The 8th European Parliamentary Election(s) 9/19/2014 PRESENTATION OUTLINE/ 概要 1. Introductory remarks – setting out the political context under which the election(s) would be fought/ 序論 選挙戦の政治的背景の設定 ― 2. Preparing for the election(s). Addressing the old foe: “turnout”/ 選挙の準備過程:積年の課題 「投票率」への取り組み 3. Key EU-level actors: the European Political Parties (Europarties) and the European Parliamentary Groups/ EU レベルの主要行為主体:欧州政党( Europarties )と欧州議会内会派( EPGs ) 4. A European election or 28 national elections? 欧州の選挙か、 28 ヶ国の選挙か? 5. The Spitzenkandidaten (leading candidate) process : Enhancing the European dimension of the election? Spitzenkandidaten (最上位候補)過程:選挙における欧州的側面の強化? THE 8TH EUROPEAN PARLIAMENTARY Professor Day, Faculty of Economics, Oita ELECTION(S) (MAY 22-25, 2014) University 6. Analysing the results: does it really amount to a political earthquake? 結果分析:本当に政治 Presented at EUIJ- Kyushu Symposium ‘EP 的大変動を意味するのか? “THIS TIME IT WILL BE DIFFERENT – Elections 2014 – EU Citizens and A Future of the EU’ Kyushu University, July 25, 2014. WON’T IT?” 7. Concluding thoughts and consequences – was it ‘really’ different this time? 結論:考察と帰結 This paper forms part of a JSPS (Kiban C - 『今回の選挙は異なるのか?』 26380174) funded project entitled 今回の選挙は「真の意味で」異なっているのか? ― ‘Consolidating or Dismantling Representative Democracy at the EU- level’ Specific and more general Issues to think about “A parliament without tax raising powers” or the right to propose The EU ‘has lost its way…lost its self “It’s the economy stupid” legislation confidence… it needs a vision for the future’ But what type of economy? 『 It’s the 課税権限と、立法発議権をもた Guy Verhofstadt economy, stupid. (経済こそが重要なのだ、 ない欧州議会 EU は「進路を見失い・・・自信を失って 愚か者。) 』しかし、いかなる型の しまった・・・それは将来のビジョンを 経済なのか 必要としている」 Guy Verhofstadt Partisanization & politicization to address the “The Merkel formula” - 7% of the world’s population; democratic deficit? 25% of global output; 50% of global spending on social 民主主義の赤字に対処するための党派化 services. 『メルケルの公式』 世界人口の 7% ・ 世界生 ( Partisanization )と 政治化( Politicization )? 産の 25% ・社会福祉事業への世界支出の 50% Spitzenkandidat/ ( 最上位候補) Intra-party and inter-party dynamics. How should the mainstream react to the results at the domestic and EU-level? 党内・党間の力学。主流派は、結果に対して、国内及び Inter-institutional relations – ‘ powergrabs ’ EU レベルでいかに対応すべきか? “Differentiation”/ “ 差異化 ” “ Brexit ” Setting out the political context The increasing use of ‘ gesture politics ’/ 増加する「 ジェ (英国の 1. INTRODUCTORY REMARKS/ 序論 under which the election would スチャー政治( gesture politics )」の使用 EU 離脱) be fought 選挙戦の政治的背景の設定 Is ‘all politics local’? Is democracy at a transnational level possible? 『政治は所詮「地元」中心』 であるのか?国境を越えたレベルでの民主主義は可能なのか? Fringe Parties; Anti- establishment parties; populist parties… POLITICAL CONTEXT: THE RISE OF POPULISM 政治的背景:ポピュリズムの台頭 Populist and extremist political forces are now an integral part of the party-system across many EU member states so it should not come as a surprise that elections to the European Parliament would reflect this trend. The unanswered question is what would be the subsequent knock-on impact on domestic and EU politics? How should the political mainstream react? Should it attempt to isolate such forces or engage with them in some shape or form? Populism on the Right/far-right - Key emphasis on party leaders Populism on the Left/far-left Usually seeking to appeal to voters via some combination of an anti- The EU is an elite, neo-liberal project. In the name of globalization/anti-immigration/anti-EU ticket. market fundamentalism capital (bankers) prevails over the people (labour). Social-democracy, by Various flavours of Euroscepticism – For some the EU is a neo-liberal bankers embracing this shift, no longer acts in the interests of project; for others it stifles entrepreneurialism and the market. Some want to labour. smash the EU and others simply withdrawal. Some are pro-US and others want to challenge US hegemony. The left advocates ‘another Europe’. For Alexis Tsipras leader of the Greek party Syriza and European Left Commission President nominee: ‘we This time there was much speculation about the formation of a far-right 2. PREPARING FOR THE ELECTION need to build a common front against the political European Parliamentary Group. To date this has failed to emerge. In 2007-8 far Addressing the old foe: turnout forces of “ Merkelism ” See ‘Alexis Tsipras : As Greek, I’m rights were able to form a group - Identity, Tradition and Sovereign Group . It 選挙の準備過程 積年の課題「投票率」への取 proud to lead Europe’s Left’, EurActiv, 26 November 2013 proved to be short-lived due to internal strife. り組み Giles Merritt, secretary general of the Friends of Europe (think tank): ‘The populists will force the European establishment to explain itself and argue its case’ for greater European solidarity.’ Quoted in Christopher Alessi ‘ Populists Fail to Shift EU Balance’, Spiegel , 11/18/2013 1
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