USCG A Risk Governance Issue: Common Standards Basic Elements of - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

USCG A Risk Governance Issue: Common Standards

Basic Elements of Risk Risk Understanding How likely What can go What are is it? wrong? the impacts? Risk ƒ Likelihood & Consequence Scenario

Incidents • Drug smuggling • Grounding • Illegal migrant entry • Collision/Allision • Seasonal conditions affecting • Flooding/sinking waterways • Fire/explosion • Failure to Support Combatant • Personal injury/illness Commander • Oil spills • Failure to Provide Polar Region • Discharge of debris/sewage Presence • Accidental Release of HAZMAT • Periodic/expected natural disaster • Species damaged by marine • Non-maritime incident affecting a operations waterway • Invasive species introduction • Attack on Port Infrastructure • U.S. EEZ encroachment • Transfer of WMD • Fish stock non-sustainability • Transfer of Terrorist • Global IUU Fishing • Failure to Provide International Disaster Support

Communities • Facilities • Vessels o Deepwater Port o Commercial Fishing Vessel o Fixed Platform o Freight Barge o Marina o Freight Ship o Unregulated Facility o Industrial Vessel o MARPOL Reception o Offshore Supply Vessel o Waterfront Facility o Passenger (6 or Fewer) o Passenger (More Than 6) o Public Tankship/Barge o Public Vessel, Unclassified o Recreational o Research Vessel o School Ship o Tank Barge o Tank Ship o Towing Vessel

Likelihood Frequency Frequency Score • Range of frequency Scores Descriptions categories capture how Continuous 730 events per year often a loss (adverse Daily 365 events per year Weekly 52 events per year event) occurs Monthly 12 events per year • Several potential Quarterly 4 events per year outcomes for the same Annually 1 event per year incident Decade 1 event per 10 years Half-century 1 event per 50 years Century 1 event per 100 years Millennium 1 event per 1,000 years

Standard Consequence Measures Environmental Category Deaths & Injuries Economic Impact National Defense Symbolic Effect Impact Complete >1000 Deaths Creates critical Destruction of unique > $1 Billion 5 destruction of or Serious long-term America icon(s) Ecosystem over Injuries vulnerabilities large area to defense 101-1000 Complete Creates Destruction of 4 Deaths or $101 Million - destruction of critical, short- important, Serious $1 Billion Ecosystem in term defense internationally known, Injuries small area vulnerabilities American symbols 11-100 Deaths Long-term Long-term Major damage to, but 3 or Serious damage to a disruptions to not destruction of, $11-$100 Injuries portion of the military actions nationally important, Million Ecosystem symbols Short-Term, Serious 1-10 Deaths or Short-term Major damage to or 2 $1-$10 Million damage to the Serious disruptions to destruction of Ecosystem Injuries military actions regionally important symbols No deaths, Minimal, Local No serious Major damage to or 1 <$1 Million Impact to military or Destruction of locally Only minor Ecosystem defense impact important symbols injuries

What’s a life worth? 1. No National Standard • DOT - $3.0 Million • EPA - $9.1 Million • FDA - $7.9 Million • DHS - $6.3 Million 2. Politically “Loaded” Value Question 3. But … necessary to calculate and compare “apples to apples” 4. Common measure is $$$$$

Other Necessary Standards • Threat • Vulnerability • Resilience

Questions?