Town of Halton Hills Employment Land Needs Assessment PPT - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Town of Halton Hills Employment Land Needs Assessment PPT Presentation of Phase 1 Key Findings February 26, 2019 1

Presentation Outline • Study Purpose and Process • Policy Context • Halton Hills Employment Trends • Employment Land Demand • Employment Land Needs • Recommendations 2

Study Purpose and Process 3

Study Purpose • Introduction • To provide a comprehensive review of the Town’s designated employment lands and to ensure that there is an adequate supply of non-residential lands • An important background document to the Town’s O.P. review • Provide input into Phase 1 of the Halton Region Integrated Growth Management Strategy 4

Study Purpose • What are employment lands and why are they important? • Broad range of uses • Accommodate primarily export-based employment • Home to many of the Town’s largest private- sector employers • A vital component of Halton Hills’s land-use structure and are an integral part of the local economic development potential • Generates strong economic multipliers (i.e. spin-off effects) and high-quality employment opportunities which can improve local socio- economic conditions (i.e. live/work opportunities) 5

Study Process Phase 2: Phase 1: • Town’s Employment Lands Review of economic • Strategy development trends • Review of planning policy Technical analysis of • related to the strategic employment land need planning of the Town’s Review and technical analysis • existing and future conducted under current land- Employment Areas use policy framework at • Review of employment land provincial, regional and local conversions levels • Analysis of GO station areas 6

Policy Context 7

Policy Context Growth Plan 2017 Forecast Population Employment 2031 2036 2041 2031 2036 2041 Halton Region 820,000 910,000 1,000,000 390,000 430,000 470,000 Region of Halton Growth, 2016 to 2041 Growth +435,000 +210,000 population jobs 8

Policy Context Provincial Significant Employment Zones (PSEZs) Mansewood 9

Policy Context Region of Halton Official Plan - Future Strategic Employment Areas 10

Halton Hills Employment Trends 11

Halton Hills Employment Trends Halton Hills Employment Growth, 2001 to 2016 40% 37% 35% 34% 25,000 22,783 33% 19,998 19,191 30% 20,000 Total Employment 15,794 Activity Rate 15,000 20% 10,000 10% 5,000 0 0% 2001 2006 2011 2016 Employment Activity Rate Annual Growth Rate 2.5% Source: Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. Note: Employment Activity rate is based on population with undercount. 12 .

Regional Development Trends Halton Region Employment Lands Absorption, 2008-2017 Employment Lands Absorbed (ha) 250 222 ha 204 ha 11%; 25 ha 200 21%; 43 ha 27%; 60 ha 150 16%; 33 ha 22%; 48 ha 100 29%; 60 ha 62% 63% 40% 34% 50 40%; 89 ha 34%; 69 ha 21% 11% 0 62% 2008-2012 2013-2017 5-Year Periods Halton Hills Milton Halton Hills Oakville Burlington & Milton 13 Source: Watson & Associates Economists Ltd.

Halton Hills Land Demand 14

Employment Land Demand Town of Halton Hills Employment Forecast, 2019 to 2041 60,000 50% 53,000 49,200 50,000 45% 44% 43% 42,000 44% 44% Employment Activity Rate Total Employment 41% 40,000 34,500 40% 39% 30,000 27,800 36% 25,500 22,800 35% 19,200 20,000 20,000 33% 33% 30% 10,000 0 25% Mid 2006 Mid 2011 Mid 2016 Mid 2019 Mid 2021 Mid 2026 Mid 2031 Mid 2036 Mid 2041 Employment Source: Watson & Associates Economists Ltd. Note: Employment Activity rate is based on population with undercount. 15

Employment Land Demand Forecast Employment Growth on Employment Lands by Area, 2019 to 2041 Acton Georgetown Industrial Mansewood Industrial Area Industrial Area 4% Area 0.2% 7% Premier Gateway Employment Area 89% Source: Watson & Associates Economists Ltd., 2018. Note: No Fixed Place of Work and Work at Home Employment is included in the categories. 16 .

Halton Hills Vacant Employment Land Supply 17

Halton Hills Employment Land Supply Premier Gateway Employment Area 335 Net Ha 89% of Town’s Vacant Supply 18

Halton Hills Employment Land Needs 19

Employment Land Needs Town-Wide Employment Land Needs, 2019-2041 Based on Employment Land Needs, 2019-2041 refined GTA WCPA Land Demand Employment Growth on 12,920 Employment Lands Adjusted for Intensification Includes OPA Forecast Employment Land Density 20 31B of 75 (Jobs/Net ha) Net ha 646 Employment Land Demand, Net ha Net ha Land Supply 376 Land Need: Net ha Gross ha - 338 Employment Land Needs gross ha -270 -338 20

Recommendations • It is forecast that, to accommodate forecast employment growth on employment lands to the year 2041, approximately 338 gross ha (835 gross acres) of additional designated employment lands will be required. This includes the OPA 31B lands of 85 gross ha (75 net ha) and is based on a refined GTA West Corridor Protection Area of approximately 180 gross ha not available for development. • It is recommended that the Town of Halton Hills continue to advance O.P.A. 31B which will bring approximately 75 net ha (185 net acres) of lands identified as Future Strategic Employment Area into the urban area as an Employment Area. • Further, working with the Region of Halton, the Town should peruse adding additional Future Strategic Employment Area lands to the urban area of the Premier Gateway Employment Area. 21

Next Steps • Phase 2, underway: o Review of planning policy related to the strategic planning of the Town’s existing and future Employment Areas o Review of employment land conversions o Analysis of GO station areas (Major Transit Stations) • Draft Report (April 2019) • Final Report and Council Presentation (June 2019) 22