Overall activities in FY 2018 ‐ 2019 Toshihiko MASUI National Institute for Environmental Studies The 25th AIM International Workshop Ohyama Memorial Hall, NIES, Japan November 18, 2019
Welcome the 25th AIM International Workshop! The 24th AIM International Workshop @NIES, Japan, Nov 5 ‐ 6, 2018 2
The 25th AIM International Workshop, Agenda Day 1 (November 18) Day 2 (November 19) Session 1: Opening Session 6: Climate Mitigation in Asia and Africa Session 2: Climate Mitigation in Asia Session 7: Research on Climate Photo session and Lunch Mitigation at NIES Session 3: Global Sustainability Lunch Session 4: Nation ‐ scale Impact and Session 8: Discussion on Low Carbon Adaptation Research Development Strategy and Session 5: Poster and reception Stakeholder Dialogue Session 9: Discussion on research collaboration among Asian countries Session 10: Closing Dinner 3
Discussions at Session 8 & 9 • Session 8: Discussion on Low Carbon Development Strategy and Stakeholder Dialogue • How to proceed activities on model implementation. • Session 9: Discussion on research collaboration among Asian countries • How to collaborate among the AIM team and proceed new research topics. 4
Open symposium: Toward Decarbonized Society from Low Carbon Society • Venue: TKP Gardencity Premium Akihabara, Tokyo • Date: 14:00 – 17:00, November 20, 2019 • Program 14:00 Welcome Address (Mr. Mobuhiro Kino; MOEJ, Japan) 14:05 Purpose of this symposium (Dr. Toshihiko Masui; NIES, Japan) 14:10 Keynote speech (1): Activities of IPCC toward AR6 (Prof. P. R. Shukla; IPCC, WGIII) 14:30 Keynote speech (2): The transition to 1.5 (Dr, Jae Edmonds (PNNL, USA) 14:50 Keynote speech (3): Activities to realize decarbonization in Japan (Mr. Go Hibino; MHIR, Japan) 15:10 Break 15:20 Panel Discussion Short presentation 1 (Dr. Kiyoshi Takahashi; NIES, Japan) Short presentation 2 (Prof. Kejun Jiang; ERI, China) Short presentation 3 (Prof. Bundit Limmeechokchai; SIIT ‐ TU, Thailand) Short presentation 4 (Prof. Rizaldi Boer; IPB, Indonesia) Prof. P. R. Shukla; Dr, Jae Edmonds; Mr. Go Hibino 16:55 Closing address (Dr. Tsuyoshi Fujita; NIES, Japan) 5
The 25th AIM International Workshop • Quarter of a century has already passed. http://www.nies.go.jp/kanko/kankyogi/74/74.pdf 6
Brief History of AIM and its application AIM/Enduse [Japan] and application to Asian countries AIM/Enduse [Global] AIM/CGE [Global] AIM/CGE [Japan] AIM/Air Development Snapshot tool & ExSS of Sustainable AIM/Climate Low/Zero- Impact assessment models Carbon Society Carbon tax policy assessemnt in Japan based on AIM/Enduse and CGE Japan mid target / INDC Long-term GHG emissions scenarios IPCC SRES / RCPs / SSPs EMF IAMC International model comparison UNEP/GEO Eco-Asia MA Long-term LCS NIES 4th 5-yr plan NIES 1st 5-yr plan NIES 2nd 5-yr plan NIES 3rd 5-yr plan Center for CC Adaptation FAR SAR SRES TAR AR4 AR5 SR1.5 AR6 COP3 COP8 COP21 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 21 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 30 40 50 00 Long ‐ term LCS ‐ RNet Start of AIM AIM Training Japan UK Joint LoCARNet strategies Project (FY1990 ‐ ) WS (FY1997 ‐ ) Project ( ‐ FY2007) BOCM ‐ JCM Low ‐ Carbon AIM Workshop COP Side Event MRV Vision (FY1995 ‐ ) (FY2005 ‐ ) SATREPS ( ‐ FY2015) Fukushima LLGHG&SLCP Japan LCS Project Asia LCS Project 7 ( ‐ FY2018) ( ‐ FY2008) ( ‐ FY2013)
Integrated Analyses of Climate Policies for Simultaneous Realization of the Paris Agreement and the SDGs (ERTDF 2 ‐ 1702) Theme1 ： Global climate policy analyses Theme2 ・ 3 ： Japanese mitigation policy analyses Japan ・ Global ・ Mid/Long ‐ term Mitigation Long ‐ term [ ‐ 80% in 2050/ Collaboration targets [2 ℃ /1.5 ℃ ] net zero GHG in 20xx] with France and Germany Internatio Mitigation models nal model Mitigation and Various for national scale comparis Tool environmental stakehold analyses on development models for ers projects global analyses IPCC / ipbes etc Global scenarios Proposition of Domestic mitigation consistent with scenarios consistent integrated Paris agreement with global scenarios scenarios and SDGs Implication of LCS Social issues Sustainable policies on other confronted in Japan development social issues 8
Assessment of Further Reduction of GHG Emissions in Asian Countries and Benefit to Japan by Assisting their Reduction Efforts (ERTDF 2 ‐ 1908) Env. Basic Plan Future Investment Sub 1 Technology Transfer Benefit Strategy Foreign Direct Investment to Japan JAPAN (including JCM) Provision of GHG reduction credits 【CGE model】 Export of ene-saving goods Environmental quality improvement Countries in Asia 【ExSS & CGE model】 Effort of Japan Lifestyle change, Industrial structure change, Service demand to global GHG THA IDN emission reduction Assessment of Increased 2/1.5℃ target Synergy & trade-off CHN target macroeconomy GHG Long-term low Air pollution, solid IND reduction carbon development Assessment of wastes, land use, etc. VNM reduction in 2030 strategies in 2050 【Model improvement】 GHG reduction MYS potential BTN by assistance to Information collection and discussion on simulation results ： with experts in each country activities in Asia 【Enduse model】 Sub 2 Change of GHG Goals of this research： GHG emission Quantification of emission factors reduction target • Contribution to achieve 2℃ target by introducing • Benefits to Japan in Asian countries • Sustainable development advanced corresponding to by reinforcement of GHG reduction efforts technologies 2/1.5℃ target in Asian countries Global GHG emission pathways to achieve 2/1.5℃ target 【Global CGE model】 Sub 3
Training workshops since 24th AIM International Workshop • India: Enduse • China: Enduse • hosted by MANIT (Bhopal) • hosted by BUAA (Beijing) • 2018/12/3 ‐ 12/7 • 2019/6/27 ‐ 7/4 • back ‐ to ‐ back BUAA ‐ NIES Bilateral Workshop on Integrated Assessment of Health Co ‐ benefits of Climate Change Mitigation Policy 10
Policy dialogue • At LCS ‐ RNet in Rome and • AIM team supported policy LoCARNet in Beijing, we dialogues in Asia. discussed how to communicate • Thailand (following photos), with policy makers and other Indonesia, Lao, ... stakeholders. 11
Let's discuss our future research topics, policy dialogue, model training, etc. toward low/zero carbon society during the workshop. 12
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