Title Transport in Scotland What Next? Insert image if reqd - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Title Transport in Scotland – What Next? ∗ Insert image if req’d Alison Irvine Subtitle Director of Transport Strategy and Analysis November 2018

National Transport Policy Activity Title ∗ Insert image if req’d Subtitle

Title Drivers of Change - Transport ∗ Insert image if req’d • Scottish Government’s commitment to “Climate Change” agenda Subtitle • Air quality in our cities – Low Emission Zones • Move towards electric and alternate fuel vehicles • Impact of congestion on our transport networks and bus patronage levels • Increasing investment in sustainable transport modes • Changes in individual travel behaviour, lifestyle choices and technology impact

Reviews of Planning and Enterprise Title & Skills ∗ Insert image if req’d • Planning Bill moving through the parliamentary process Subtitle • Will offer opportunity to align STPR2 with the National Planning Framework 4 (NPF4) • Will help deliver on the government’s “inclusive growth” agenda as part of Regional Economic Partnership approach

Drivers of Change – City & Title Regional Deals ∗ Insert image if req’d • City Deals secured for Glasgow, Aberdeen, Inverness and Edinburgh and South East, Subtitle Stirling and Clacks • Substantial transport infrastructure elements in existing confirmed deals • Discussions on-going on growth deals for other areas, including Ayrshires, Tay Cities, Argyll and Bute and Borderlands • Need for robust evidence and business case to support transport “asks” • Potential for transformational change in these areas

National Transport Strategy Review Title (NTS2) ∗ Insert image if req’d • Scotland’s first national transport strategy published in 2006 NTS2 Subtitle • NTS Refresh published in January Due 2019 2016 • Build on the work of the NTS Refresh and to articulate transport priorities for the next 20 years • NTS Review started in 2017 • Early / On-going engagement • Call for Evidence

Title NTS – Working Groups ∗ Insert image if req’d • 3 x Functional working groups � Research and Evidence Subtitle � Strategic Framework � Transport Roles and Responsibilities • 4 x Thematic working groups � Delivering Safe and Resilient Transport � Tackling Inequality � Enabling Economic Growth � Greener and Healthier • Collaborative approach • Co-chaired by external stakeholders

Call for Evidence: Some themes, uncertainties and gaps in the evidence received THEMES Title Transport can enable economic growth , but is rarely • sufficient on its own ∗ Insert image if req’d Mode shift away from private car use is important for • health & environment outcomes but less consensus on how this is best achieved Strong evidence on the health benefits of active travel • UNCERTAINTIES Subtitle Regulatory models for public transport (mainly bus) were • contested Few submissions provided evidence on differential impacts of • transport interventions on demographic or geographic groups • How many motorised miles on roads (for both personal travel and freight) can realistically be substituted by other modes? GAPS • Real world evidence on MaaS and other potentially disruptive technology/service models What transport governance models will allow us to • achieve the outcomes we want in a Scottish context? External threats (e.g. climate, security) on the • transport system.

Draft Vision and Outcomes Title ∗ Insert image if req’d Subtitle

Title NTS – Policy Assessment ∗ Insert image if req’d • Key outputs from thematic groups policy proposals Subtitle • Need to assess and appraisal the impacts of each • 3-stage appraisal process � Initial sift of policy options � Refinement and consolidation � Detailed consideration / combined impact of policies

Title NTS – Scenario Planning ∗ Insert image if req’d • Need for a tool / process that can consider future drivers of change Subtitle • Work closely with thematic group leads to understand policy inputs / outputs • Modelling tool to assist with understanding impacts of proposed policies - which is “quick” to use • Now actively being used in the assessment of policies

STPR2 Title Key Principles ∗ Insert image if req’d • Committed to a collaborative approach building on the National Transport Strategy Subtitle • STPR2 will be linked with the National Transport Strategy and will look forward considering forecasts and drivers for change • Scotland-wide appraisal focussed on future strategic transport interventions • Will use objective led appraisal process set out in Scottish Transport Appraisal Guidance (STAG) • The appraisal will take a national overview but contain a regional focus

STPR2 Title Key Principles ∗ Insert image if req’d • It will draw on initial work undertaken or currently in progress in Southern and North Subtitle East Scotland • It will deliver a 20-year plan for transport investment which complements the new NTS • STPR2 opportunity to consider at a national level contribution transport infrastructure plays in delivering Scotland’s Economic Strategy • STPR2 will take cognisance of: � Climate Change Plan � Cycling Action Plan and Walking Strategy � Scottish Ferry Services: Ferries Plan

STPR2 Title Scope ∗ Insert image if req’d • First STPR emphasis on Road / Rail /Bus / P&R – focused on transport Subtitle corridors / hubs • STPR2 will consider at national level infrastructure investment in: � Road / Rail � Active Travel � Island Connectivity � Buses � Ferries

Scope Title ∗ Insert image if req’d • In producing recommendations we will adopt the investment hierarchy: Subtitle � Investment aimed at maintaining and safely operating existing assets (ensuring the connections between where people live and work are of a suitable standard and safe) � Investment promoting a range of measures, including innovative solutions, to make better use of existing capacity , ensuring the existing road and rail networks are fully optimised (these may include technology based, fiscal and ‘soft measures’ in addition to engineering solutions) � Investment involving targeted infrastructure improvements

Title Future Engagement ∗ Insert image if req’d • Collaborative review process • Engagement at various levels including Subtitle local authorities and RTPs to deliver a national level plan tailored to diverse local geographies. • Early, ongoing contact with stakeholders, interest groups and the public will deliver transparency in the process • Positive experience of engagement on recent appraisal studies – over 6000 responses received • More details will emerge once consultant is appointed

Title Scope ∗ Insert image if req’d The national focus will consider the • strategic links between the cities and Subtitle key ports, international gateways and cross border links. The regional focus will consider the • role of the strategic network in the context of regional economic geographies. • All local authorities and RTPs will be invited to be involved • This will aim to draw on local / regional planning, transport and economic development expertise

Title National Connections ∗ Insert image if req’d • Cross-border links and connections Subtitle to international gateways will be a major focus • Key ports and airports and access to these by all modes • Maintaining access to key markets will remain particularly important post-Brexit

Title Early Work – Borders ∗ Insert image if req’d • Borders Transport Corridors Study (draft published) Subtitle • Huge level of interest, demonstrated by public engagement response • 21 emerging interventions from a long list of 100 • Includes: � Improved active travel connections to transport hubs / to certain key destinations � Bus network improvements to key locations – education / hospital / major centres

Title Early Work – NE Scotland ∗ Insert image if req’d • Early strategic transport pre-appraisal work underway in the North East Subtitle • Multi-modal analysis based on STAG • Identification of strategic corridors and key connections within City and Shire • Will consider strategic transport links between North East and principal destinations and markets • Supporting City & Region Deal, Regional Transport Strategy and STPR2

Title Early Work - SW Scotland ∗ Insert image if req’d • Early appraisal work underway in the South West -SW Scotland Transport Study Subtitle • Particular focus on access to ports at Cairnryan • This study (along with Borders and NE) will provide emerging options that will be taken forward into STPR2

NTS & STPR2 Title Timeline and Next Steps ∗ Insert image if req’d • NTS policy collation and assessment 2018/9 • Consultation on draft Strategy 2019 /publication post consultation Subtitle • Procurement of STPR Consultant next few weeks • Regional Engagement –first task in 2019 - NTS and STPR • STPR Evidence gathering through 2019 • STPR Detailed Appraisal 2020 • STPR Reporting this Parliament • Engagement continued throughout the process