Marion C n County HB 3194 3194 P Prese sentation Mike Schmidt - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Marion C n County HB 3194 3194 P Prese sentation Mike Schmidt Oregon Criminal Justice Commission December 8, 2015

Key p y provisions of s of H HB 319 3194: S : Sentencing • Probation for all Marijuana offenses • Exceptions: Manufacture or Delivery w/in 1000 feet of a school & Delivery to a minor. • Probation for Felony Driving While Suspended • Exceptions: Murder / Manslaughter / Criminally Negligent Homicide / Assault with serious physical injury / Aggravated vehicular Homicide / Aggravated Driving While Suspended. • Robbery in the Third & Identity Theft • Presumptive sentence reduced to 18 months prison from 24 months in prison.

Key p y provisions of s of H HB 319 3194: S : Sentencing • Drug delivery & manufacturing sentences. • ORS 475.933 repealed until 2023. • Gives judges ability to give optional probation on drug offenses even where the person has previous convictions for the same or similar drug offenses. • Transition Leave • The final 90 days of a prison sentence may be served in the community under certain circumstances. • Department of Corrections identifies eligible offender and works with community to which they will be released to set rules and a transition plan .

Key p y provisions of s of H HB 319 3194: Justice ce R Reinvestment Program • Establish the Grant Review Committee to write rules for future JRI grant applications and to make recommendations to the CJC for awarding future grants. • Commissioners of the CJC have the final say on LPSCC plans being funded. • Reinvesting money not spent on prison into community based sanctions, services and programs. • Marion County 2013-15 funding: $1,507,834. • Marion County 2015-17 funding: $3,534,081.

Prison Population and Forecasts

Prison Population and Forecasts 15400 15300 15200 15100 15000 14900 14800 14700 14600 14500 14400 14300 14200 14100 14000 Deer Ridge and OSP Minimum Open Junction City Opens April 2013 Forecast (No 3194 Impacts) Actual Prison Population April 2015 Forecast (full 3194 impacts) October 2015 Forecast (full 3194 impacts)

Why the increase in the October forecast? • From the Office of Economic Analysis and October 2015 Forecast Summary: • Diminishing impacts from HB 3194 sentencing changes • Changes in release profile • Slightly longer average estimated length of stay • Fewer intakes with an estimated short length of stay (0 to 12 months)

Prison Intakes Average LOS • The average estimated length of stay for all prison intakes has slightly increased Prison Intakes Average LOS 50.0 44.1 45.0 42.4 40.7 40.3 40.0 39.9 38.3 40.0 37.1 35.0 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 Aug 2013-Oct Nov 2013-Jan Feb 2014-Apr May 2014-July Aug 2014-Oct Nov 2014-Jan Feb 2015-Apr May 2015-July 2013 2014 2014 2014 2014 2015 2015 2015

Prison Intakes • The number of intakes with an estimated length of stay of less than 12 months has gradually declined Prison Intakes 1400 1200 1000 800 918 925 933 1027 856 880 1016 934 600 400 200 346 323 323 304 304 239 232 201 0 Aug 2013-Oct Nov 2013-Jan 2014Feb 2014-Apr 2014 May 2014-July Aug 2014-Oct Nov 2014-Jan 2015Feb 2015-Apr 2015 May 2015-July 2013 2014 2014 2015 0 to 12 month LOS More than 12 month LOS

-1,000 -900 -800 -700 -600 -500 -400 -300 -200 -100 0 7/1/2013 10/1/2013 1/1/2014 4/1/2014 7/1/2014 10/1/2014 1/1/2015 4/1/2015 7/1/2015 10/1/2015 1/1/2016 4/1/2016 7/1/2016 HB 3194 Total Estimated Bed Savings 10/1/2016 1/1/2017 4/1/2017 7/1/2017 10/1/2017 1/1/2018 4/1/2018 7/1/2018 10/1/2018 1/1/2019 4/1/2019 7/1/2019 10/1/2019 1/1/2020 4/1/2020 7/1/2020 10/1/2020 1/1/2021 4/1/2021 7/1/2021 10/1/2021 1/1/2022 4/1/2022 7/1/2022 10/1/2022 1/1/2023 4/1/2023

HB 3194 Estimated Bed Savings Robb 3 DWS ID Theft Drug M57 MJ STTL 0 Robb 3 -50 DWS ID Theft -100 Drug M57 -150 MJ -200 -250 STTL -300 -350

Prison Population and Forecasts by Gender

Female Prison Population and Forecasts 1375 1350 1325 1300 1275 1250 1225 1200 1175 1150 OSP Minimum Opens April 2013 (no 3194 impacts) Actual prison population April 2015 Forecast (full 3194 impacts) October 2015 Forecast (full 3194 impacts)

1190 1210 1230 1250 1270 1290 1310 1330 1350 1370 1390 1410 1430 1/1/2013 5/1/2013 9/1/2013 1/1/2014 April 2015 Forecast (full 3194 impacts) OSP Minimum Opens 5/1/2014 9/1/2014 1/1/2015 5/1/2015 9/1/2015 1/1/2016 Female Prison Population and Forecasts to Sept 2025 5/1/2016 9/1/2016 1/1/2017 5/1/2017 9/1/2017 October 2015 Forecast (full 3194 impacts) April 2013 (no 3194 impacts) 1/1/2018 5/1/2018 9/1/2018 1/1/2019 5/1/2019 9/1/2019 1/1/2020 5/1/2020 9/1/2020 1/1/2021 5/1/2021 9/1/2021 Actual prison population 1/1/2022 5/1/2022 9/1/2022 1/1/2023 5/1/2023 9/1/2023 1/1/2024 5/1/2024 9/1/2024 1/1/2025 5/1/2025 9/1/2025

Male Prison Population and Forecasts 14100 14000 13900 13800 13700 13600 13500 13400 13300 13200 13100 13000 Deer Ridge Opens Junction City Opens April 2013 Forecast (no 3194 impacts) Actual prison population April 2015 Forecast (full 3194 impacts) October 2015 Forecast (full 3194 impacts)

13000 13200 13400 13600 13800 14000 14200 14400 14600 14800 15000 1/1/2013 5/1/2013 9/1/2013 1/1/2014 Actual prison population Deer Ridge Opens 5/1/2014 9/1/2014 1/1/2015 5/1/2015 9/1/2015 1/1/2016 Male Prison Population and Forecasts to Sept 2025 5/1/2016 9/1/2016 1/1/2017 5/1/2017 9/1/2017 April 2015 Forecast (full 3194 impacts) Junction City Opens 1/1/2018 5/1/2018 9/1/2018 1/1/2019 5/1/2019 9/1/2019 1/1/2020 5/1/2020 9/1/2020 1/1/2021 5/1/2021 9/1/2021 October 2015 Forecast (full 3194 impacts) April 2013 Forecast (no 3194 impacts) 1/1/2022 5/1/2022 9/1/2022 1/1/2023 5/1/2023 9/1/2023 1/1/2024 5/1/2024 9/1/2024 1/1/2025 5/1/2025 9/1/2025

Statewide Prison Usage All Offenses October 2012 - September 2015

Total Prison Intakes Total Prison Intakes 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 Person Sex M57Prop/Drug/Driving Other Oct 2012-Sept 2013 Oct 2013-Sept 2014 Oct 2014-Sept 2015

Total Prison Months Total Prison Months 80000 70000 60000 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000 0 Person Sex M57Prop/Drug/Driving Other Oct 2012-Sept 2013 Oct 2013-Sept 2014 Oct 2014-Sept 2015

Statewide Prison Usage: M5 M57 P Prop operty rty and Drug O g Offenses October 2012 - September 2015

Prison Intakes Property and Drug Prison Intakes 1600 1389 1400 1299 1249 1200 1000 800 590 600 498 493 481 392 376 400 185 166 163 200 0 First Sentences Probation Revocations First Sentences Probation Revocations M57 Property Drug Oct 2012-Sept 2013 Oct 2013-Sept 2014 Oct 2014-Sept 2015

Average LOS Property and Drug Prison Intakes Average LOS 30.0 26.0 25.5 25.1 25.0 24.2 25.0 21.2 19.8 20.0 18.9 17.8 17.2 17.1 16.8 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 First Sentences Probation Revocations First Sentences Probation Revocations M57 Property Drug Oct 2012-Sept 2013 Oct 2013-Sept 2014 Oct 2014-Sept 2015

Total Prison Months Property and Drug Total Prison Months 40000 34661 35000 33083 31391 30000 25000 20000 15000 12820 12491 12040 9510 10000 7413 6454 5000 3113 2956 2787 0 First Sentences Probation Revocations First Sentences Probation Revocations M57 Property Drug Oct 2012-Sept 2013 Oct 2013-Sept 2014 Oct 2014-Sept 2015

M57 Property Sentence Types M57 Property First Sentences by Sentence Type 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 61% 64% 60% 50% 40% 4% 4% 4% 30% 20% 36% 34% 32% 10% 0% Oct 2012-Sept 2013 Oct 2013-Sept 2014 Oct 2014-Sept 2015 Prison Local Control Probation

Drug Sentence Types Drug First Sentences by Sentence Type 100% 90% 80% 70% 76% 78% 60% 80% 50% 40% 30% 20% 16% 11% 15% 10% 9% 7% 8% 0% Oct 2012-Sept 2013 Oct 2013-Sept 2014 Oct 2014-Sept 2015 Prison Local Control Probation

County Level Prison Usage October 2012 to September 2015

Marion County Total Prison Intakes Marion County Total Prison Intakes 250 200 150 100 50 0 Person Sex Other M57Prop Drug Driving Oct 2012-Sept 2013 Oct 2013-Sept 2014 Oct 2014-Sept 2015

Marion County Total Prison Months Marion County Total Prison Months 16000 14000 12000 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 Person Sex Other M57Prop Drug Driving July - Sept 2013 July - Sept 2014 July - Sept 2015

Marion County Prison Intakes Marion County Property and Drug Prison Intakes 180 164 162 160 160 140 120 100 93 80 73 66 60 52 47 41 40 30 28 24 20 0 First Sentences Probation Revocations First Sentences Probation Revocations M57 Property Drug Oct 2012-Sept 2013 Oct 2013-Sept 2014 Oct 2014-Sept 2015

Marion County Average LOS Marion County Property and Drug Prison Intakes Average LOS 35.0 33.0 31.6 31.6 30.9 30.0 28.2 26.5 25.7 25.3 25.0 23.8 21.2 20.6 20.0 18.1 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 First Sentences Probation Revocations First Sentences Probation Revocations M57 Property Drug Oct 2012-Sept 2013 Oct 2013-Sept 2014 Oct 2014-Sept 2015