TOOLS TO REDUCE PRICE VOLATILITY IN AGRICULTURE MARKETS HOW WE ARE CURRENTLY DEALING WITH VOLATILITY? Felice ADINOLFI
OUTLINE Volatility drivers Factors affecting farmers income risk How we are currently dealing with volatility? European framework Canadian framework US framework EU and US approach in supporting farmers EU option for manage volatility
VOLATILITY DRIVERS SHORT-TERM LONG-TERM INCREASED CONSUMPTION CO-MOVEMENT CONCENTRATE AND TINY FINANCIALISATION STOCK LEVEL MARKET EXCHANGE RATE NO-FOOD PRODUCTION WEATHER SHOCKS CLIMATE CHANGE AD HOC POLICY MEASURES Drought in Wildfires Australia in Russia AGRI PRICE INDEX Increasing Export stock Oil price restriction
FACTORS AFFECTING FARMERS INCOME RISK LACK OF LIMITED INFORMATION IMPERFECT NO EFFECTIVE COSTS PROTECTIONS COVER BY PRICE MISSING PROVIDED BY FINANCIAL TRANSMISSION FOOD MARKET FUTURE MARKET MARKET . FOR SOME PRODUCTS MARKET FAILURE INSTITUTIONAL CHANGES GUARANTEED DECOUPLED PRICE PAYMENTS INCOME MARKET STABILITY RISK
EUROPEAN 1 HOW WE ARE CURRENTLY UNION DEALING WITH VOLATILITY? Supporting income through direct payments Managing crises through market instruments Promoting ex ante strategy to cope risk (diversification, training) and investments trough RDp Insurance premium INCOME subsidy STABILIZATION TOOL Mutual funds
CANADA 2 HOW WE ARE CURRENTLY DEALING WITH VOLATILITY? AgriInsurance - to cover production losses caused by natural hazards Agrirecovery – to help producers recover from natural disasters AgriInvest – Government AGRIRISK contribution to producer’s account To develop and adopt new private sector or producer-funded Agristability – to assist agricultural risk management tools producers who experienced large margin decline
UNITED STATES 3 HOW WE ARE CURRENTLY DEALING WITH VOLATILITY? COMMODITY PROGRAMS Price Loss Coverage (PLC) Dairy Margin Protection (DMP) CROP INSURANCE Revenue Protection AGRIRISK COVERAGE PROGRAM ( ARC ) Yield Protection AGR + AGR Lite
EU AND US APPROACHES 100% IN SUPPORTING FARMERS 20% 40% 39% 39% 60% 1% SAFETY NETS INCOME SUPPORT RISK MANAGEMENT
EU REFORM OPTION DECUPLED FOR MANAGE PRICE VOLATILITY PAYMENTS COUNTERCYCLICAL SAFETY NET SUPPORT MEASURES RISK MANAGEMENT DEPOSIT TOOL KIT SCHEMES DEVELOP CROP INSURANCE INSURANCE MUTUAL FUNDS TOOL INCOME STABILISATION TOOL • • IMPROVED LEGITIMACY EU BUDGET IS FIXED AND • CONSTRAINED BY THE MFF BUFFER TO PRICE FLUCTUATION • • CONNECTION WITH SAFETY LOW MARKET SIGNAL IN COUNTERCYCLICAL SUPPORT NETS AND RISK MANAGEMENT TOOLS
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