Shaping Signals Preparing for the Future through Speculative Design Phil Balagtas Design Director, GE Aviation Digital Solutions Founder, Speculative Futures San Francisco @neshacom1 contact.phil@gmail.com
99% Invisible - 10,000 years
What is Speculative Design?
Critical Design Design Fiction Discursive Design Interrogative Design Adversarial Design Design Probes Ludic Design
Critical Design Design Fiction Discursive Design Speculative Design Interrogative Design Adversarial Design Design Probes Ludic Design
Speculative Design is a way to manifest possibilities, to prepare us for inconvenient challenges and facilitate a more desirable, responsible path into the future. Shaping Signals | 2016
The Futures Cone Probable Plausible Possible Present time
The Futures Cone Present What is likely to happen? What could happen? What might happen? time
Why Design for the Future? Signal What do we want to happen? Preferable
Challenge Assumptions. Force Controversy Wild Card Low-probability events or mini- scenarios which, if they occurred, would have very high impact
Designs for an Overpopulated Planet: Foragers Dunne & Raby
Evidence Dolls Dunne & Raby
Love Optimized: NeurAlign Object Solutions
Love Optimized: Intimatum (Intimate Utility Meter) Object Solutions
One Way Ticket Joseph Popper (2012)
Martian Wine Carlos Monleon-Gendall
“ Genetics , Nanotechnology , & Robotics will provide the means to overcome age-old problems such as illness and poverty, but it will also empower destructive ideologies,” -Ray Kurzweil
Transfigurations Agi Haines
New Plastics Agi Haines
New Plastics Agi Haines
Alexandra Daisy Ginsberg The synthetic Kingdom
Alexandra Daisy Ginsberg - E.Chromi
“ Design can set agendas and not necessarily be in service, but be used to find ways to explore our world and how we want it to be.” -Alexandra Daisy Ginsberg
Museum of Future Government Services Tellart museumofthefuture.ae
Smart Street museum.governmentsummit.org/2015/
Autonomous Car Prototyping Lab
Mood View Dubai Museum of the Future 2016
The prototypes aren't based on fictitious realities, they're based on real, provable drivers and trends that are moved down the road in predictable ways to create plausible scenarios. Of course no one knows what will happen in the future, but this process hinges on the most plausible future outcomes based on rigorous research and study. Andrew Haarsager Strategy Director, Tellart
The Future of Ageing futureofageing.blog.gov.uk
The Future of Mobility & Transportation
Teacher of Algorithms Simone Rebaudengo
WHAT DO WE HAVE TO CONSIDER WHEN DESIGNING FOR THE FUTURE?
RETROCASTING (understand the past to shape the future)
Moore’s Law 20yrs 10yrs ? ??? 1996 2007 2009 today 2036 Cultural Shifts
credit: http://www.naturalstep.ca/backcasting
www2.gov.bc.ca
HIDDEN IMPACT, INFLUENCE, & ECOSYSTEMS
Ecosystem What does the future environment feel like? What are the challenges and rules? Social/Cultural Implications What impact will it have on society?
Consider the bicycle.
Transportation Culture Environment Technology Policies Economy Energy Population Education Communication City Planning Trends
Transportation Culture Environment Technology Policies Economy Energy Population Education Communication City Planning Trends
for Autonomous Cars Near Future Labs
Apple Knowledge Navigator (1987)
SPECULATIVE FUTURES SAN FRANCISCO, CA
Futures Design Lab The Future of Disease in 2026
Plant Genomics Bio-sensing Machine Learning SF Speculative Futures
SF Speculative Futures
Signals 2016 2026 HEAL Quantified Self Bio-hacking A modular wearable platform for Wearables ? optimal health Machine Learning 3D Printing SF Speculative Futures
SF Speculative Futures
Shaping Signals | 2016
Future of Parenting Fisher Price Shaping Signals | 2016
“The future belongs to those who can imagine it, design it, and execute it…It isn’t something you await, but rather create” -His Highness Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum
Phil Balagtas @neshacom1 contact.phil@gmail.com THANK YOU @futures_design facebook.com/speculativefutures futuresmeetup@gmail.com primerconference.com
www.primerconference.com
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