Now we will look at the animal figures starting with cattle. Over the past 35 years the number of cattle on Alberta farms has decreased to about half of 1976 numbers in 2011. While the number of farms reporting cattle production has increased by about 10% since 1976 the number is down significantly from its peak in 2003 since BSE created its challenges to the Alberta Beef industry. We hope to see this trend reverse over the next decade. 15 16
Strathcona County Cattle and Calves 2011 Alberta Dairy Farm 35 Year Trends 180,000 16,000 Cattle and Calves on May 10, 2011 Farms Animals 14,497 160,000 Calves, under 1 year ‐ 40.8% ‐ 43.4% 14,000 Steers, 1 year and over ‐ 23.5% ‐ 14.5% 140,000 12,000 Total heifers, 1 year and over ‐ 21.1% ‐ 18.7% 120,000 Heifers for slaughter or feeding 3.3% 4.8% 10,000 Number of animals 8,827 100,000 Heifers for beef herd replacement ‐ 28.9% ‐ 35.2% 8,000 Heifers for dairy herd replacement ‐ 23.1% ‐ 39.1% 80,000 # Animals 5,574 Total cows ‐ 41.9% ‐ 44.5% 6,000 60,000 Beef cows ‐ 42.4% ‐ 47.2% 3,897 4,000 40,000 Dairy cows ‐ 18.2% ‐ 0.2% 2,822 2,000 Bulls, 1 year and over ‐ 36.9% ‐ 35.7% 20,000 1,422 1,107 947 Strathcona - 9 farms - 587 Animals Total cattle and calves (53) ‐ 31.0% ‐ 38.7% # Farms 0 0 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 Census Year Since 2006 there has been a downward trend in the cattle and producing farms in Over the past 35 years the Dairy industry in Alberta has also seen significant Strathcona County. Depending on the sub category, it appears to be a reduction of changes with the average farm going from 11 animals in 76 to 85 in 2011. The about 38%. number of animals appears to have flat lined over the past 10 years, however is about 50% of what is was in 1976. 17 18
Equine Changes from 2006 to 2011 Alberta Horse and Pony 30 Year Trends 180,000 25,000 160,000 20,921 # Animals 19,291 20,000 140,000 2 17,782 17,951 17,807 17,219 120,000 15,001 Number of animals Strathcona # Farms 15,000 Canada Jurisdiction 100,000 Alberta Number of Animals Ag Div 5 t d Division 11 80,000 Strathcona 10,000 60,000 1 40,000 5,000 20,000 Strathcona Number of Farms 0 0 R ti 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 -18.00% -16.00% -14.00% -12.00% -10.00% -8.00% -6.00% -4.00% -2.00% 0.00% Census Year % Change The 30 year trend for horses on farms is much more stable. The number of animals Aligning with general economic conditions, the number of animals has also seen a has increased by about 20,000 or 14% over the past 30 years, while the number of similar decrease across all jurisdictions. The number of farms in Strathcona County farms reporting horses has decreased by 4200 or about 18%. This results in more reporting horse production has decreased by 13.5% over the past five years and the animals per farm. While this does not likely include horse on acreages, it does number of reported animals has decreased just over 16% over the same period. show a trend. The average number of horses per farm has increased slightly to 9.25 per reporting farm. 19 20
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