Greater Ottawa Region Local Advisory Committee Meeting #2 – Item #3 September 22, 2015
Presentation Outline • Building on the presentation from Ottawa LAC Meeting #1: – Review the regional planning process – Revisit, in greater detail, the three approaches for meeting long-term needs – Consider key elements of the draft recommendation framework to be used for evaluating alternatives to meet the need to supply demand growth in South Nepean • Followed by a discussion on opportunities for community input 2
Overview of the Ottawa Regional Planning Process Needs Community Decision Implementation Assessment Engagement Making • Data gathering • Regulatory approvals for Dialog with community Working group • Technical studies wires projects members on options to recommendations based • Options for integrated • Programs, procurement address longer-term on planning criteria and solutions or other mechanisms for needs consideration of • Trigger projects to non-wires alternatives community input address near-term needs • Needs Input on A plan consisting Solutions are in Screening, and/or preferences for of wires project(s) place in time to meet the Region’s IRRP longer-term and/or non-wires • Identification of electricity supply alternatives electricity needs needs and options options 3
Approaches to Meeting Long-Term Needs: “Deliver Provincial Resources” • The traditional “wires” approach has From Ottawa LAC Mtg. #1: it’s beginnings in the earliest days of the electricity system, when In accordance with the Conservation First policy, a variety of demand-side and distributed mechanisms generation was located where (e.g. , CDM, DG, distribution solutions, localized DR, Smart Grid, storage, other emerging technologies) would be geographic hydropower considered to help manage local electricity needs and to avoid asset investments (e.g. station upgrades) Success depends on local community taking a lead role opportunities were located, and transmission and distribution spread Community Self-Sufficiency out to supply the entire province • Ontario’s installed supply Final plan may have capacity is currently about 22% elements from each of the approaches hydroelectric and 34% nuclear 1 Centralized Local Deliver Provincial Resources Resources • This approach remains the A centralized local supply resource may be Traditional transmission & distribution benchmark for providing reliable, developed. A variety of technologies are possible planning approach —develop “wires” to (e.g. , gas generation, CHP, district energy, hydro) supply the local area from system resources Lead responsibility depends on the type of cost-effective supply Utilities (transmitters and LDCs) play a resource and how it is procured lead role in development 1 Source 2013 LTEP Figure 16 4
Approaches to Meeting Long-Term Needs: “Centralized Local Resources” • Over the past few decades natural gas- From Ottawa LAC Mtg. #1: fired thermal generation has developed into an efficient, cost-effective and clean In accordance with the Conservation First policy, a variety of demand-side and distributed mechanisms resource providing valuable flexibility (e.g. , CDM, DG, distribution solutions, localized DR, Smart Grid, storage, other emerging technologies) would be for system operation considered to help manage local electricity needs and to avoid asset investments (e.g. station upgrades) Success depends on local community taking a lead role – Ontario’s installed supply capacity is currently about 26% gas 1 Community Self-Sufficiency • Gas-fired generation is more scalable than hydroelectric or nuclear power, Final plan may have elements from each of the approaches and can be located anywhere there is Centralized Local Deliver Provincial Resources Resources natural gas supply, which is naturally located near load centres A centralized local supply resource may be Traditional transmission & distribution developed. A variety of technologies are possible • Siting gas-generation near a load centre planning approach —develop “wires” to (e.g. , gas generation, CHP, district energy, hydro) supply the local area from system resources Lead responsibility depends on the type of Utilities (transmitters and LDCs) play a may be used as an alternative to resource and how it is procured lead role in development regional transmission supply – This approach has been used in the GTA 1 Source 2013 LTEP Figure 16 5
Approaches to Meeting Long-Term Needs: “Community Self - Sufficiency” • Over the past decade there has been significant growth in non-hydroelectric renewables, including a significant amount of distribution connected generation In accordance with the Conservation First policy, a variety of demand-side and distributed mechanisms – Ontario’s installed supply capacity is currently about 9% non - (e.g. , CDM, DG, distribution solutions, localized DR, Smart Grid, storage, other emerging technologies) would be hydro renewable generation (wind, solar PV, bioenergy) 1 considered to help manage local electricity needs and to avoid asset investments (e.g. station upgrades) Success depends on local community taking a lead role Community • Ontario’s Conservation First framework emphasizes Self-Sufficiency the use of cost-effective energy efficiency and demand Final plan may have elements from each response as supply resources of the approaches Centralized Local Deliver Provincial Resources Resources – Ontario’s installed supply capacity is currently about 3% demand response 1 A centralized local supply resource may be Traditional transmission & distribution developed. A variety of technologies are possible planning approach —develop “wires” to (e.g. , gas generation, CHP, district energy, hydro) supply the local area from system resources Lead responsibility depends on the type of Utilities (transmitters and LDCs) play a • Looking forward, it’s possible to envisage a time when resource and how it is procured lead role in development conservation and distribution connected generation may be feasibly and cost-effectively deployed at sufficient capacity to reduce regional reliance on the transmission and distribution system 1 Source 2013 LTEP Figure 16 6 1 Source 2013 LTEP Figure 16
What Would Each Approach Look Like in a Community? “Deliver Provincial Resources” “Centralized Local Resources” “Community Self - Sufficiency” A community that: A community that: A community that combines some or all of the following options to stabilize peak demand Is supplied from system resources Hosts a grid-connected natural gas requirements from the transmission system : located across the Province through a fired generating station to support network of transmission and community growth Is built to Energy Star high efficiency distribution facilities standards This may include the potential for a Requires transmission and distribution combined heat and power plant to Is part of a localized demand response infrastructure expansion, e.g. a new supply district energy or local industry program (eg. PeakSaver), controlled by transmission station and connection the utility line, to supply local peak demand growth Has rooftop solar panels on a large portion of residences and commercial buildings Has access to energy storage Is grid connected for energy supply and to maintain reliability and performance standards Or makes use of other emerging technologies 7
Plan Level Recommendation Framework • The Working Group will recommend a preferred alternative to supply demand growth in South Nepean after comparing the performance of alternative solutions using established planning criteria • 2007 Integrated Power System Plan (OPA) introduced six planning criteria for bulk and regional planning: – Feasibility – Reliability – Flexibility – Cost – Environmental Performance – Societal Acceptance • Comparing alternatives against specific, measurable criteria will highlight consequences, limitations and trade-offs 8
Measurable Attributes Based on 6 Broad Criteria - Preliminary Draft for Discussion • Please refer to Appendix Document 9
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