B EYOND THE N UMBERS Risk Adjustment Lawsuit Fallout True BUSINESS PowerPoint Presentation Template PRESENTED BY Michael Cohen, PhD July 12, 2018 Page 1 Chia Yi Chin, ASA, MAAA
Agenda Background on Risk Adjustment Recent Risk Adjustment Court Cases CMS Reactions to Recent Court Case Knowns and Unknowns What to Watch For Page 2
Risk Adjustment 101 Section 1343 of the ACA directs HHS to create a risk adjustment program that applies to the individual and small group markets HHS outlined the methodology by which risk adjustment would operate in the 2014 Payment Notice HHS updates the risk adjustment methodology annually in a prospective manner (i.e., the Payment Notice finalized in 2018 is for the 2019 benefit year) Page 3
Risk Adjustment Litigation Several companies sued HHS over its risk adjustment methodology Two main cases – Massachusetts and New Mexico MA ruling – Everything Ok New Mexico ruling- HHS acted “arbitrary and capricious” in its usage of budget neutrality/state average premium “Arbitrary and Capricious” is a specific legal term which means HHS did not fully justify its actions As a result the Judge invalidated part of the methodology for 2014-2018 Page 4
CMS Response The Federal Government responded to this ruling in three ways Asked for reconsideration (court to change its mind) Asked for the ruling only to affect New Mexico Announced that the ruling: “…prevents [the agency] from making further collections or payments under the risk adjustment program, including amounts for the 2017 benefit year, until the litigation is resolved.” Page 5
What Does this Mean? 2017 risk adjustment transfers (both payments and collections) will be delayed Legal rulings and CMS reactions to the ruling will determine future HHS has a number of legal avenues to address the Judges concerns HHS appears to have addressed the judge’s concerns for the 2019 benefit year but nothing definitive Page 6
What to Watch For? Judge Response Hearing on reconsideration was June 21 st so a ruling could come shortly CMS Response/Pro-Active Action How does CMS respond? Revealed Preferences Forthcoming Guidance MLR Reports, 2018 RA Data Collection, RA Audits Issuer Response More Lawsuits? State Responses Rate Filings/TBD Long Term Plans Page 7
UPDATE- New Guidance JULY 13 th After the Webinar was conducted CMS released new guidance on risk adjustment. Guidance can be found here: https://www.cms.gov/CCIIO/Resources/Regulations-and- Guidance/Downloads/Implications-of-the-Decision-by-United-States-District-Court- for-the-District-of-New-Mexico-on-the-Risk-Adjustment-and-Related-Programs.pdf A few highlights : • CMS clarified that the court order did NOT affect the 2019 benefit year (only 2014-2018). CMS encouraged issuers to contact their DOI with any rate filing questions. • 2018 risk adjustment operations (i.e., collection of EDGE data) will continue normal operations. Same with RADV • 2017 Risk Adjustment User Fees WILL be collected • The court decision does not affect state operated risk adjustment programs • MLR reporting requirements will be forthcoming. Page 8
Questions Page 9
Thank you! Contact Information: Michael Cohen – michael.cohen@wakely.com Chia Yi Chin – Chiac@Wakely.com Ross Winkelman – RossW@Wakely.com Syed Mehmud – Syedm@Wakely.com Page 10
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