Modeling S Southern N Nevad ada’s a’s Homeless R ss Resp sponse se S Syst stem System Modeling Results AB73 July 23, 2020
Int ntroductions ns Katie P e Pet eter erson & & Ashley ey Barker er T Tolman - Cloud udbur urst Susan S Sta tarrett tt - CSH SH
Southern Nevada’s coordinated response system ensures that homelessness is rare, brief, one-time and equitably addressed. Homelessness is prevented as frequently as possible. All people have a safe, stable place to call home.
Urgenc ncy o of Reho housing ng There are two main goals in our new COVID world: 1. Mitigate the spread of COVID-19 2. Rehouse as many people as quickly as possible to save lives All other “business as usual” CoC work should be put on hold.
New ew R Res esources es to S Support the e Reh ehousing Strateg egy There has never been a better opportunity to take advantage of this influx of money to acquire new property and fill in many of the housing gaps in the homeless response system in Southern Nevada.
Expectations ons f for or S Sys ystem Mod odeling ng S trat ategical ally c coordinat ate homeless system planning and implementation Interventions address crisi sis s needs to reduce homelessness and includes resources and services to connect people to permane nent nt ho hous using ng The output from the system modeling process will be used to gui uide de strategic planni nning ng a and f nd fundi unding ng de decisions ns for existing and new funding
Assumptions ons in S n Sys ystem Mod odeling ng ● Our system already makes assumptions ● The System Modeling process tries to help you make intentional, smarter assumptions ● Use real-time B.A.D. (Best Available Data) as much as possible ● Plus use real-life experience as much as possible You c ou cannot nnot w wait for or the he p perfect! Prevent nting ng and E nd Endi nding ng Hom omelessne ness is an a n art not not a a scienc nce. The here i is no p no perfect for ormul ula for or doi doing ng thi his.
This i s is a s a process. ss... ● Processes mean that they happen over and over and over again ● This is not a one-time thing ● The CoC’s ROLE and GOAL is to constantly (at least every year) evaluate what at you have implemented from the model, how how m muc uch you have implemented from the model, and how how well you have implemented ● Review your Best Available Data (in-flow, # of units/services, # of people served, annualized number) ● Make revisions to your model as needed ● Make revisions to your transition/conversion plan as needed
Souther ern Nev evada’s S System em Model eling R Res esults
Long ong-Ter erm M Model eling & & R Rea eal-Tim ime M Modelin ing Process we have gone through the past few months is a long ong-ter erm mod odeling ng process - develop the ideal system and work over the next 5 years to get there - by developing new models and increasing resources to create new beds/units/vouchers. Because of the public health crisis we are in right now and the provision of Stimulus Funding, there is an opportunity to accelerate housing placements right now. We model the resources needed by developing a real al-time e model el.
Re Real-Time M e Model eling R Res esults Ye Year 1 1
Rehou housing ng Strategy G y Goa oals 2,741 People Currently Experiencing Homelessness ● 1,076 Persons Unsheltered ● 972 People in Shelters ● 550 People in Transitional Housing ● 143 Served in Non-Congregate Shelter 250 People Diverted
Coor oordina nated I Inve nvestment nt Plan Intervention Total Cost Needed Existing Resources Needed Resources Outreach $2,844,944 $2,845,056 Targeted Diversion $1,998,000 $6,983,939* NCS $374,374 FEMA Request Emergency Shelter $4,815,288 $6,098,454 $2,599,412 ! Transitional Housing $1,320,000 $22,360,932 # Rapid Re-Housing $53,743,690 $31,382,758 PSH $14,665,332 $14,907,586 System Capacity Goals $21,361,500 $1,600,000 $19,761,500 *Includes Jurisdiction Prevention Funds ! Does not include GPD for Veterans # Includes SSVF RRH dollars for eligible Veterans
Resou ource I Inve nvent ntor ory y - CARES A Act R Resources Resource Amount Allowable Uses ESG CV $28,144,652 Prevention, Outreach, Shelter, Rapid Rehousing CDBG CV $9,795,432 Short-term Rental Assistance, Damages/Rehab for Rental Properties Coronavirus $413,948,900 Acquisition, Rental Assistance, Targeted Relief Funds Prevention, Diversion, FEMA match, etc. https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/136/Coronavirus-Relief- Fund-Frequently-Asked-Questions.pdf
Summa mmary To permanently rehouse 2, 2,741 741 people experiencing homelessness in Southern Nevada today - you need ~$80M $80M You already have the resources to do that! Now you need to… ● Allocate resources accordingly ● Speed up your housing placements ● Implement the System Capacity Goals
Lo Long-Ter erm M Model el R Res esults Ye Year 2 2 & Ye Year 5 5
Rehou housing ng Strategy y for or Year 2 Annualized Number - Those housed from Year 1/Real-Time Model 10,118 AWOC 1,574 Family Households/3,777 Persons in Families 705 Youth and Young Adults Targeted Prevention - 1,500 per year/reduce inflow Operate 500 NCS/I&Q beds each year System Capacity: Acquisition/Rehab, Landlord Mitigation Fund, Coordinated Entry and Housing Navigation, Data Management
Res esources es Need Needed ed - Gaps Su Summary Intervention # Served Total Cost Current Resources Total Funding Gap Outreach 8,760 $3,959,520 $2,845,056 $1,114,464 Diversion 6,072 $27,324,000 $50,000 $27,274,000 Emergency Shelter 8,031 $14,826,421 $6,067,254 $8,759,167 Well-Being Respite 432 $3,525,120 $0 $3,525,120 Transitional 2,213 $26,333,851 $15,573,484* $10,760,367 Rapid Rehousing 5,036 $107,351,919 $24,335,799* $83,016,120 PSH 2,372 $72,170,472 $14,907,586 $57,262,886 Well-Being Respite+ 230 $11,417,200 $0 $11,417,200 Shallow Subsidies $1,282 $5,560,468 $0 $5,560,468
Inven entory Need Needed ed - Gaps Su Summary Intervention # Served/ # of Beds/Units Needed Current Gap in Inventory Year based on Turnover Inventory Diversion 6,072 6,072 11 6,061 Emergency Shelter 8,031 981 1172 (191) Well-Being Respite 432 72 0 72 Transitional 2,213 1,409 541 868 Rapid Rehousing 5,036 4,081 192 3,889 PSH 2,372 1,687 (Turnover of 30% 2,284 /1,479 for 882 each year) Veterans Only Well-Being Respite+ 230 230 0 230 Shallow Subsidies 1,282 1,282 0 1,282
Res esources es Need Needed ed - Summa mmary To serve and rehouse 14, 14,600 600 people a year Need $304, $304,554, 554,971 971 This includes prevention, NCS , and system capacity costs Current Annual System Investment is $70, $70,713, 713,118 118 Gap in Funding = $233, $233,841, 841,853 853
Wha hat d doe oes a all of of t thi his mean? n? ● Exciting opportunity with the CARES Act funding to make a huge impact in your homeless system and rehouse as many people as possible in Year 1 ● Focus going forward needs to be on increasing resources to permane nent ntly hous house p peop ople and inc ncreasing ng p perfor ormanc nce (i.e. reducing lengths of stay)
Quest stions & Answ swers
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