The Delft Skyline Debates An Overview Delft, June 4, 2010 Andrzej - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

The Delft Skyline Debates An Overview Delft, June 4, 2010 Andrzej Stankiewicz 1 Friday AS Skyline Delft WEB.pptx

The Skyline details the long-term vision of the European Roadmap for Process Intensification Goal: minimum 20% energy saving by 2030 due to process intensification alone Piloting & demon- Piloting & demon- 2 2 stration facility stration facility Research Research 1 1 program program Fundamental Fundamental Applied Applied Piloting & Piloting & research research research research demonstration demonstration Knowledge & Knowledge & 3 3 technology technology transfer transfer Process industry Process industry European Roadmap for Process Intensification: > Predominantly industrial work > Necessary follow-up: a scientific vision on 2050 and beyond Delft Skyline Debate overview 2

The Delft Skyline Debates – Yet another roadmap? The Delft Skyline Debates are different! Delft Skyline Debate overview 3

The Delft Skyline Debates are different for the multidisciplinary, scientific basis > Distant horizon > Scientific contents and final result > Multidisciplinary team of leading visionary European scientists supported by creative young scientists-to-be > Mind-challenging workshops and Delft Skyline 2010 -TU Delft Library debates in the informal atmosphere of the city of Delft > Professionally facilitated process Resulting in multidisciplinary Research Agenda based on solid scientific foundation Delft Skyline ca. 1660 (J. Vermeer)/ Delft Skyline Debate overview 4

Our point of departure: the world of today (or yesterday?) Chemical Process Industry, 2009 G. Agricola, De Re Metallica , 1556 Delft Skyline Debate overview 5

What will be the future world? 12 EIA World Conventional Oil Production Scenarios 90 Peak Range 46 yrs or 91 yrs USGS Estimates of Ultimate Recovery 80 2021 2067 2112 Ultimate Recovery 3 % Probability BBls Growth 70 -------------------- --------- Billion Barrels per Year 900 Billion Bbls An extinct species in 50 years? Low (95 %) 2,248 Moves Peak 10 60 Mean (expected value) 3,003 2 % Years High (5 %) 3,896 Growth From 2037 - 2047 50 40 Decline 1 % R/P = 10 Growth 30 History 0 % Mean 20 Growth Low (95 %) High (5 %) 10 0 1900 1925 1950 1975 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 2125 Note: U.S. volumes were added to the USGS foreign volumes to obtain world totals. Delft Skyline Debate overview 6

7 1 Friday AS Skyline Delft WEB.pptx We should look into the future…

Instead of a crystal ball - challenging debates with European top scientists and talented scientists-to-be Contributing authors from institutes in Belgium, Denmark, France, Germany, Israel, Italy, The Netherlands, Spain, Switzerland, UK Delft Skyline Debate overview 8

The Delft Skyline Debates' objective is to give direction to PI research from 2010 onwards Objectives and timetable Objective Participants Leading European experts in process The Skyline Theme will inspire a vision of intensification – and some of their PhD- new developments in process technology students that can be translated into scientific projects. Timeline Scope of the Delft Skyline Debates Define Select and detail Funded Conduct national First Research research topics topics to obtain research & international technological topics (in 2 workshops) funding proposals research achievements on the road to 2050 Summer 2010 Summer 2015 Delft Skyline Debate overview 9

Three main steps lead us from a view of the world in 2050 to research topics for upcoming years Methodology: three steps 3 2 1 RESEARCH TOPICS 2015 KEY PI MILESTONES 2030 BEACONS 2050 For each key milestone a KEY PI MILESTONE: a BEACON: an aspired state paper is written, leading to PI technological achievement of the world in 2050 within a objectives that should be in process intensification that specific theme for a specific achieved by 2015 should be accomplished by group of people 2030 in order to reach more than one of the beacons of 2050 and that is particularly challenging to achieve Research agenda as input for international PI research programs Scope of offline work and Scope of workshop 1: workshop 2: 3-5 June 2010 10-12 December 2009 Delft Skyline Debate overview 10

The process delivers three results: the Skyline Times of 2050… Deliverables Beacons 2050: DELFT SKYLINE TIMES > Popular description of "beacons" for PI research Available today! The Delft Skyline Times of June 4, 2050 Delft Skyline Debate overview 11

The articles were inspired by the Beacons developed during the first workshop in December Delft Skyline Debate overview 12

Herman Koch, a famous Dutch novelist, wrote a column for the Delft Skyline Times Delft Skyline Debate overview 13

The first workshop resulted in Beacons for the year 2050 and Technology Milestones for 2030 MILESTONES (2030) BEACONS (2050) HEALTH 1 BODY FUNCTION PROCESS CONTROL ENERGY Everybody healthy! 2A DILUTED SYSTEMS Better health by personalized food! 2B CLEAN WATER SUPPLY When I'm ninety four…. 3 POWER GENERATION AND STORAGE TRANSPORT 4 RESOURCES BOUNDARIES LOW-COST SMALL SCALE PROCESSING Transport – it's electric 5 RECYCLABLE COMPOSITE MATERIALS Cars from waste Transport – we're going virtual 6 FUEL CELL SYSTEMS LIVING 7 SNOOKER GAME WITH MOLECULES Produce where you consume! 8 SCARCE ELEMENT BIO-RECOVERY Power House ZERO WASTE 9 - 10 PERSONAL. MEDICINE / ARTIFICIAL FOOD & AGRICULTURE ORGANS 11 LOW ENERGY FOOD Plants replace mineral mines 12 CHEMICALS FROM BIOMASS Good food for all! Food with less energy input 13 SOLAR FUELS Delft Skyline Debate overview 14

The second deliverable is a published collection of scientific position papers that detail Milestones Deliverables Beacons 2050: Technology milestones: DELFT SKYLINE TIMES SPECIAL ISSUE > Popular description of > Collection of scientific "beacons" for PI research position papers S pecial Is s ue: Delft S kyline Debates Delft Skyline Debate overview 15

Teams detailed Milestones in position papers to give the Skyline Debates a scientific basis Submitted position papers – More will follow Number Title of Position Paper Coordinator Team members 2B Efficient technologies for worldwide clean water supply Drioli Gusev, Bardow, Macedonio, Semiat 3 High-efficient decentralized electricity generation and high Hemmes Guerrero, Azapagic capacity energy storage 5 Design, engineering and intensified production technologies for Yang Kuiper, Van Heerden, R. recyclable (composite) materials Boom, De Wit 6 Intensified fuel cell based systems (including biomasses) Drioli Grievink, De Wit, Hemmes, Barbieri 7 Gaining full control of chemical and biochemical Stankiewicz Backx, Ozkan, Van Gerven transformations at molecular level 8 Sustainable recovery of scarce elements Clark Dodson, Parker, Hunt 9 Production systems for personalized medicine Mothes tbd 11 Low energy food production and processing in the whole chain Boom Harmsen, Sanders, Rossier, (incl. energy and materials generation, transport) Azapagic 12 Chemicals from biomass – integrated solution on chemistry and Sanders Harmsen, Clark, Van Swaaij, processing Moulijn, Heeres, Heijnen 13 Functioning devices for fuels directly from sunlight Mul Van Swaaij, Stankiewicz, Schacht, Moulijn Delft Skyline Debate overview 16

Finally, the Skyline Debates deliver a research agenda with research topics for each Milestone Deliverables Beacons 2050: Technology milestones: Research topics: DELFT SKYLINE TIMES SPECIAL ISSUE RESEARCH AGENDA > Popular description of > Collection of scientific > Proposed research topics "beacons" for PI research position papers based on position papers Research agenda for process intensification S pecial Is s ue: Delft S kyline Debates Delft Skyline Debate overview 17