Presentation at CLSA Hong Kong Investors’ Forum September 2016 Oil Search Limited ASX: OSH | POMSoX: OSH US | ADR: OISHY ARBN 055 079 868 www.oilsearch.com
DISCLAIMER While every effort is made to provide accurate and complete information, Oil Search Limited does not warrant that the information in this presentation is free from errors or omissions or is suitable for its intended use. Subject to any terms implied by law which cannot be excluded, Oil Search Limited accepts no responsibility for any loss, damage, cost or expense (whether direct or indirect) incurred by you as a result of any error, omission or misrepresentation in information in this presentation. All information in this presentation is subject to change without notice. This presentation also contains forward-looking statements which are subject to particular risks associated with the oil and gas industry. Oil Search Limited believes there are reasonable grounds for the expectations on which the statements are based. However actual outcomes could differ materially due to a range of factors including oil and gas prices, demand for oil, currency fluctuations, drilling results, field performance, the timing of well work-overs and field development, reserves depletion, progress on gas commercialisation and fiscal and other government issues and approvals. CLSA Hong Kong Investors’ Forum - September 2016 2
Oil Search overview » Established in Papua New Guinea (PNG) P’nyang Juha Juha North PNG LNG Project Hides in 1929 Gas Fields PPL260 Angore Moran PNG LNG Project » 29% interest in world-class PNG LNG Facilities Project, operated by ExxonMobil, and ~60% interest in all PNG’s producing oil Gobe Main Non PNG LNG Agogo Proposed Juha Gas/Oil Fields fields, operated by Oil Search (OSH) Elk/Antelope Facility Kutubu Hides Gas » Pursuing major LNG growth opportunities Papua New Guinea Conditioning Plant – potential PNG LNG expansion and Hides Kutubu Papua LNG Project. Both among most Kimu Port Moresby competitive proposed LNG projects SE Gobe globally Uramu Barikewa » Opportunity for project cooperation/ Hagana integration increased by ExxonMobil Flinders acquisition of InterOil (IOC) OSH Operated OSH Interest LNG Plant » Material gas exploration upside in PNG Oil Pipeline Oil Facility Oil Field » Market capitalisation ~A$10bn Gas Pipeline Gas Facility (~US$7.5bn) Gas Field Condensate Pipeline » Listed on ASX (Share Code: OSH) and POMSOX, plus US ADR programme (Share Code: OISHY) Licence blocks PPL 374 & PPL 375 subject to regulatory approvals CLSA Hong Kong Investors’ Forum - September 2016 3
Well positioned for future growth » Strong production base from high quality, low cost assets OSH Net Production (mmboe) 1,2 with low sustaining capital requirements: 60 PNG LNG (T1 + T2) – 2016 production guidance: 28 – 30 mmboe Hides GTE 50 » Generating positive cash flows: SE Mananda Gobe – Forecast 2016 cash flow breakeven (opex plus interest) of 40 ~US$17/bbl and ~US$28/bbl after principal repayments and Moran sustaining capex 28 - 30 29.25 Kutubu 30 » Solid balance sheet with liquidity of >US$1.5bn » Making progress on two high-potential LNG growth 19.32 20 opportunities, assessed to have lowest quartile breakeven costs in region: 10 6.47 6.38 – Expansion of PNG LNG through proven additional capacity of existing trains and potential third train development 0 – Papua LNG Project, underpinned by Elk-Antelope field 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016F – Project cooperation/integration likely, making next phase of LNG 1. LNG sales products at outlet of plant, post fuel, flare and shrinkage from PNG even more competitive 2. Gas:oil conversion rate from 2014 onwards: 5,100 scf = 1 barrel of oil equivalent (prior 6,000 scf/boe) CLSA Hong Kong Investors’ Forum - September 2016 4
Core strategies have delivered long term share price stability in volatile market $12.00 OSH ASX 200 ENERGY BRENT CRUDE 12 Sep 2016: Rebased to OSH Share Price (A$/sh) A$6.58/Sh $10.00 8,067 US$47.0/bbl $8.00 $6.00 1 Jan 2010: $4.00 A$6.13/Sh 16,239 US$80.3/bbl $2.00 $0.00 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source: Bloomberg as at 12 September 2016 CLSA Hong Kong Investors' Forum - September 2016 5
Robust balance sheet to fund development activities in capital efficient manner Liquidity (US$m) » 1H16 production costs of US$8.21/boe: 2,000 – PNG LNG – US$6.34/boe (US$6.73/boe in 1H15) 750 – 600 Operated oil and gas: US$14.25/boe (US$15.96/boe in 247 748 1,000 1H15) 500 1047 960 910 782 300 » Cash operating costs, including core corporate costs, of 488 210 0 US$10.45/boe for consolidated operations 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 1H 2016 Cash Available facilities » Operating cash flow breakeven (opex plus interest) in 1H16 Cash flow break-even analysis (US$/boe) <US$17/boe and <US$28/boe after sustaining capex and 50 principal repayments Average realised oil price 40 » Liquidity of US$1.53bn: 30 – Cash of US$780m 20 – Undrawn facilities of US$748m 10 » Debt of US$4.08 billion (OSH share of PNG LNG debt): 0 Operating Interest Sustaining Principal Total – Principal repayments paid semi-annually in June and costs* expense** capex repayments December over next 10.5 years (mortgage-style profile) * Excludes Hides GTE gas purchase costs, inventory movements, donations, IOC acquisition costs, power expense and rig operating costs ** Includes interest from finance leases CLSA Hong Kong Investors' Forum - September 2016 6
PNG LNG Project continues to produce above nameplate » Annualised production in 1H16 of ~7.7 MTPA, compared to nameplate capacity of 6.9 MTPA: – Results achieved despite scheduled rate reduction for maintenance in April and unplanned shutdown in May Qingdao LNG Terminal JAPAN » 53 LNG cargoes delivered in 1H16, comprising 45 sold under long Futtsu LNG CHINA term contract, with contract offtake at plateau levels, and 8 spot Terminal Senboku » LNG Consistent demand for spot volumes, particularly from Japan, Terminal reflecting: TAIWAN – High heating value gas – well suited to Asian reticulation network Yung-An – LNG Terminal Geographical proximity – Reliability » Strong upstream contribution from OSH: – 24.1 bcf from Associated Gas fields – 5.6 bcf delivered from SE Gobe as third party sales PNG » 1H16 opex and capex both below operator budget » Excellent safety performance CLSA Hong Kong Investors' Forum - September 2016 7
Bid for InterOil (IOC) and MoU with Total » In May, OSH announced agreed bid for IOC and MOU with TOT » In July, IOC board changed recommendation to pursue transaction with ExxonMobil » OSH decided it was not in best interests of shareholders to revise offer. Basis for decision: – Opportunity for cooperation and/or integration maximised by ExxonMobil having material equity interest in Elk-Antelope – Value accretion for shareholders maximised by realising benefits of cooperation and/or integration through existing 29% interest in PNG LNG and 23% interest in Papua LNG, without dilution and acquisition risk – Achieves OSH’s key pre -bid objectives – ExxonMobil bid underscores OSH’s view on PRL 15 resource quality and value » US$60m break fee received, shared 80:20 between OSH and Total. More than covers costs associated with offer » OSH and TOT mutually agreed to terminate MoU (including termination of exclusivity provisions) » OSH bid provided catalyst for potential LNG project consolidation in PNG CLSA Hong Kong Investors' Forum - September 2016 8
Delivering OSH’s gas strategy: two new LNG trains in PNG with further expansion upside » Monetising discovered resources: P’nyang OSH Operated Juha NW HUB OSH Interest Hides » Antelope certification plus P’nyang resource has confirmed Oil Pipeline Angore combined gas resource of >6 tcf of proven contingent (1C) Moran Oil Field Agogo Gas Pipeline and ~10 tcf of proven and probable contingent (2C) resource Gas Field PNG LNG FIELDS » PNG LNG 1P/2P recertification underway Kutubu Mananda SE Mananda » Maximising cooperation/integration: Gobe Main SE Gobe Elk-Antelope » Key driver for InterOil bid and MOU with Total in 1H16 Kimu Barikewa » ExxonMobil bid for IOC substantially increases likelihood of GULF Uramu HUB integration and optimising benefits » Driving lowest quartile costs: Hagana Flinders » PNG projects in lowest quartile for costs globally PNG LNG facility Gulf » Coordinated development further enhances economics of » OSH well positioned to play key role to ensure optimum Papua development » Long term sustainable growth: » Multiple exploration opportunities being prioritised to supply further gas for LNG Licence blocks PPL 374 & PPL 375 subject to regulatory approvals CLSA Hong Kong Investors' Forum - September 2016 9
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