PARKS FORWARD: D EMOGRAPHIC C HANGE IN THE G OLDEN S TATE MANUEL - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

PARKS FORWARD: D EMOGRAPHIC C HANGE IN THE G OLDEN S TATE MANUEL PASTOR, MIRABAI AUER, JARED SANCHEZ September 2013

A Leveling Off: Immigrant Share of Total Population California, Los Angeles, and the U.S. 50% Los Angeles 40% 30% California 20% United States 10% 0% 1850 1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 0% North Dakota South Dakota Wyoming Kentucky Alabama Nebraska Indiana Mississippi Tennessee Iowa Percent of Immigrant Population in U.S. Since 1999 Missouri Louisiana Oklahoma Minnesota District of Columbia Delaware Arkansas South Carolina Kansas North Carolina Ohio West Virginia Georgia Virginia Maryland Wisconsin Colorado Utah Pennsylvania Massachusetts Montana Washington Alaska Idaho Oregon Texas Michigan Connecticut New Jersey New Hampshire Florida New Mexico Illinois New York Nevada Hawaii Rhode Island Arizona Maine Vermont California

Percent Foreign-born by Length of Time in U.S. by State 30% CA 25% Percent Share of State That is Foreign-Born NY NJ 20% FL NV HI TX MA 15% MD IL DC RI AZ CT WA VA NM 10% OR CO GA UT DE NC MN AK KS NE MI ID PA NH OK 5% TN IN IA SC WI AR MO OH VT LA AL WY KY ME SD ND MS MT WV 0% 35% 40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 65% 70% 75% Percent Immigrants Arrived Before 2000

U.S. Change in Youth (<18) Population by Race/Ethnicity, 2000-2010 4,788,632 875,683 781,946 White Black Latino API Other -248,081 -4,310,525

Age by Sex, California, 2005-09 85 years and over 80 to 84 years 75 to 79 years 70 to 74 years 65 to 69 years 60 to 64 years 55 to 59 years 50 to 54 years 45 to 49 years 40 to 44 years Male Female 35 to 39 years 30 to 34 years 25 to 29 years 20 to 24 years 15 to 19 years 10 to 14 years 5 to 9 years Under 5 years 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data, at the block group level. Prepared by USC PERE | August 2013 | 20

Age by Sex, South Kern BHC Site, 2005-09 85 years and over 80 to 84 years 75 to 79 years 70 to 74 years 65 to 69 years 60 to 64 years 55 to 59 years 50 to 54 years 45 to 49 years 40 to 44 years Male Female 35 to 39 years 30 to 34 years 25 to 29 years 20 to 24 years 15 to 19 years 10 to 14 years 5 to 9 years Under 5 years 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% Prepared by USC PERE | April Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data, at the block group level. 23, 2013 | 21

Age by Sex, Fresno BHC Site, 2005-09 85 years and over 80 to 84 years 75 to 79 years 70 to 74 years 65 to 69 years 60 to 64 years 55 to 59 years 50 to 54 years 45 to 49 years 40 to 44 years Male Female 35 to 39 years 30 to 34 years 25 to 29 years 20 to 24 years 15 to 19 years 10 to 14 years 5 to 9 years Under 5 years 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data, at the block group level. Prepared by USC PERE | April 23, 2013 | 22

Age by Sex, Coachella Valley BHC Site, 2005-09 85 years and over 80 to 84 years 75 to 79 years 70 to 74 years 65 to 69 years 60 to 64 years 55 to 59 years 50 to 54 years 45 to 49 years 40 to 44 years Male Female 35 to 39 years 30 to 34 years 25 to 29 years 20 to 24 years 15 to 19 years 10 to 14 years 5 to 9 years Under 5 years 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data, at the block group level. Prepared by USC PERE | April 23, 2013 | 23

Age by Sex, Boyle Heights BHC Site, 2005-09 85 years and over 80 to 84 years 75 to 79 years 70 to 74 years 65 to 69 years 60 to 64 years 55 to 59 years 50 to 54 years 45 to 49 years 40 to 44 years Male Female 35 to 39 years 30 to 34 years 25 to 29 years 20 to 24 years 15 to 19 years 10 to 14 years 5 to 9 years Under 5 years 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data, at the block group level. Prepared by USC PERE | March 19, 2013 | 24

Age by Sex, East Oakland BHC Site, 2005-09 85 years and over 80 to 84 years 75 to 79 years 70 to 74 years 65 to 69 years 60 to 64 years 55 to 59 years 50 to 54 years 45 to 49 years 40 to 44 years Male Female 35 to 39 years 30 to 34 years 25 to 29 years 20 to 24 years 15 to 19 years 10 to 14 years 5 to 9 years Under 5 years 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data, at the block group level. Prepared by USC PERE | March 19, 2013 | 25

Age by Sex, Richmond BHC Site, 2005-09 85 years and over 80 to 84 years 75 to 79 years 70 to 74 years 65 to 69 years 60 to 64 years 55 to 59 years 50 to 54 years 45 to 49 years 40 to 44 years Male Female 35 to 39 years 30 to 34 years 25 to 29 years 20 to 24 years 15 to 19 years 10 to 14 years 5 to 9 years Under 5 years 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data, at the block group level. Prepared by USC PERE | March 19, 2013 | 26

Age by Sex, City Heights BHC Site, 2005-09 85 years and over 80 to 84 years 75 to 79 years 70 to 74 years 65 to 69 years 60 to 64 years 55 to 59 years 50 to 54 years 45 to 49 years 40 to 44 years Male Female 35 to 39 years 30 to 34 years 25 to 29 years 20 to 24 years 15 to 19 years 10 to 14 years 5 to 9 years Under 5 years 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% Source: PERE analysis of 2005-2009 ACS data, at the block group level. Prepared by USC PERE | March 19, 2013 | 27

WE USED TO BE OPPORUTNITY-RICH . . . Gini Index by State (2007-2009) 0.52 Once considered a land of 0.50 opportunity, California is now one of the most unequal states in the U.S. 0.48 0.46 0.44 0.42 0.40 Alabama Illinois South Carolina Arkansas Pennsylvania Arizona Missouri Maryland South Dakota Alaska New York Connecticut Louisiana Mississippi Texas Florida California Georgia Massachusetts Kentucky North Carolina New Mexico Oklahoma Rhode Island Virginia West Virginia Colorado Michigan Ohio North Dakota Oregon Kansas Montana Washington Minnesota Delaware Maine Indiana Nevada Nebraska Idaho Vermont Wyoming Wisconsin Iowa Hawaii New Hampshire Utah Tennessee New Jersey Note: The Gini coefficient is a measure of income inequality. A zero coefficient implies that all households in astatehave exactly the same amount of wealth, while a coefficient of 1.0 means a single household has all the state's income. Prepared by USC PERE | April 23, 2013 | 28

Changing Returns to Education in California, 1979-2009 $35 Real wage earned at various $30 education points – note that the return has increased for college grads such that the wage premium was about 100 $25 percent in 1979 and is now nearly 200 percent in 2009 $20 1979 $15 2009 $10 $5 $0 < high school high school only some college, no AA or equivalent BA or better degree Prepared by USC PERE | April 23, 2013 | 29

How can the state park system help with significant social challenges?  Intersecting state park system with needs of low-income population and communities of color  Thanks to Greeninfo for advice and pioneering techniques

Zoom to major urban areas

IMPLICATIONS FOR STATE PARKS  Need to understand whether the future demographics are being served by park and other systems  Need to see the park system as one part of contributing to opportunity for all residents  Need to see how every system can help with reconnecting Californians across generations and geographies

BUILDING THE FUTURE