DEFENCE AND SECURITY COMMITTEE Lieutenant General Mark Schissler Deputy Chairman, NATO Military Committee 12 October 2013
Agenda NATO Operations ISAF KFOR Opportunities OOS OAE Patriots & The Future Challenges Uncertainty Capability Affordability Partnership 2
3
4
ANSF Casualties ISAF and ANSF Casualties 400 2013 350 2012 300 2011 250 200 150 100 50 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 2011 2012 2013 ISAF ANSF 6
Kosovo Pristina-Belgrade Dialogue
Operation OCEAN SHIELD
ISAF Afghanistan COIN Air Policing Baltic Sea & Balkans Air Space Management Patriots S. E. Turkey Defend, Protect Population KFOR Kosovo – Western Balkans Stability Operations Operation Active Endeavor Mediterranean Sea Counter-Terrorism NATO Operation Ocean Shield Operations Gulf of Aden, Indian Ocean Counter-Piracy 11
Uncertainty Afghanistan: COIN Mediterranean: Article V & Counter-terrorism Gulf of Aden & Horn of Africa: Counter-piracy Patriots: Conventional Mali 2012 Cold War 2009 Over 2001 1989 1995 2003-2011 1990-91 Syria 2011 Libya: Conventional Iraq (II): Conventional & COIN The Balkans: Stability operations Iraq (I): Conventional 12
Uncertainty: Syria & the Refugees 2.5 Years of War 502,827 Refugees 150,000+ Killed Turkey Cross borders fires into Turkey, Iraq, Lebanon Exacerbating Sectarian tensions Fighting in the ~2.1 Million Golan Heights Persons of Sharp divisions Concern 779,038 in International Refugees community Lebanon Severe Economic impacts throughout region 536,405 195,068 127,411 Refugees Refugees Refugees Egypt Iraq Jordan Data from the UNHCR: Remember these are only registered refugees!
Affordability Euro-Atlantic gap Intra-European gap 16
Capability Smart Defense and Connected Forces Initiative provide us with a roadmap and a vehicle NATO’s emphasis operational preparedness Interoperability CFI will help to maintain NATO’s readiness and combat effectiveness: expanded education & training increased exercises better use of technology Spearheading this effort is the NATO Response Force (NRF) Core Tasks Remain Collective Defense Crisis Management Collective Security 17
Partnerships 18
Partnerships Op ’ UNIFIED PROTECTOR’ – Libya 5 Partners / 26.500 sorties / 6.000 targets / 3.100 hailings 19
Questions ? 20
Back -ups 21
The Campaign &Transition Transition Resolute Support Regional Nationwide Mission Transition Transition Tranche 1 Tranche 2 Tranche 3 Tranche 4 Tranche 5 (May 2012) (Nov 2011) (Dec 2012) (Summer 2013) (Mar 2011) Milestone 2013 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 • SFA Conversion • 2014 Election • Train • ANSF Fielding • ANSF Fully Capable • Advise • ANSF Security Complete • Assist Chicago Summit • Election Preps • ISAF C2 Transfer Lisbon Summit (May 2012) (Nov 2010) ANSF IOC (352K) ANSF FOC Presidential/Provincial Elections Parliament Elections (April 2014) (August 2015) 22
Partnerships Crisis Management & Cooperative Security Global Partnerships Counter- United Nations Insurgency & Unconventional European Union Warfare Partners Across the Globe Counter- Chicago 13 Terrorism Forums for Cooperation Cyber Euro-Atlantic Partnership (EAPC) Security Partnership for Peace (PfP) WMD & Mediterranean Dialogue (MD) Counter- proliferation Istanbul Cooperation Initiative (ICI) Relationships, Increasing Awareness, Conventional Operations Understanding and Interoperability 23
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