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Multi-Hazard Early Warning Systems Gregory R. Carmichael WMO - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

WMO for UN New Urban Agenda Urban Integrated Services and Multi-Hazard Early Warning Systems Gregory R. Carmichael WMO Priority: Urbanization - Research and services for megacities and large urban complexes WMO Goal: Integrated Urban Weather,


  1. WMO for UN New Urban Agenda Urban Integrated Services and Multi-Hazard Early Warning Systems Gregory R. Carmichael

  2. WMO Priority: Urbanization - Research and services for megacities and large urban complexes WMO Goal: Integrated Urban Weather, Water, Environment and Climate Services to address Urban Hazards and Risks including: • poor air quality; • extreme heat/cold and human thermal stress, • extreme local winds; • sand and dust storms; • wild fires and smog haze; • urban floods; • sea-level rise; • energy and water sustainability; • climate change - 75% GHG emission • associated public health problems caused by the above • Through research to service actions across WMO (GAW, WWRP, WCRP) and beyond

  3. Growing number of applications/services involve atmospheric composition Simplified impact cascade for heat/air pollution. Blue/green shows cascade of physical processes and relevant parameters. Beige/brown are 1 st & 2 nd order socio-economic impacts. Red shows human impacts.

  4. Elements of the Global Atmospheric Watch (GAW) Programme

  5. WMO GAW Urban Research Meteorology and Environment Project (GURME) • To enhance capabilities of MeteoServices in providing urban- environmental forecasting and air quality services • To better define meteorological and air quality measurements focusing specifically on those that support urban forecasting • To provide cities with easy access to information on measurement and modeling techniques • To promote city pilot projects to demonstrate successful expanding MeteoServices into urban GURME SAG Chair V. Bouchet, ECCC environment issues

  6. WMO pilot studies and demonstration cities Moscow Toronto IG3IS: Paris SURF: Beijing WISE: Seoul TOMACS: Tokyo Shanghai Hong Kong Mexico City SAFAR: Indian cities Accra Jakarta Cape Town Santiago Buenos Aires Urban agglomerations at risk of multiple natural hazards (2025) United Nations 2012 Priorities in development of Guidelines and demonstration for cities: Integrated Urban Weather, Water, Environment and Climate Services • • Multi-Hazard Early Warning Systems • Focus on impact based forecast and risk based warnings

  7. METROPOLITAN AIR QUALITY AND WEATHER FORECASTING SERVICES SAFAR project, India Beig et al., 2015 Air Quality Monitoring AIR-Now & Web Portal Weather Monitoring AIR-Tomorrow Emission inventory Development Weather -Now Surface topography & land use study E-mail Alerts & -Tomorrow WEATHER AIR QUALITY FORECAST FORECAST MODELING Health Advisories Supercomputer SMS Alerts Translate PRODUCTS Science to Public S ERVICES City Pollution Digital Display Maps BENEFIT TO END -USER RESEARCH • Explore Chemical-Weather • Protecting Human Health • Improve Weather & AQ Forecasting Skill • Agricultural yield Benefits to Farmers UV Index- TV /Radio • Development of Emission scenario • Awareness of impact of AQ & Weather Skin Advisory • Short Term Climate Change • Basis for mitigation strategies

  8. SAFAR-PRODUCTS TO SOCIETY SUN’S AIR QUALITY HARMFUL – TOMORROW RADIATION -HEALTH (UVI) & SKIN ADVISORIES ADVISORIES TEMPERATURE , EDUCATIONAL WEATHER MUMBA HUMIDITY, SLOGANS I WIND SPEED, -CURRENT WIND FOR DIRECTION, AND SOLAR MITIGATION TOMORROW RADIATION, RAINFALL LOCATION SPECIFIC HIGH TIDES/ EXTREME LOW TIDES, POLLUTION IN COASTAL & WEATHER AREAS ALERTS

  9. WMO Sand and Dust Storm Warning Advisory and Assessment System (SDS-WAS)  Objectives:  To enhance the ability of countries to deliver:  timely and quality forecasts of sand and dust storms,  observations of aerosols: sand and dust  information and knowledge to users through an international partnership of research and operational experts and users  Three Regional Nodes (North Africa, Europe and Middle East Node, (East) Asian Node and Pan-American Node) provide SDS global and regional forecasts for 72 hours.  First Operation Centre opened in Spain: The Barcelona Dust Forecast Centre was inaugurated in 2014.  Steering Committee : to ensure the global coordination activity on SDS-WAS and collaboration with other Agencies (UNEP, UNCCD, WHO). Web: http://www.wmo.int/sdswas

  10. Regional Vegetation Fire and Smoke Pollution Warning and Advisory System (VFSP-WAS) Interested countries are welcome !

  11. Integrated Service Delivery on Weather and Climate including Supporting Research for Megacity and in Urban Areas, WMO Priority Area as a response action to UN New Urban Agenda • Cg-17 Resolution 9.8: Establishing WMO Cross-cutting Urban Focus • WMO GAW APP, GURME SAGs, IGIS, WWRP, WCRP • Guide for Urban Integrated Services • Input to HABITAT-III conference DRR, Xu Tang

  12. WMO for Integrated Urban Services

  13. WMO for Integrated Urban Services Success Requires Collaboration Beyond Our Boundaries!

  14. World Climate Applications and Service (WCAS) • heat wave health early warning systems • climate services for renewable energy and climate-resilient energy systems • capacity development for implementation of climate-services. • Climate Services Information System (CSIS) including products, operational practices and toolkits including for the urban sector • Climate risk and sector -specific climate indices • Guidance on climate risk management • User interface for climate information • Tailored climate information • Regional and national climate outlook forums with possibility for urban sector Engagement.

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