preliminary results year ended 31 december 2013
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PRELIMINARY RESULTS YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 25 FEBRUARY 2014 - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

PRELIMINARY RESULTS YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 25 FEBRUARY 2014 DISCLAIMER Certain statements included or incorporated by reference within this presentation may constitute "forward looking statements" in respect of the operations,


  1. PRELIMINARY RESULTS YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 25 FEBRUARY 2014

  2. DISCLAIMER Certain statements included or incorporated by reference within this presentation may constitute "forward looking statements" in respect of the operations, performance, prospects and/or financial condition of Ladbrokes plc (the “ Company ”) . Generally, words such as “may”, “could”, “will”, “expect”, “intend”, “estimate”, “anticipate”, “aim”, “outlook”, “believe”, “plan”, “seek”, “continue” or similar expressions identify forward looking statements. Such statements are inherently predictive and speculative and are based on the Company’s current expectations and beliefs concerning future events and are subject to a number of known and unknown risks and uncertainties beyond the Company’s control that could cause actual future financial condition, performance or results to differ materially from any plans, goals and expectations referred to in these forward looking statements. Such statements are also based on numerous assumptions regarding the Company’s present and future strategy and the environment in which it operates, which may not be accurate. The Company undertakes no obligation to update any forward looking statements contained in this presentation or any other forward looking statements it may make, save in respect of any requirement under applicable law or regulation. Nothing in this presentation should be construed as a profit forecast. Past performance cannot be relied upon as a guide to future performance and persons needing advice should consult an independent financial adviser. No representation or warranty (express or implied) of any nature is given nor is any responsibility or liability of any kind accepted by the Company or any of its directors, officers, employees, advisers, representatives or other agents, with respect to the truthfulness, completeness or accuracy of any information, projection, representation or warranty (expressed or implied), omissions, errors or misstatements in this presentation, or any other written or oral statement provided. Nothing contained in this presentation is intended to constitute an invitation or inducement to engage in investment activity for the purposes of the prohibition on financial promotions in section 21 of the UK Financial Services and Markets Act 2000. In making this presentation available, the Company makes no recommendation to buy, sell or otherwise deal in shares of the Company or in any other securities or investments whatsoever and you should neither rely nor act upon, directly or indirectly, any of the information contained in this presentation in respect of any such investment activity. This presentation may not be reproduced (in whole or in part), distributed or transmitted to any other person without the prior written consent of the Company and is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity in any jurisdiction or country where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation . Any recipients of this presentation outside the UK should inform themselves of and observe any applicable legal or regulatory requirements in their jurisdiction, and are treated as having represented that they are able to receive this presentation without contravention of any law or regulation in the jurisdiction in which they reside or conduct business. In particular, the securities referred to in this presentation have not been and will not be registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933 and may not be offered, sold or transferred within the United States except pursuant to an exemption from, or in a transaction not subject to, the registration requirements of the U.S. Securities Act of 1933. 2

  3. Ladbrokes Preliminary Results Agenda Financial Overview Ian Bull, CFO Business Update Richard Glynn, CEO Q&A 3

  4. Group Performance Summary Year ended 31 December 2013 Year ended 31 December FY13 £m FY12 £m B+/W- Net revenue (1) 1,111.2 1,053.3 +5.5% Net revenue ADJ (1) (2) 1,111.2 1,117.7 -0.6% Operating profit (1)(3) -32.9% 138.3 206.1 Finance costs (25.0) (29.7) +15.8% Profit before tax (1) -35.8% 113.3 176.4 Effective tax rate 5.1% 5.2% High Rollers 5.9 30.0 n/a Underlying EPS (1) 11.7p 18.4p -36.4% Dividend 8.9p 8.9p n/a Net Debt 398.6 386.9 -3.0% Continuing operations before exceptional items (1) Excluding High Rollers (2) 2012 net revenue has been restated for the MGD/VAT impact to enable like for like comparison (3) Includes amortisation of acquisition related intangible assets of £4.0m in 2013 and £2.6m in 2012 4

  5. Group Operating Profit down 33% £(46.8)m £206.1m £(23.6)m £7.3m £(4.6)m £(0.1)m £138.3m FY12 EBIT UK Retail Digital European Retail Telephone Corp Costs, net FY13 EBIT savings  UK Retail – net revenue flat (1) ,content cost and tax headwinds  Digital – reflects timing of investment ahead of revenue growth  European Retail – decline driven by Ireland  Telephone – £1.6m loss, stakes 30% lower post intro. of minimum stake per call  Corporate costs – bonus, share based payments and one-off credits (1) Retail net revenue up 8.3% as reported, but down 0.3% after adjusting 2012 machine revenue to reflect 2013 move to MGD from VAT 5

  6. UK Retail Operating Profit Net revenue broadly flat (1) , machine growth offset by OTC + 6.6% in line with guidance £(1.4)m £(12.9)m £(9.1)m £(5.8)m £(18.2)m OTC Gross win down 1.0% £180.7m Stakes down 2.1% £0.6m GW % up 0.2% ppts £133.9m FY12 EBIT Gross profit MGD & VAT LFL Content Other LFL New shops SIS income FY13 EBIT costs costs costs  OTC – gross win -1.0% driven by -7.2% in Q3 (soft margin across sector)  Operating costs – in line with H1 guidance at +6.6% (£13.8m cost savings)  Strong free cash flow – at £124.8m post £44.7m capex investment (1) Reflects adjusted machine revenue which whilst up 20.2% as reported, was up only 1.2% after adjusting 2012 machine revenue to reflect 2013 move to MGD from VAT 6

  7. UK Retail Gross Win Stable Gross Win per Shop Analysis (1) (£’000) 2013  Q3 had discernible impact 96 93 95 92 100 94 95 89 89 90 91 88 85 80  OTC staking broadly stable 60  Machine growth from more shops 40 20 2014  Q1 strong GW comparative 0 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 Q213 Q313 Q413 (18.9%) OTC GW per shop Machine GW per shop  New machines full benefit in H2 Machine Gross Win Growth Total machine Machine gross win  Optimise return from investment gross win per shop per week in SSBTs, Wifi, content H1 2013 3.2% (0.5)% Q3 2013 0.7% (5.0)%  YTD down due to sector wide Q4 2013 2.6% (2.4)% weak Jan results FY13 2.4% (2.1)% (1) Analysis excludes greyhound tracks 7

  8. UK Retail Costs – controlled despite headwinds Non annualised cost of LFL up 3.0% FY12 + FY13 net openings £(3.7)m £(3.5)m £(5.9)m £(6.5)m £(18.2)m £13.8m £(9.1)m £(535.6)m £(517.4)m £(502.5)m FY12 Content Staff costs Property Marketing Other Mitigating 2013 LFL Development FY13 operating costs costs costs actions operating costs costs 2013  Overall cost growth of 6.6% within guidance  c.£14m (2.8%) saved through action on resourcing, facilities, bonus 2014  Expecting c.5% total operating cost increase in 2014  c.2% relating to 2013 openings costs (incl. £5m of depreciation)  c.3% LFL inc. additional levy payment and SIS Irish racing pictures 8

  9. UK Retail 2014 – focus on optimisation 2013  Recent openings contributing average £66k p.a. (IRR projected c.30%)  Estate quality improved  Impairment: prudent approach, shop by shop basis 2014  Lower growth expected in UK betting shop market – brands benefit from scale  Optimisation: reduce tail and focus on core – expect 40/50 closures  Retail capex reduction benefiting free cash flow 9

  10. Digital 2013 – profit decline revenue driven £16.8m or 9.4% down like-for-like £3.1m or 1.7% off inc. Aus/Betdaq £(16.8)m Op.costs £147.1m (1) 1.6% up on 2012 Australia £(2.9)m £(1.2)m £31.8m Betdaq £(0.4)m £(5.4)m £3.1m £(3.3)m £8.2m £11.5m FY12 EBIT NGR Betting tax Depn Other Costs FY13 PBIT Betdaq & FY13 EBIT LFL Australia  LFL Revenue – down 9.4% (1) across sportsbook and gaming  LFL Operating costs – £147.1m (1) indicative of forward run rate  LFL Profit (1) – decline as expected  Marketing costs – at 28% of NGR (1) Excludes Australia and Betdaq 10

  11. Digital – 2014 growth H2 weighted Revenue  Full integration into Playtech systems not complete until Q2 – rev. benefit H2  Very high margin comp – 9.6% Q1 ’13  Well publicised sector losses from football and horseracing in January this year  Some benefit from World Cup (Q finals onwards fall into H2)  Modest growth expected for H1 2014 vs. H2 2013 Costs – run rate operating costs c £150m  Expecting to increase marketing in H1, FY c.25-30% of net revenue  Additional £7m depreciation in 2014  Cost of POC factored into plans at 15% of gross win from Dec 2014  Launch of Belgium online during H1 – expect small loss Digital H1 2014 impact  Target sequential revenue growth vs H2 2013, EBITDA broadly similar Note: Digital excludes Australia and Betdaq 11

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