Two Objectives for the Two Objectives for the Scenario Scenario The 1906 Earthquake � 2006 Centennial Commemoration of the San � 2006 Centennial Commemoration of the San Scenario and Golden Francisco Earthquake -- Francisco Earthquake -- Education & Education & Awareness Awareness Guardian ‘06 Exercise � Recurrence of 1906 Today � Recurrence of 1906 Today -- -- The Full Monty The Full Monty � 19 Counties � 19 Counties Richard Eisner, FAIA � Current Built Environment � Current Built Environment Fritz Institute � Golden Guardian 2006 � Golden Guardian 2006 -- -- Exercise Scenario Exercise Scenario � DHS/OHS Catastrophic Regional Disaster � DHS/OHS Catastrophic Regional Disaster NE HR P E ar thquake Sc e nar io Planning Wor kshop Se pte mbe r 17 and 18, 2008 The Team The Team Scenario Attributes � Multi-County Urban Region � California State Warning Center (Data) � California State Warning Center (Data) � � United States Geological Survey (Ground United States Geological Survey (Ground � USGS Modeled Ground Motions From 1906 Motions and Time History, Aftershocks) Motions and Time History, Aftershocks) � Undated Building Inventory Where Available � � PBS&J Atlanta (HAZUS Estimates and PBS&J Atlanta (HAZUS Estimates and � Detail Assessments Where Available (OSHPD) Graphics) Graphics) � HAZUS Augmented by Narrative on Lifelines � Charles Kircher & Associates (HAZUS � Charles Kircher & Associates (HAZUS � PG&E, BARTD, Caltrans Estimates and Analysis) Estimates and Analysis) � Team Effort � Hope Seligson (HAZUS Estimates and � Hope Seligson (HAZUS Estimates and Analysis) Analysis) Multiple Objectives, Multiple Multiple Objectives, Multiple Funding Sources Funding Sources � � Bay Area Regional Transit District (Narrative) Bay Area Regional Transit District (Narrative) � California Office Of Emergency Services � California Office Of Emergency Services � California Department of Transportation � California Department of Transportation � Federal Emergency Management Agency � Federal Emergency Management Agency (Narrative) (Narrative) � � EERI EERI � Pacific Gas & Electric (Time History, Narrative) � Pacific Gas & Electric (Time History, Narrative) � DHS Urban Area Security Initiative � DHS Urban Area Security Initiative � OES, DHS, OHS, FEMA and HAZUS (Funding and � OES, DHS, OHS, FEMA and HAZUS (Funding and � OHS Homeland Security Exercise and � OHS Homeland Security Exercise and Staff) Staff) Evaluation Program Evaluation Program � � West Coast Alaska Tsunami Warning Center West Coast Alaska Tsunami Warning Center (Graphics and Time History) (Graphics and Time History)
The Scenario Took on A Time The Scenario Took on A Time Multiple Masters Multiple Masters Dimension Dimension � Anniversary Commemoration Wanted Global � � Recognize That Scenario Is Not a Static End � Anniversary Commemoration Wanted Global Recognize That Scenario Is Not a Static End Picture of Impact on Region Picture of Impact on Region State Picture State Picture � State and Region Wanted Earthquake � � Information Varies with Time and Scenario � State and Region Wanted Earthquake Information Varies with Time and Scenario Scenario for Exercise and Focus on Local to Scenario for Exercise and Focus on Local to � There is Never Adequate Information for � There is Never Adequate Information for State to Federal Communication and State to Federal Communication and Decision Making / Decision Maker Decision Making / Decision Maker Coordination of Response/Logistics Coordination of Response/Logistics � Need to Train as You Would Play � Need to Train as You Would Play -- -- In the In the � DHS Required More Fatalities, IEDs* , � DHS Required More Fatalities, IEDs* , Fog of War Fog of War Terrorists, Field Theater and Media Attention Terrorists, Field Theater and Media Attention * Improvised Explosive Devices * Improvised Explosive Devices For GGEX06 Exercise Structure For GGEX06 Exercise Structure � Need to Disaggregate Data to Census Tracts � Regional Disaster Impacting 19 Counties � � Need to Disaggregate Data to Census Tracts Regional Disaster Impacting 19 Counties and Provide Time History and Provide Time History � One Year of Planning & Preparation � One Year of Planning & Preparation � Need to Develop Local Script of Damage and � Need to Develop Local Script of Damage and � Sudden Onset Event* � Sudden Onset Event* Sequence Sequence � � Cold Start Response Cold Start Response � Need to Use Available Estimates to Make the � Need to Use Available Estimates to Make the � Ramping Up of Response Capability in Real � Ramping Up of Response Capability in Real Best Decisions When Information Inadequate Best Decisions When Information Inadequate Time Time � Need to Think Strategically � Need to Think Strategically � � Replicate Actual Information Flow From Locals Replicate Actual Information Flow From Locals Up to Region, State and Federal Levels Up to Region, State and Federal Levels * Not a Hurricane or Flood * Not a Hurricane or Flood What We Know and Don What We Know and Don’ ’t t Concepts of Operation Concepts of Operation Know Know � Local Governments Are In charge � Local Governments Are In charge � Only the Local Level Has Tactical Knowledge � Only the Local Level Has Tactical Knowledge � State and Federal Levels Provide and Broker � State and Federal Levels Provide and Broker � Locals Do Not Understand Overall Event � Locals Do Not Understand Overall Event Resources Resources � Hierarchy Aggregates Local Data � Hierarchy Aggregates Local Data � Projected Need � Projected Need � Sets Response Resource Allocation Priorities � Sets Response Resource Allocation Priorities � OES SOC Provides Interface with Federal and � OES SOC Provides Interface with Federal and � Paints Comprehensive Image � Paints Comprehensive Image Inter- Inter -State Resources State Resources � Disseminates Comprehensive to All Players � Disseminates Comprehensive to All Players � Use Information You Have Including ShakeMap � Use Information You Have Including ShakeMap � Others Play the Scenario � Others Play the Scenario and HAZUS Estimates and HAZUS Estimates � All Play in Real Time for 36 Hours � All Play in Real Time for 36 Hours
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