TPOS 2020 Project 1 st Report and Implementation Workshop Goals Neville Smith Co-Chair TPOS 2020 SC Qingdao, 4-6 September 2017
Outline • TPOS 2020 – short background • First Report : – Approach, Key Recommendations and Actions • Implementation • Aims of this Workshop TPOS 2020 Project 17-Oct-17 2 www.tpos2020.org
TPOS 2020 Project in short Jan 2014 La Jolla TPOS 2020 Review and Workshop – Suga, Anderson • OOPC, Tropical Mooring Implementation Panel and others raised alarm – TPOS 2020 Project created – initiated ~ June 2014 – – 14 White Papers and Report: major resource, reference TPOS 2020 Project Objectives (our mandate): • To redesign and refine the TPOS to observe ENSO and advance scientific understanding – of its causes; To determine the most efficient and effective observational solutions to support – prediction systems for ocean, weather and climate services; and – To advance understanding of tropical Pacific physical and biogeochemical/ecosystem variability and predictability. Review, re-design and rejuvenate the Tropical Pacific Observing System: • Take advantage of new science and technology – Recast design in response to new needs, purposes: requirements à First Report – – Reset the inter-agency and intergovernmental cooperation that has been the hallmark of TPOS since the mid 1990’s TPOS 2020 Project 17-Oct-17 3 www.tpos2020.org
Schedule of Major Outputs We are here TPOS 2020 Project 17-Oct-17 4 www.tpos2020.org
The First Report • Published – December 2016 Exec summary translated and published (6 languages) • 22 Recommendations – Many taking long-term view • 15 Actions TPOS 2020 Project 17-Oct-17 5 www.tpos2020.org
What is new(-ish) First published OS design following the GOOS Framework for Ocean • Observing – Distinguishes sustained and experimental observing networks but single design Some backgrounding of TPOS as “public goods” and analysis of socio-economic benefit areas – Distinguishes variable requirements from solutions Sustained observations are defined as measurements taken routinely that TPOS • – Integrates R&D into design (refer to “Are We There yet?”) agencies have committed to on an ongoing basis , generally for seven years or – Not just climate but it is main focus more. These measurements are primarily for public good services or for research in the public interest, but will usually support both. Joined consideration of in situ and satellite solutions • Experimental observations are defined as measurements taken for a limited • – Evolving, complementary roles observing period , generally seven years or less, that TPOS agencies are committed Elaboration of data record and climate record • to for research and development purposes. These measurements serve to advance knowledge, explore technical innovation and/or lead to improvements in the First steps for BGC integration into design • effectiveness and efficiency of the TPOS. • Could further subset into research/process studies, etc. TPOS 2020 Project 17-Oct-17 6 www.tpos2020.org
Framework for Ocean Observing Process Diagram Chapter 2: Background/Issues Chapter 3: Requirements, EOVs Chapter 4: Principles Chapter 5: The Backbone Chapter 6: Studies Data Products Societal Impact Creation Data Drifters, Pilots other surface SOOP Assembly VOS / VOSCLIM Tropical Argo Moorings Profiles GO-SHIP Satellites Chapter 7: Implementation
Implementation and Action … There is a solid foundation … TPOS 2020 Project 17-Oct-17 8 www.tpos2020.org
Actions • Addressing degraded sampling in the West Pacific; • Staged reconfiguration of the tropical Pacific moored buoy array; • A step-by-step increase in Argo, – beginning in the western Pacific; • Retargeted flux measurements; – and a series of assessments and sensitivity experiments to better inform future recommendations. • Tropical Pacific surface winds and wind stress remains a significant issue. • Pilot projects, studies • Improved modelling and biogeochemical and ecosystem observing advice are the initial targets for the next Report. • We anticipate some new technologies will be incorporated into future designs. TPOS 2020 Project 17-Oct-17 9 www.tpos2020.org
TPOS 2020 Resources Forum 17-18 May 2017, Honolulu 15 agencies joined the Forum • Exceeded my expectations; Very positive engagement – Boosted by WMO EC-69 TPOS decision week before • All recommendations endorsed • All actions supported (or noted) • Considerable debate along the way! – This workshop an additional agreed action – agency presentations à considerable optimisim around future – Strong engagement, encouragement on biogeochemistry • Strong engagement, encouragement on new technology development • STRONG support for implementing Pilots • Challenged us on: • The schedule detail (e.g. Argo and TMA; W Pacific vs Central Pacific vs Eastern Pacific) – Specifics of the Tropical Moored Buoy Array – Modelling and data assimilation – Supported transition arrangements with JCOMM and WMO • See here for Report 17-Oct-17 10 www.tpos2020.org
Implementation Schedule Backbone to JCOMM • Projects to R&D (?) • Oversight to ? • Resources Forum TPOS 2020 Project 17-Oct-17 11 www.tpos2020.org
Western Pacific Implementation Workshop • An action from TRF-2 • See Background with Agenda • Key Outcomes 1. Establish a good dialogue on TPOS WP activities 2. Clarity on the steps for implementation of the WP actions from the 1st Report (sustained part) 3. Clarity on the next steps for the LLWBC Pilot (scope, purpose, likely activities, etc.) 4. Improved understanding of the potential to support process studies TPOS 2020 Workshop 17-Oct-17 12 www.tpos2020.org
Western Pacific Implementation Workshop • Informal guidance for meeting! 1. Feel free to provide input – this workshop has flexibility TPOS 2020 is listening as well as acting • However, keep the overarching aims in mind! • 2. This is the first step of many, going from plans to “doing”; some urgency but no rush The underlying plan (1 st Report) provides a solid basis: use it 3. and build from it. Use the TPOS community. 4. Many actors in the western Pacific – these workshops provide a way to establish dialogue and positive relationships. It is not all about TPOS 2020! • The 2 nd Report will elaborate on biogeochemistry, modelling, 5. intraseasonal: a chance to influence the agenda TPOS 2020 Workshop 17-Oct-17 13 www.tpos2020.org
Acknowledge all within the TPOS 2020 community, and particularly from the western Pacific part of the world, and the many who provided review and comment, sometimes several times. THANKS TPOS 2020 Workshop 17-Oct-17 14 www.tpos2020.org
Modelling discussion 2 nd REPORT OUTLINE 1. Introduction and background 2. Observations in support of coupled weather, wave and subseasonal applications 3. Biogeochemical and ecosystem backbone observations 4. Modelling and data assimilation 5. Developing an Eastern Pacific backbone OS 6. The TPOS 2020 Backbone Observing System 7. Progress with implementation, including pilots and process studies 8. An evaluation of new technologies TPOS 2020 T&I 17-Oct-17 15 www.tpos2020.org
Modelling discussion 1. Introduction and background 2. Observations in support of coupled weather, wave and subseasonal applications Requirements (ECVs) – Requirements of the Backbone observing systems (recommendations) – – Required actions 3. Biogeochemical and ecosystem backbone observations – Requirements (ECVs) – Requirements of the Backbone observing systems (recommendations) – Required actions 4. Modelling and data assimilation – The role(s) of ocean models Assessment of status – Recommendations – 5. Developing an Eastern Pacific backbone OS 6. The TPOS 2020 Backbone Observing System Update on the 1 st Report Backbone recommendations and actions – – Synthesis of enhancements and changes – Recommendations and changes 7. Progress with implementation, including pilots and process studies 8. An evaluation of new technologies TPOS 2020 T&I 17-Oct-17 16 www.tpos2020.org
Key areas 1. Evaluation of sub-seasonal to interannual prediction modelling and DA systems 2. Modelling in support of weather-subseasonal time scales 3. Build modelling in as an integral part of the “pilot” implementation in the W Pacific Testing effectiveness; testing impact – 4. Modelling as an integral part of LLWBC pilot project Guiding design; part of monitoring – 5. Modelling sensitivity studies for surface variables Satellite observations – TPOS 2020 T&I 17-Oct-17 17 www.tpos2020.org
Recommend
More recommend
