National Likely General Election Voter Survey August 28 th , 2017 - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

National Likely General Election Voter Survey August 28 th , 2017 On the web www.mclaughlinonline.com

ML LL ND East 22 64 7 More Likely/Less Likely Re-Elect your Member of Congress: Midwest 22 62 10 “ Has increased the debt ceiling to spend more money the government South 26 59 8 doesn’t have, without any new constraints on future spending. ” West 19 65 11 Cont. Obama Pols. 32 52 10 Change Direction 17 71 7 70 Approve – Trump 26 64 7 Disapprove – Trump 62 20 61 12 Favorable – Trump 26 64 6 60 Unfavorable – Trump 21 62 11 Vote Pres. 2016 – Clinton 27 54 12 Vote Pres. 2016 – Trump 20 69 6 50 Vote Cong. 2018 – GOP 23 68 6 45 Vote Cong. 2018 – DEM 26 56 13 Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 11 65 10 40 Republican 24 66 5 Democrat 28 56 11 Independent 15 65 12 30 Liberal 36 49 10 23 Moderate 21 60 12 Conservative 16 74 6 18 20 No College Degree 19 64 11 College Graduate 28 59 8 12 11 White 19 67 9 9 10 African- American 30 48 12 6 Hispanic 35 54 5 Under 55 29 55 11 Over 55 13 75 6 0 Married 25 63 9 M OR E M uch Smwt LESS Smwt M uch N O D K/ R ef. LIKELY LIKELY D IF F . Single 28 55 11 National – August 2017 Men 29 58 10 Center for Security Policy/Eagle Forum Women 18 66 9

ML LL ND East 33 53 9 More Likely/Less Likely Re-Elect your Member of Congress: Midwest 24 58 10 “ Is bailing out the health insurance companies without repealing South 29 53 10 Obamacare. ” West 30 46 13 Cont. Obama Pols. 45 36 11 Change Direction 16 70 8 60 Approve – Trump 26 62 8 Disapprove – Trump 53 32 45 14 Favorable – Trump 27 62 7 Unfavorable – Trump 32 45 13 50 Vote Pres. 2016 – Clinton 39 36 14 Vote Pres. 2016 – Trump 21 67 7 Vote Cong. 2018 – GOP 24 66 6 38 40 Vote Cong. 2018 – DEM 39 39 15 Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 11 56 14 Republican 26 64 5 29 Democrat 41 39 13 30 Independent 19 57 14 Liberal 48 34 11 Moderate 28 49 14 20 Conservative 16 72 7 15 15 14 No College Degree 27 54 11 11 College Graduate 32 52 11 8 White 25 59 10 10 African- American 44 30 11 Hispanic 40 45 9 Under 55 34 48 12 Over 55 20 62 9 0 Married 28 56 10 M OR E M uch Smwt LESS Smwt M uch N O D K/ R ef. LIKELY LIKELY D IF F . Single 35 43 12 National – August 2017 Men 36 50 9 Center for Security Policy/Eagle Forum Women 23 55 12

ML LL ND More Likely/Less Likely Re-Elect your Member of Congress: East 31 51 11 “ Failed to stop the Obama policy of not only recruiting transgender persons Midwest 26 51 15 to the U.S. Military, but paying for hormone treatments and full sex change South 29 53 11 surgeries, plus salary and benefits while they are in “transition” and unable West 28 52 14 to serve. ” Cont. Obama Pols. 44 33 15 Change Direction 17 71 8 60 Approve – Trump 24 65 8 Disapprove – Trump 33 40 18 52 Favorable – Trump 25 65 7 Unfavorable – Trump 33 40 17 50 Vote Pres. 2016 – Clinton 39 36 15 Vote Pres. 2016 – Trump 19 69 8 Vote Cong. 2018 – GOP 21 70 6 40 Vote Cong. 2018 – DEM 39 36 17 36 Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 15 44 20 Republican 22 69 5 28 Democrat 39 37 17 30 Independent 23 51 16 Liberal 52 30 30 Moderate 27 46 46 20 Conservative 13 74 74 16 16 No College Degree 25 54 54 13 12 College Graduate 32 49 49 White 24 57 57 7 10 African- American 38 34 34 Hispanic 44 44 44 Under 55 34 46 46 Over 55 19 62 62 0 Married 26 57 57 M OR E M uch Smwt LESS Smwt M uch N O D K/ R ef. LIKELY LIKELY D IF F . Single 37 43 43 National – August 2017 Men 33 51 51 Center for Security Policy/Eagle Forum Women 25 53 53

ML LL ND East 38 48 8 More Likely/Less Likely Re-Elect your Member of Congress: Midwest 32 50 8 “ Refuses to repeal Obamacare mandates and taxes to reduce the cost of South 36 51 6 health care. ” West 38 47 10 Cont. Obama Pols. 58 28 7 Change Direction 18 71 5 60 Approve – Trump 28 64 4 Disapprove – Trump 45 37 11 Favorable – Trump 50 29 63 3 Unfavorable – Trump 44 38 10 50 Vote Pres. 2016 – Clinton 51 30 9 Vote Pres. 2016 – Trump 23 68 4 Vote Cong. 2018 – GOP 24 69 3 40 Vote Cong. 2018 – DEM 53 30 10 36 36 Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 19 51 16 Republican 26 66 2 Democrat 51 34 9 30 Independent 30 51 12 Liberal 63 25 25 20 Moderate 34 43 43 20 Conservative 18 75 75 16 No College Degree 31 53 53 13 College Graduate 42 45 45 8 White 31 55 55 7 10 African- American 46 33 33 Hispanic 46 41 41 Under 55 41 44 44 Over 55 28 60 60 0 Married 37 54 54 M OR E M uch Smwt LESS Smwt M uch N O D K/ R ef. LIKELY LIKELY D IF F . Single 40 41 41 National – August 2017 Men 40 49 49 Center for Security Policy/Eagle Forum Women 32 50 50

ML LL ND More Likely/Less Likely Re-Elect your Member of Congress: East 41 48 8 “ Voted to continue government spending including funding Planned Midwest 38 46 10 Parenthood abortions, without building the border wall on the Mexican South 37 50 7 border, defunding National Public Radio or trying again to repeal West 41 44 11 Obamacare. ” Cont. Obama Pols. 62 27 6 Change Direction 20 68 8 50 47 Approve – Trump 26 64 7 Disapprove – Trump 52 32 10 45 Favorable – Trump 27 64 7 Unfavorable – Trump 52 34 9 39 40 Vote Pres. 2016 – Clinton 58 27 8 Vote Pres. 2016 – Trump 23 66 7 34 Vote Cong. 2018 – GOP 23 69 6 35 Vote Cong. 2018 – DEM 58 28 8 Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 25 41 22 30 Republican 25 67 5 Democrat 54 32 10 25 22 Independent 36 45 12 Liberal 67 24 6 20 17 Moderate 39 42 12 14 Conservative 18 71 8 15 No College Degree 34 50 10 9 College Graduate 44 44 8 10 White 35 52 9 5 African- American 45 35 11 5 Hispanic 55 36 4 Under 55 44 41 10 Over 55 30 58 6 0 Married 39 52 6 M OR E M uch Smwt LESS Smwt M uch N O D K/ R ef. LIKELY LIKELY D IF F . Single 41 41 11 National – August 2017 Men 43 47 7 Center for Security Policy/Eagle Forum Women 35 48 10

ML LL ND East 29 45 20 More Likely/Less Likely Re-Elect your Member of Congress: Midwest 27 46 18 “ Failed to investigate President Obama and Secretary Clinton’s well South 28 49 15 documented collusion with the Russians. ” West 23 46 23 Cont. Obama Pols. 40 30 21 Change Direction 18 65 13 50 47 Approve – Trump 26 60 10 Disapprove – Trump 29 34 26 45 Favorable – Trump 26 61 9 Unfavorable – Trump 29 35 26 40 Vote Pres. 2016 – Clinton 34 31 23 Vote Pres. 2016 – Trump 22 64 10 Vote Cong. 2018 – GOP 24 62 10 35 31 Vote Cong. 2018 – DEM 34 33 23 Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 10 41 32 30 27 Republican 27 60 9 Democrat 34 37 21 25 Independent 18 45 25 Liberal 47 27 20 18 20 17 Moderate 23 43 23 16 Conservative 16 67 11 15 No College Degree 25 48 18 10 College Graduate 30 45 18 8 10 White 24 51 18 African- American 28 32 22 5 Hispanic 41 40 15 Under 55 32 43 18 Over 55 17 54 19 0 Married 25 52 18 M OR E M uch Smwt LESS Smwt M uch N O D K/ R ef. LIKELY LIKELY D IF F . Single 33 40 18 National – August 2017 Men 34 46 15 Center for Security Policy/Eagle Forum Women 21 47 21

ML LL ND More Likely/Less Likely Re-Elect your Member of Congress: East 41 49 9 Midwest 37 45 9 “ Failed to support President Trump’s “more careful vetting” of immigrants in South 36 48 8 order to protect the American people, especially against immigrants from West 38 42 15 areas with a strong terrorist presence. ” Cont. Obama Pols. 58 26 11 Change Direction 21 68 6 50 Approve – Trump 29 62 5 46 Disapprove – Trump 47 32 14 45 Favorable – Trump 29 63 5 Unfavorable – Trump 47 32 13 38 40 Vote Pres. 2016 – Clinton 53 27 12 Vote Pres. 2016 – Trump 24 67 5 33 Vote Cong. 2018 – GOP 26 66 4 35 Vote Cong. 2018 – DEM 53 28 14 Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 25 41 18 30 Republican 29 63 3 Democrat 51 31 13 25 Independent 32 46 14 20 Liberal 64 23 9 18 20 Moderate 36 40 15 Conservative 20 70 5 13 15 No College Degree 33 50 10 10 College Graduate 44 42 10 10 7 White 34 51 9 African- American 42 27 16 5 Hispanic 53 37 4 Under 55 43 40 10 Over 55 27 58 9 0 Married 38 51 8 M OR E M uch Smwt LESS Smwt M uch N O D K/ R ef. LIKELY LIKELY D IF F . Single 40 38 12 National – August 2017 Men 41 45 9 Center for Security Policy/Eagle Forum Women 35 47 10