Shahab Sokhansanj UBC US DOE Released its Billion Ton Bioeconmy - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Shahab Sokhansanj UBC

US DOE Released its Billion Ton Bioeconmy Report (BT-16) on July 12, 2016 Volume 1 Advancing Domestic Resources for a Thriving Bioeconomy, Volume 1: Economic Availability of Feedstocks . M. H. Langholtz, B. J. Stokes, and L. M. Eaton (Leads), ORNL/TM-2016/160. Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN. 448p. Volume 2 on sustainability of billion ton wil be published later in the year http://energy.gov/eere/bioenergy/201 6-billion-ton-report 2005 BTS 2011 BT2 2011 BT2

Current and Potential, Base Case 1.6 1.4 Currently used Billion Dry Tons per Year 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 Currently 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 used 0.0 2017 2020 2022 2025 2030 2035 2040 Currently used at market prices, potential supplies up to $60/dt (2014$)

Current and Potential, Base Case at $60/dt 1.6 1.4 Wastes Currently used Billion Dry Tons per Year 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.138 0.139 0.140 0.140 0.141 0.141 0.142 0.4 Currently 0.2 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 used 0.0 2017 2020 2022 2025 2030 2035 2040 Currently used at market prices, potential supplies up to $60/dt (2014$)

Current and Potential, Base Case at $60/dt 1.6 Forestland Resources 1.4 Wastes Currently used Billion Dry Tons per Year 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.109 0.109 0.101 0.101 0.103 0.097 0.097 0.138 0.139 0.140 0.140 0.141 0.141 0.142 0.4 Currently 0.2 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 used 0.0 2017 2020 2022 2025 2030 2035 2040 Currently used at market prices, potential supplies up to $60/dt (2014$)

Current and Potential, Base Case at $60/dt 1.6 Agricultural residues 1.4 Forestland Resources Wastes Billion Dry Tons per Year 1.2 Currently used 1.0 0.8 0.163 0.176 0.123 0.135 0.149 0.116 0.104 0.6 Near-term 0.109 0.109 0.101 0.101 0.103 0.097 0.097 potential 0.138 0.139 0.140 0.140 0.141 0.141 0.142 0.4 Currently 0.2 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 used 0.0 2017 2020 2022 2025 2030 2035 2040 Currently used at market prices, potential supplies up to $60/dt (2014$)

Current and Potential, Base Case at $60/dt 1.6 Energy crops 1.4 Agricultural residues Billion Dry Tons per Year 1.2 Forestland Resources Wastes 1.0 0.411 Long-term Currently used 0.324 potential 0.239 0.8 0.130 0.078 0.026 0.000 0.163 0.176 0.123 0.135 0.149 0.116 0.104 0.6 Near-term 0.109 0.109 0.101 0.101 0.103 0.097 0.097 potential 0.138 0.139 0.140 0.140 0.141 0.141 0.142 0.4 Currently 0.2 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 used 0.0 2017 2020 2022 2025 2030 2035 2040 Currently used at market prices, potential supplies up to $60/dt (2014$)

Current and Potential, High Yield Ag. at $60/dt 1.6 Energy crops 1.4 Agricultural residues Forestland Resources 1.2 Long-term 0.736 Billion Dry Tons per Year potential Wastes 0.559 Currently used 1.0 0.380 0.192 0.8 0.110 0.035 0.000 0.200 0.189 0.174 0.135 0.152 0.123 0.105 Near-term 0.6 0.109 0.109 0.101 potential 0.103 0.101 0.097 0.097 0.140 0.140 0.141 0.141 0.142 0.138 0.139 0.4 Scenario to Volume 2 Currently 0.2 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 used 0.0 2017 2020 2022 2025 2030 2035 2040 Currently used at market prices, potential supplies up to $60/dt (2014$)

Current and Potential, High Yield Ag. at $60/dt 1.6 Energy crops 1.4 Agricultural residues Forestland Resources 1.2 Long-term 0.736 Billion Dry Tons per Year potential Wastes 0.559 Currently used 1.0 0.380 0.192 0.8 0.110 0.035 0.000 0.200 0.189 0.174 0.135 0.152 0.123 0.105 Near-term 0.6 0.109 0.109 0.101 potential 0.103 0.101 0.097 0.097 0.140 0.140 0.141 0.141 0.142 0.138 0.139 0.4 Currently 0.2 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 0.365 used 0.0 2017 2020 2022 2025 2030 2035 2040 Currently used at market prices, potential supplies up to $60/dt (2014$)

Biomass is largest source of domestic renewable energy

Contributors

Interactive Resources http://bioenergykdf.net/billionton

Required Logistical Resources to Support the Development of a Sustainable Corn Stover Bioeconomy in the US Mahmood Ebadian a , Erin Webb b , Shahab Sokhansanj a,b a Biomass and Bioenergy Research Group, UBC b Environmental Sciences Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory Number of Type of workforce workforce Equipment operator 42,993 Storage operator 1,124 Total 44,117

Bioenergy Technologies Office MISSION: Transform America’s abundant biomass resources into commercially viable, high- performance biofuels and bio-based products, through targeted research, development, and demonstration supported by public and private partnerships. Terrestrial Advanced Algal Demonstration and Conversion Feedstocks Systems Market - Thermochemical Transformation -Resource assessment; - Competitive projects to - Biochemical supply analysis increase yields/ -IBR partnerships productivity/reduce costs - Deconstruction - R&D on Feedstock -Infrastructure characterization, handling, - Targeted R&D along the - Upgrading and logistics algal supply chain. • Job Creation • Land-use change Cross Analysis and Sustainability • Life Cycle analyses of • Definition and - Develop and improve critical models and tools : (GREET, BSM, WATER) water consumption and assessment of water Cutting GHG emissions quality baseline metrics White House Impacts: More than 1 billion tons of biomass could be sustainably • Job Creation • Land-use change Climate Action Plan Cross produced in the U.S. without impacting markets for food and feed. By • Life Cycle analyses of • Definition and - Reduce Oil water consumption and assessment of water Cutting 2030, 1 billion tons of biomass could: GHG emissions quality baseline metrics Imports 50% by • Produce up to 60 billion gallons of biofuels, displacing 30% of U.S. petroleum 2020 consumption - Reduce GHG • Produce 50 billion pounds of biobased chemicals and bioproducts, replacing a emissions at least significant portion of the chemical market 26% by 2025 • Generate 92 billion kWh of electricity to power 8 million households • Provide reductions of CO 2 emissions by 500 million tons a year

Developing Canadian version of Billion Ton BioFuelNet.ca • A Network of Centres of Excellence focused on developing advanced biofuels within Canada’s broader bioeconomy • First launched in 2012 with a five-year funding commitment from Ottawa, 85 researchers from across Canada, and a long list of partners and contributors • Canada’s first network focused on research to advance biofuels, critical for meeting specific policy goals of economic development, greenhouse gas mitigation, and energy security 15

BioFuelNet.ca goals • BFN’s ultimate goal, based on the International Energy Agency (IEA) Biofuel Technology Roadmap is for bio- based fuels to capture 25% of Canada’s transportation fuel market by 2050. • This would reduce Canada’s GHG emissions by 62 Mt CO2- eq./year while contributing $24 B annually to Canada’s economy and creating 100,000 cleantech jobs 16 of 23

Acknowledgement Shahab Sokhansanj prepared this brief • by assembling visuals previously prepared and presented by his colleagues at the USDOE Bioenergy Technology Office, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, BiofuelNet Canada and the Biomass & Bioenergy Research Group University of British Columbia. Many significant contributions of the • British Columbia’s Bioenergy Network (BCBN) in support of our research at UBC is highly acknowledged. Shahab Sokhansanj, Ph.D., P.Eng., The author thanks the leadership of • FEC, FCSABE, FASBE Bioenergy 2.0 for providing a forum to Recipient of the 2016 International share this presentation. Bioenergy Conference Founders July 22, 2016, Vancouver Canada Award in Bioenergy Excellence

For further information please visit: www.bioenergy2-0.org