Ozone Transport Commission Special Meeting Bill Wehrum Acting Assistant Administrator U.S. EPA, Office of Air and Radiation February 22, 2006
Ozone and PM Attainment forecast with CAIR and with Other Clean Air Programs - 2010 Ozone and Fine Particle Nonattainment Projected Nonattainment Areas* in 2010 after Reductions Areas* (April 2005) from CAIR and Existing Clean Air Act Programs 104 ozone nonattainment areas (408counties) 15 ozone 36 PM 2.5 nonattainment areas 19 PM2.5 nonattainment areas nonattainment areas with 195 counties *Maps show only those Nonattainment Areas in States covered by CAIR Nonattainment areas for 8-hour ozone pollution only Nonattainment areas for fine particle pollution only . Projections concerning future levels of air pollution in specific geographic locations were estimated using the best scientific models available. They are estimations, however, and Nonattainment areas for should be characterized as such in any description. Actual results may vary significantly if both 8-hour ozone any of the factors that influence air quality differ from the assumed values used in the and fine particle pollution projections shown here.
OTC 2001 and Projected 2010 and 2015 NOx Emissions Inventory OTC OTC OTC OTC OTC OTC 2001 Total NOx is 2,845,379 tons 2001 Total NOx is 2,845,379 tons 2010 Total NOx is 1,927,046 tons 2010 Total NOx is 1,927,046 tons 2015 Total NOx is 1,700,328 tons 2015 Total NOx is 1,700,328 tons 8% 8% 13% 13% 15% 15% 11% 11% 10% 10% 18% 18% 18% 18% 12% 12% 15% 15% 8% 8% 21% 21% 21% 21% 48% 48% 43% 43% 39% 39% Power Industry Other Stationary Sources Onroad Nonroad Other Categories OTC includes Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, and Washington DC.
Projected Residual OTR Ozone Nonattainment Areas After CAIR 2010- 7 areas 2015- 3 areas
2010 CAIR Source Apportionment - Ozone: New York City Average contribution by State/Sector to exceedance level ozone Local-EGU Nearby-AV Percentage Contribution by State: 2% Nearby-ST 0% New York City nonattainment area 2% Other-ST Local-AV 30 2% 0% Nearby-EGU 25 Other-AV 20 3% 0% 15 Local-NEGU 10 3% 5 Local-MV Other-EGU 0 23% NJ PA NY MD OH VA DE CT 3% Other-NEGU Percentage Contribution by Sector: 4% New York nonattainment area Nearby-NEGU 50 4% 40 30 20 Local-ST 10 5% 0 Local-NR On-Road Non-Road Non-EGU Stationary EGU Point Average 15% Mobile Mobile (NR) Point Area (ST) (EGU) Fires (AV) (MV) (NEGU) Other-NR 8% Local= NY, NJ, CT Nearby-NR Nearby-MV 8% Nearby= PA, DE, MA 10% Other-MV 8%
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