Where does North Carolina stand nationally? Total population 9th Population age 60 and over 9th 10th Population age 85 and over Source: American Community Survey 2017, one year estimate . Table B01001: Sex by Age NORTH CAROLINA DIVISION OF AGING AND ADULT SERVICES JAN, 2018
Effective this year (2019), the state is estimated to have more people 60+ than ages 0-17 4,000,000 Total population 3,500,000 2019 3,000,000 2,500,000 Population age 60 and over 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 Population age 85 and over 500,000 0 2017 2025 2037 0-17 60+ Source: NC State Office of State Budget and Management/ facts-figures, Certified county estimates and projections, 2017, 2037 3 NORTH CAROLINA DIVISION OF AGING AND ADULT SERVICES JAN, 2018
The population 65 and over will increase in the coming decades Population 65 and over is on the rise 3,000,000 • It is projected that by 2037, 21% 2,500,000 of the total population will be 65 2,000,000 and older (one in five people will be 65 and older). 1,500,000 1,000,000 • Population 85+ will be the fastest 500,000 growing age group in the next two decades. - 2017 2025 2037 Source: NC State Office of State Budget and Management/ facts-figures, Certified county estimates and projections, 2017, 2037 4 NORTH CAROLINA DIVISION OF AGING AND ADULT SERVICES JAN, 2018
NC’s population by age in 20 years…… 2017 2037 % Growth Age # % # % 2017-2037 Total 10,283,255 12,684,352 23% 0-17 2,312,886 23% 2,606,213 21% 13% 18-44 3,658,073 36% 4,419,187 35% 21% 45-59 2,072,070 20% 2,304,524 18% 11% 60+ 2,240,226 22% 3,354,428 26% 50% 65+ 1,617,993 16% 2,660,084 21% 64% 85+ 181,695 2% 382,686 3% 111% The proportion of the population 85 and over is projected to have the fastest growth in the next two decades Source: NC State Office of State Budget and Management/ facts-figures, Certified county estimates and projections, 2017, 2037 5 NORTH CAROLINA DIVISION OF AGING AND ADULT SERVICES JAN, 2018
Projected growth of population 65+ by age group between 2017-2037 111% 100% 38% 65-74 75-84 85+ * As a % of age group As the population 85 and over age the prevalence of functional limitations, frailty, and chronic diseases increase creating significant impact on long-term supports and services Source: NC Office of State Budget and Management/ facts-figures, Certified county estimates and projections 2017, 2037 6 NORTH CAROLINA DIVISION OF AGING AND ADULT SERVICES JAN, 2018
Number of counties with more people 60 and over than ages 0-17 will increase 94 78 22 6 2017 2037 Counties with more people age 0-17 than 60+ Counties with more people age 60+ than 0-17 By 2025, 89 counties will have more people 60 and over than age under 18 Source: NC Office of State Budget and Management/ facts-figures, Certified county estimates and projections, 2017, 2037 7 NORTH CAROLINA DIVISION OF AGING AND ADULT SERVICES JAN, 2018
Counties with more people age 60 and over than 0-17, 2017 Pasquotank Currituck Camden Alleghany Ashe Surry Northampton Stokes Warren Rockingham Caswell Person Gates Vance Hertford Watauga Wilkes Halifax Granville Perquimans Yadkin Forsyth Franklin Mitchell Avery Guilford Chowan Alamance Orange Bertie Nash Caldwell Durham Davie Yancey Alexander Madison Edgecombe Iredell Wake Martin Davidson Washington Burke Randolph Chatham Catawba Tyrrell Dare Wilson Rowan Buncombe McDowell Pitt Beaufort Haywood Johnston Swain Lee Greene Rutherford Lincoln Hyde Cabarrus Henderson Graham Harnett Wayne Moore Gaston Stanly Jackson Polk Cleveland Montgomery Lenoir Mecklenburg Macon Transylvania Craven Cherokee Cumberland Pamlico Clay Hoke Richmond Sampson Jones Union Anson Duplin Scotland Onslow Carteret Robeson Bladen Pender New Columbus Hanover Brunswick 78 Counties with more people age 60+ than 0-17 22 Counties with more people age 0-17 than 60+ Source: NC State Office of State Budget and Management/ facts-figures, Certified county estimates and projections, 2017, 2037 NORTH CAROLINA DIVISION OF AGING AND ADULT SERVICES JAN, 2018
Coun unties with th more peopl ple ag age 60 an and over than 0-17, 7, 2037 37 Pasquotank Currituck Camden Alleghany Ashe Surry Northampton Stokes Warren Rockingham Caswell Person Gates Vance Hertford Watauga Wilkes Halifax Granville Perquimans Yadkin Forsyth Franklin Mitchell Avery Guilford Chowan Alamance Orange Bertie Nash Caldwell Durham Davie Yancey Alexander Madison Edgecombe Iredell Wake Martin Davidson Washington Burke Randolph Chatham Catawba Tyrrell Dare Wilson Rowan Buncombe McDowell Pitt Beaufort Haywood Johnston Swain Lee Greene Rutherford Lincoln Hyde Cabarrus Henderson Graham Harnett Wayne Moore Gaston Stanly Jackson Polk Cleveland Montgomery Lenoir Mecklenburg Macon Transylvania Craven Cherokee Cumberland Pamlico Clay Hoke Richmond Sampson Jones Union Anson Duplin Scotland Onslow Carteret Robeson Bladen Pender New Columbus Hanover Brunswick 94 Counties with more people age 60+ than 0-17 6 Counties with more people age 0-17 than 60+ Source: NC State Office of State Budget and Management/ facts-figures, Certified county estimates and projections, 2017, 2037 NORTH CAROLINA DIVISION OF AGING AND ADULT SERVICES JAN, 2018
Percent of population 65 and over, 2017 Pasquotank Currituck Camden Alleghany Ashe Surry Northampton Stokes Warren Rockingham Caswell Person Gates Vance Hertford Watauga Wilkes Halifax Granville Perquimans Yadkin Forsyth Franklin Mitchell Avery Guilford Chowan Alamance Orange Bertie Nash Caldwell Durham Davie Yancey Alexander Madison Edgecombe Iredell Wake Martin Davidson Washington Burke Randolph Chatham Catawba Tyrrell Dare Wilson Rowan Buncombe McDowell Pitt Beaufort Haywood Johnston Swain Lee Greene Rutherford Lincoln Hyde Cabarrus Henderson Graham Harnett Wayne Moore Gaston Stanly Jackson Polk Cleveland Montgomery Lenoir Mecklenburg Macon Transylvania Craven Cherokee Cumberland Pamlico Clay Hoke Richmond Sampson Jones Union Anson Duplin Scotland Onslow Carteret Robeson Bladen Pender New Columbus Hanover Brunswick 31% or more 21% to 30% Proportion of 65 and over in the state is 16% 11% to 20% Less than 10% Source: NC State Office of State Budget and Management/ facts-figures, Certified county estimates and projections, 2017, 2037 NORTH CAROLINA DIVISION OF AGING AND ADULT SERVICES JAN, 2018
Percent of population 65 and over, 2037 Pasquotank Currituck Camden Alleghany Ashe Surry Northampton Stokes Warren Rockingham Caswell Person Gates Vance Hertford Watauga Wilkes Halifax Granville Perquimans Yadkin Forsyth Franklin Mitchell Avery Guilford Chowan Alamance Orange Bertie Nash Caldwell Durham Davie Yancey Alexander Madison Edgecombe Iredell Wake Martin Davidson Washington Burke Randolph Chatham Catawba Tyrrell Dare Wilson Rowan Buncombe McDowell Pitt Beaufort Haywood Johnston Swain Lee Greene Rutherford Lincoln Hyde Cabarrus Henderson Graham Harnett Wayne Moore Gaston Stanly Jackson Polk Cleveland Montgomery Lenoir Mecklenburg Macon Transylvania Craven Cherokee Cumberland Pamlico Clay Hoke Richmond Sampson Jones Union Anson Duplin Scotland Onslow Carteret Robeson Bladen Pender New Columbus Hanover Brunswick 31% or more 21% to 30% Proportion of 65 and over in the state is 21% 11% to 20% Source: NC State Office of State Budget and Management/ facts-figures, Certified county estimates and projections, 2017, 2037 NORTH CAROLINA DIVISION OF AGING AND ADULT SERVICES JAN, 2018
Percent of population 65 and over 2017 2037 31% or more 21% to 30% 11% to 20% Less than 10% *As a % of total population Source: NC State Office of State Budget and Management/ facts-figures, Certified county estimates and projections, 2017, 2037 12 NORTH CAROLINA DIVISION OF AGING AND ADULT SERVICES JAN, 2018
Projected change in population 65 and over (2017 to 2037) Pasquotank Currituck Camden Alleghany Ashe Surry Northampton Stokes Warren Rockingham Caswell Person Gates Vance Hertford Watauga Wilkes Halifax Granville Perquimans Yadkin Forsyth Franklin Mitchell Avery Guilford Chowan Alamance Orange Bertie Nash Caldwell Durham Davie Yancey Alexander Madison Edgecombe Iredell Wake Martin Davidson Washington Burke Randolph Chatham Catawba Tyrrell Dare Wilson Rowan Buncombe McDowell Pitt Beaufort Haywood Johnston Swain Lee Greene Rutherford Lincoln Hyde Cabarrus Henderson Graham Harnett Wayne Moore Gaston Stanly Jackson Polk Cleveland Montgomery Lenoir Mecklenburg Macon Transylvania Craven Cherokee Cumberland Pamlico Clay Hoke Richmond Sampson Jones Union Anson Duplin Scotland Onslow Carteret Robeson Bladen Pender New Columbus Hanover Brunswick 100% to 141% increase 50% to 99% increase 1% to 49% increase Projected change for the state is 64% - 4% to -9% decrease Source: NC State Office of State Budget and Management/ facts-figures, Certified county estimates and projections, 2017, 2037 NORTH CAROLINA DIVISION OF AGING AND ADULT SERVICES DEC, 2018
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