Keeping Up with the Congressmen Evaluating Constituents Awareness of - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Background Data and Findings Conclusions . Keeping Up with the Congressmen Evaluating Constituents’ Awareness of Redistricting . Christopher N. Lawrence 1 Scott H. Huffmon 2 1 Assistant Professor of Political Science, Middle Georgia State College 2 Professor of Political Science; Director of the Social and Behavioral Research Laboratory Winthrop University 2013 Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association April 11–14, 2013 ✯ Palmer House Hilton ✯ Chicago, Ill. Christopher N. Lawrence, Scott H. Huffmon Keeping Up with the Congressmen

Background Redistricting and Its Consequences Data and Findings 7th District of South Carolina Conclusions . Redistricting and Its Consequences . Most research focused on elite effects— who is elected: Incumbency advantage. Policy representation of minorities. Descriptive representation. Limited research on effects on constituents . Reduced recognition and recall of candidates (McKee 2008; Hood and McKee 2010; Winburn and Wagner 2010). Reduced voter turnout (Hayes and McKee 2009). Christopher N. Lawrence, Scott H. Huffmon Keeping Up with the Congressmen

Background Redistricting and Its Consequences Data and Findings 7th District of South Carolina Conclusions . Redistricting and Its Consequences . Most research focused on elite effects— who is elected: Incumbency advantage. Policy representation of minorities. Descriptive representation. Limited research on effects on constituents . Reduced recognition and recall of candidates (McKee 2008; Hood and McKee 2010; Winburn and Wagner 2010). Reduced voter turnout (Hayes and McKee 2009). Christopher N. Lawrence, Scott H. Huffmon Keeping Up with the Congressmen

Background Redistricting and Its Consequences Data and Findings 7th District of South Carolina Conclusions . Redistricting and Its Consequences . Most research focused on elite effects— who is elected: Incumbency advantage. Policy representation of minorities. Descriptive representation. Limited research on effects on constituents . Reduced recognition and recall of candidates (McKee 2008; Hood and McKee 2010; Winburn and Wagner 2010). Reduced voter turnout (Hayes and McKee 2009). Christopher N. Lawrence, Scott H. Huffmon Keeping Up with the Congressmen

Background Redistricting and Its Consequences Data and Findings 7th District of South Carolina Conclusions . Redistricting and Its Consequences . Most research focused on elite effects— who is elected: Incumbency advantage. Policy representation of minorities. Descriptive representation. Limited research on effects on constituents . Reduced recognition and recall of candidates (McKee 2008; Hood and McKee 2010; Winburn and Wagner 2010). Reduced voter turnout (Hayes and McKee 2009). Christopher N. Lawrence, Scott H. Huffmon Keeping Up with the Congressmen

Background Redistricting and Its Consequences Data and Findings 7th District of South Carolina Conclusions . Redistricting and Its Consequences . Most research focused on elite effects— who is elected: Incumbency advantage. Policy representation of minorities. Descriptive representation. Limited research on effects on constituents . Reduced recognition and recall of candidates (McKee 2008; Hood and McKee 2010; Winburn and Wagner 2010). Reduced voter turnout (Hayes and McKee 2009). Christopher N. Lawrence, Scott H. Huffmon Keeping Up with the Congressmen

Background Redistricting and Its Consequences Data and Findings 7th District of South Carolina Conclusions . Redistricting and Its Consequences . Most research focused on elite effects— who is elected: Incumbency advantage. Policy representation of minorities. Descriptive representation. Limited research on effects on constituents . Reduced recognition and recall of candidates (McKee 2008; Hood and McKee 2010; Winburn and Wagner 2010). Reduced voter turnout (Hayes and McKee 2009). Christopher N. Lawrence, Scott H. Huffmon Keeping Up with the Congressmen

Background Redistricting and Its Consequences Data and Findings 7th District of South Carolina Conclusions . Redistricting and Its Consequences . Most research focused on elite effects— who is elected: Incumbency advantage. Policy representation of minorities. Descriptive representation. Limited research on effects on constituents . Reduced recognition and recall of candidates (McKee 2008; Hood and McKee 2010; Winburn and Wagner 2010). Reduced voter turnout (Hayes and McKee 2009). Christopher N. Lawrence, Scott H. Huffmon Keeping Up with the Congressmen

Background Redistricting and Its Consequences Data and Findings 7th District of South Carolina Conclusions . Before Redistricting . Cherokee 6 York Spartanburg Pickens Greenville Oconee Union Chester Lancaster Chesterfield Marlboro Anderson Laurens 5 Fairfield Dillon Kershaw Darlington Newberry Abbeville Lee Greenwood Marion Richland Florence Saluda Sumter Horry 4 McCormick Lexington Edgefield Calhoun Clarendon Williamsburg Aiken Orangeburg Georgetown 3 Barnwell Bamberg Berkeley Dorchester Allendale Colleton Charleston 2 Hampton Jasper Beaufort 1 Christopher N. Lawrence, Scott H. Huffmon Keeping Up with the Congressmen

Background Redistricting and Its Consequences Data and Findings 7th District of South Carolina Conclusions . After Redistricting . Cherokee 7 York Spartanburg Pickens Greenville Oconee Union Chester Lancaster Chesterfield Marlboro 6 Anderson Laurens Fairfield Dillon Kershaw Darlington Newberry Abbeville Lee Greenwood 5 Marion Richland Florence Saluda Sumter Horry McCormick Lexington Edgefield Calhoun Clarendon 4 Williamsburg Aiken Orangeburg Georgetown Barnwell Bamberg Berkeley 3 Dorchester Allendale Colleton Charleston Hampton 2 Jasper Beaufort 1 Christopher N. Lawrence, Scott H. Huffmon Keeping Up with the Congressmen

Background Data and Methods Data and Findings Findings Conclusions . Data Collection . October 2012 Winthrop Poll, sponsored by Winthrop University and the West Forum on Politics and Policy. Telephone survey conducted September 23–30, 2012. 981 complete or partial interviews with registered voters in district. Christopher N. Lawrence, Scott H. Huffmon Keeping Up with the Congressmen

Background Data and Methods Data and Findings Findings Conclusions . Data Collection . October 2012 Winthrop Poll, sponsored by Winthrop University and the West Forum on Politics and Policy. Telephone survey conducted September 23–30, 2012. 981 complete or partial interviews with registered voters in district. Christopher N. Lawrence, Scott H. Huffmon Keeping Up with the Congressmen

Background Data and Methods Data and Findings Findings Conclusions . Data Collection . October 2012 Winthrop Poll, sponsored by Winthrop University and the West Forum on Politics and Policy. Telephone survey conducted September 23–30, 2012. 981 complete or partial interviews with registered voters in district. Christopher N. Lawrence, Scott H. Huffmon Keeping Up with the Congressmen

Background Data and Methods Data and Findings Findings Conclusions . Awareness of the New District . Some awareness of redistricting; lower awareness of being in new district. 33.5% of respondents unaware of redistricting. 39.5% of respondents aware of redistricting and aware they were in a new district. Low ability to identify counties in/not in new district ( > 50% don’t know). Christopher N. Lawrence, Scott H. Huffmon Keeping Up with the Congressmen

Background Data and Methods Data and Findings Findings Conclusions . Awareness of the New District . Some awareness of redistricting; lower awareness of being in new district. 33.5% of respondents unaware of redistricting. 39.5% of respondents aware of redistricting and aware they were in a new district. Low ability to identify counties in/not in new district ( > 50% don’t know). Christopher N. Lawrence, Scott H. Huffmon Keeping Up with the Congressmen

Background Data and Methods Data and Findings Findings Conclusions . Awareness of the New District . Some awareness of redistricting; lower awareness of being in new district. 33.5% of respondents unaware of redistricting. 39.5% of respondents aware of redistricting and aware they were in a new district. Low ability to identify counties in/not in new district ( > 50% don’t know). Christopher N. Lawrence, Scott H. Huffmon Keeping Up with the Congressmen

Aldrich-Nelson R-sq. (Intercept) Political awareness Knowledge items Age Female (1/0) ePRE Black (1/0) Knew district existed Education Knew was in district ePCP N Log-likelihood Likelihood-ratio Iwr eval of knowledge Income Background Data and Methods Data and Findings Findings Conclusions . Awareness of the New District . − 4 . 843 ∗∗∗ − 3 . 382 ∗∗∗ (0 . 559) (0 . 523) 0 . 357 ∗∗∗ 0 . 314 ∗ (0 . 103) (0 . 133) 0 . 137 ∗ 0 . 252 ∗∗∗ (0 . 065) (0 . 070) 0 . 268 ∗ 0 . 420 ∗∗∗ (0 . 121) (0 . 108) 0 . 016 ∗∗ 0 . 008 (0 . 006) (0 . 006) − 0 . 197 0 . 015 (0 . 169) (0 . 179) 0 . 136 − 0 . 319 (0 . 205) (0 . 196) 0 . 421 ∗∗∗ 0 . 388 ∗∗∗ (0 . 079) (0 . 083) 0 . 141 ∗∗∗ 0 . 108 ∗∗ (0 . 039) (0 . 042) 0 . 182 0 . 193 171 . 807 ∗∗∗ 183 . 896 ∗∗∗ − 485 . 630 − 438 . 858 771 771 61 . 5 % 66 . 7 % 20 . 9 % 22 . 5 % Christopher N. Lawrence, Scott H. Huffmon Keeping Up with the Congressmen