The role of Independent explorers in unlocking new plays and basins offshore Southern Africa
Legal Disclaimer The information contained in this presentation (hereinafter, this “ Presentation ”) has been prepared by Azimuth Limited and its affiliated group companies (hereinafter, together, the “ Company ”) . This Presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer or invitation to sell or issue or any solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe for any securities in the Company in any jurisdiction. The Presentation, its contents, references and its distribution, should in no way form the basis of, or be relied upon in any connection with, or act as an inducement in relation to, a decision to purchase, subscribe for or enter into any contract or make any other commitment whatsoever in relation to any such securities. In particular, details included in this Presentation are subject to updating, revision, further verification and amendment and refer to events as having occurred which may not have occurred at the date of this Presentation, but which are expected to happen in the future. Reliance on this Presentation for the purposes of engaging in any investment activity may expose an individual to a significant risk of losing all the property or assets invested. The contents of this Presentation are confidential and may not be copied, published or reproduced in whole or in part, or disclosed or distributed by recipients to any other person. No reliance may be placed for any purpose whatsoever on the information or opinions contained in the Presentation or on its completeness, accuracy or fairness. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of the Company or any of its directors, officers, employees, agents or advisers as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in the Presentation and no responsibility or liability is accepted by any of them for any such information or opinions. In particular, no representation or warranty is given as to the achievement or reasonableness of, and no reliance should be placed on, any projections, targets, estimates or forecasts and nothing in this Presentation is or should be relied upon as a promise or representation as to the future. The information contained in this Presentation is not for publication, distribution or redistribution. The words “ believe ”, “ anticipate ”, “ expect ”, “ intend ”, “ aim ”, “ plan ”, “ predict ”, “ continue ”, “ assume ”, This Presentation includes forward-looking statements. “ positioned ”, “ may ”, “ will ”, “ should ”, “ shall ”, “ risk ” and any other similar expressions that are predictions of, or indicate, future events and future trends identify forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements include all matters that are not historical facts. Attendees of this Presentation should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements because they involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that are in many cases beyond the Company’s control. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and the Company’s actual results of operations, financial condition and liquidity, and the development of the industry in which it operates may differ materially from that made in or suggested by the forward-looking statements contained in this Presentation. The cautionary statements set forth in this disclaimer should be considered in connection with any subsequent written or oral forward-looking statements that the Company, or persons acting on its behalf, may issue. These forward-looking statements are made as of the date of this Presentation and are not intended to give any assurances as to future results. The Company undertakes no obligation to update the forward-looking statements contained in this Presentation. 1
Introduction to Azinam, a PE backed E&P company Uniquely positioned in Namibia & South Africa – the new industry hot spot Focused niche explorer Large offshore acreage position across Namibia and South Africa Portfolio with Basin and Petroleum system diversity Azinam’s strategy is to participate in a drilling programme over the next three years, benefitting from cyclical lows in drilling cost Additional value creation for Azinam yielded from third party activity and success, and opening of new multi- billion barrel basins 2
Launched by Seacrest in 2012 with seismic data advantage 1. Anchor position – “seismic for equity” Playing the cycle to our advantage 1 3 • • Global Azinam takes screening advantage of programme downturn to identified consolidate potential and acreage opportunity position and offshore invest in Namibia seismic 2013 2019-2021 2012 2014-18 2. Successful proof of source drilling 4. South Africa entry and Azinam drilling 2 4 • The Future: Take HRT Drills • 2013 HRT wells Wingat and Murombewells advantage of low Cormorant recovered oil drilling costs to and proved Prospect S test portfolio working source • Exposed to third rock in the area party value creation Sample of light (41° API) oil from the Wingat-1 exploration well 3
Under explored Southern Africa… Southern Africa in comparison to other prolific basins Norwegian Continental Shelf as of 2018, 6,477 E&A wells drilled UK Continental Shelf as of 2018 over 7,800 E&A wells drilled Offshore Indonesia Since 2000, there have been 715 wells Offshore US and Gulf of Mexico Since 2000, there have been 2,219 wells 4 Source: Wood Mackenzie Upstream Data Tool, February 2019; Norwegian Petroleum Directorate; UK Oil & Gas Authority’s Well insight report 2018; Rystad Well Cube
Why is the Southern African Atlantic Margin underexplored? Historically a number of factors have impacted exploration appetite and activity CHOICE COST • More Mature Basins • Deepwater wells • Shallower waters • Expensive seismic surveys • Areas with easier access • Complex supply chain DATA RISK • Limited Seismic surveys – 2D • Financial Risk vs Reward (ROI) • Surface Area vs data coverage low • Unknown frontier areas • Technology INFRASTRUCTURE OIL PRICE • Limited refineries • Substantial fall in mid-80s • Poor transport links • Low price maintained through 90s • Distance & Geography Challenges 5
Example: Namibia Exploration History Largely unexplored region with only 16 exploration wells drilled over 48 years Phase 1: Phase 2: Oil price Phase 3: Oil price Phase 4: UN Sanctions 1968-1976 1990-1997 drop 2011-2014 drop 2018+ $160 2012-14 1974 $140 1998 6 wells drilled. First well drilled Wingat-1 $120 (Kudu 9A-1) 2 wells drilled recovered 41 encountered in the Luderitz API Oil $100 gas basin $80 10 year hiatus for 1994/95 international O&G $60 4 wells drilled in the Walvis basin $40 2008 2018 1 well drilled in the Namibe 2 wells drilled Basin as activity picks up $20 Prices dropped ~58% from start of 1997 to end of 1998 1980 1990 2010 1970 2000 6 1) Source: Macrotrends with data from EIA, NAMCOR; 2) Graph displayed using logarithmic scale and historical prices inflation adjusted
Sub-Saharan Africa – 2000 to 2014 Since 2000, exploration activity has confirmed the region’s oil and gas potential 2014 2000 Senegal Nigeria Ghana Equatorial Gabon Kenya Guinea DRC Angola Mozambique KEY Established petroleum provinces Emerging petroleum South Africa province 7 Source: Azinam estimates
Sub-Saharan Africa – 2000 to 2014 Who were the Pioneers and the Play openers? 2014 2000 KEY Established petroleum provinces Emerging petroleum province 8 Source: Azinam estimates
2019 Sub-Saharan Africa Who were the Pioneers and the Play openers? 2019 2014 KEY Established petroleum provinces Emerging petroleum province 9 Source: Azinam estimates
The changing of the Southern Africa Atlantic Margin? All of these factors are changing CHOICE COST • Exploration acreage is shrinking • Drilling costs at cyclical lows • Giant discoveries lie in Frontier basins like • Enhanced access to capital • Revived Farm-in market Africa RISK DATA • Political changes (SA – Apartheid ended, • Extensive broadband 3D seismic data Angola civil war ended) • Drilling Technology • Improved and defined fiscal terms OIL PRICE INFRASTRUCTURE • Oil price uptick • Investment in refineries & LNG • Growing consumer demand • World class ports • Growing investor confidence • Growing energy demand in Africa 10
Improved Fiscal Terms across Sub-Saharan Africa Low Government take & stable investment environments Government take 1 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% South Africa SOUTH AFRICA 2 NAMIBIA 2 Guinea Bissau Morocco Namibia Mauritania Côte d'Ivoire Senegal Kenya Equatorial Guinea Cameroon Benin Congo Angola DRC Gabon Tanzania 1) Average tax across range of Namibian oil and gas assets 2) Africa Energy Corporate Presentation January 2018 Available on their website 11
Recommend
More recommend