KA KATY ISD Y ISD Dem Demog ographi raphic c Upd pdat ate - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

KA KATY ISD Y ISD Dem Demog ographi raphic c Upd pdat ate Dec ecem ember ber 20 2019

Numeric Change in Enrollment Fall 2013 to Fall 2018, Houston Metro MONTGOMERY WALLER HARRIS FORT BEND GALVESTON BRAZORIA Source: Texas Education Agency

Fastest Growth School Districts in Texas 2017-18 to 2018-19 Numeric Gain in Students Growth Enrollment Enrollment Rank District Name 2017-18 2018-19 Numeric Percent 4,409 1 HALLSVILLE ISD 5,077 9,486 86.8% 2 KATY ISD 77,522 79,913 3.1% 2,391 2,215 3 PROSPER ISD 12,133 14,348 18.3% 1,732 4 FRISCO ISD 58,450 60,182 3.0% 1,301 5 ROUND ROCK ISD 49,086 50,387 2.7% 1,298 6 LAMAR CISD 32,146 33,444 4.0% 1,257 7 CONROE ISD 61,580 62,837 2.0% 1,162 8 HUMBLE ISD 42,391 43,553 2.7% 1,093 9 ALVIN ISD 24,852 25,945 4.4% 1,029 10 TOMBALL ISD 15,933 16,962 6.5% 1,010 11 CLEVELAND ISD 5,574 6,584 18.1% 1,003 12 LEANDER ISD 39,028 40,031 2.6% 1,001 13 ECTOR COUNTY ISD 32,267 33,268 3.1% 1,000 14 NORTHWEST ISD 23,141 24,141 4.3% 937 15 FORNEY ISD 10,196 11,133 9.2% Source: Texas Education Agency

2017 17 DEMOGRAPHIC Demog mographic raphic Update date TRENDS

Added Students by Grade Group 2000 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 Elem Int HS

Annual Growth Rates 90,000 4.4% 85,000 3.1% 80,000 2.8% 3.4% 75,000 3.7% Enrollment 4.6% 70,000 4.1% 3.4% 65,000 2.9% 2.6% 4.2% 60,000 55,000 50,000 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Percent Economically Disadvantaged Texas School Districts with 30,000+ Students, 2018-19 Disadvantaged Total Percent of District Name Students Enrollment Enrollment 1 FRISCO ISD 7,543 60,182 12.5% 2 LEANDER ISD 8,116 40,031 20.3% 3 KELLER ISD 9,725 35,088 27.7% 4 ROUND ROCK ISD 13,993 50,387 27.8% 5 CLEAR CREEK ISD 12,112 42,205 28.7% 6 KATY ISD 25,168 79,913 31.5% 7 PLANO ISD 16,847 53,057 31.8% 8 LEWISVILLE ISD 18,155 52,218 34.8% 9 HUMBLE ISD 16,510 43,553 37.9% 10 10 CONROE ISD 25,396 62,837 40.4% State of Texas: 60.6%

2018-19 STAAR Passage Rates For Districts with More than 30,000 Students STAAR Passage Rate Rank District Name 2018-19 2018-19 2017-18 2016-17 2015-16 Enrollment 1 FRISCO ISD 60,182 90.2% 90.2% 89.8% 90.6% 2 KATY ISD 79,913 87.3% 87.2% 86.0% 87.6% 3 LEANDER ISD 40,031 85.2% 84.7% 83.3% 84.4% 4 MANSFIELD ISD 35,293 84.9% 83.6% 81.3% 81.9% 5 KELLER ISD 35,088 84.4% 83.7% 83.2% 83.4% 6 ROUND ROCK ISD 50,387 84.0% 84.3% 83.7% 87.0% 7 PLANO ISD 53,057 83.1% 82.4% 81.9% 87.8% 8 CONROE ISD 62,837 82.6% 82.6% 81.7% 84.5% 9 LAMAR CISD 33,444 82.6% 81.5% 80.2% 82.6% 10 10 CLEAR CREEK ISD 42,205 81.2% 80.2% 80.7% 82.9% State of Texas: 74.3% 73.1% 71.3% 73.3%

Percent of Students in Charters Fall 2018, Houston Metro, All Public Schools MONTGOMERY HARRIS FORT BEND GALVESTON BRAZORIA Source: Texas Education Agency

2017 17 EMPLOYMENT Demog mographic raphic Update date TRENDS

Annual Employment Trends September March September 6-Month Annual 2018 2018 2019 2019 2019 2019 Pct. Change Pct. Change Houston 1,107,905 1,136,240 1,129,012 -0.64% 1.91% Employment 4.1 3.5 3.7 Unemployment Rate Fort Bend County 367,178 374,014 376,594 0.69% 2.56% Employment 3.8 3.5 3.3 Unemployment Rate Harris County 2,204,433 2,246,447 2,260,812 0.64% 2.56% Employment 4.2 3.8 3.6 Unemployment Rate Waller County 21,816 22,242 22,354 0.50% 2.47% Employment 4.1 3.8 3.6 Unemployment Rate Source: Texas Workforce Commission

[10:32 AM] Justin Silhavy the new one will be called Empire West. Saving the article in Katy and Lamar ► New ew Empl ploymen oyment t Epi picen enter ters Evolv lvin ing ► Comme mmerci rcial al Expa pans nsio ion n in in Ka Katy ► E-Comme ommerce/Di rce/Distri tribution bution Hubs -- -- In & & Nea ear KI KISD ► More e Jobs s Ins nsid ide the e Dis istrict ict

2017 17 HOUSING Demog mographic raphic Update date TRENDS

HOUSING PROJECTIONS METHODOLOGY ► Analyze by Land Use Zones (see map) ► Assess Impacts of Local Ordinances ► Study Future Infrastructure ► Assess Inhibitors to Growth ► Project New Housing by Yr. for Every Subdivision & Apt.

55% - Developed or developing 21% - Planned or likely to develop 24% - Not developable Density of Development Square Miles Left to Develop NE – 3.4 SE – 0.6 SW – 2.4 NW – 29.3

Roadway Improvements Future Improvements/Widening

► 3Q1 Q19 annual ual housing sing starts ts totaled d 2,589 89 th biggest ► KISD now 4 th t produce ucer r of homes out of 61 school distr tric icts ts in Houston ton area st in starts ► KISD was 1 st ts throug ugh h 2014 – but lost top rank ► Large gest t assemb mblag age, e, at 1,600 0 acres, , is now owned d by Xu Qi Qing ► No specific ific development ment plans ns ► Will dampen near-term term projections ections in large ge sector tor

► Thir ird d res eser ervoir oir now unlik ikel ely y to occ ccur ► More e im impr prov ovemen ements ts on ex n exis istin ing g dr drai aina nage ge channel els s and d for r stormw rmwater ater stora rage ge ► New ew lot t pa pads ds bei eing ng bui uilt-up, up, wit ith req equi uire- men ents in in flood ood pl plain in rais isin ing c g costs sts pe per lot ► Significantly higher % of new lots are 40’ to 55’ wide

Assessing New Development – Part I • Housing projections lost in “Northwest Katy”/Xu Qing parcel being replaced by nearby smaller tracts developing – 5 parcels that are 50 to 100 acres each - putting in infrastructure or have homes already underway New, smaller subdivisions include: • Grand Parkway at West Little York – 711 lots • West Katy Lakes – 700 acres • Lake House – in 3 LUZs • Katy Crossing – 689 lots • Katy Manor South – 700 lots • Mission Prairie – 220 lots • Bergama Vista and Raven Meadows – both under 100 acres

Fastest Growing Single-Family Developments Grand Parkwa } "W. Katy Lks." 619 Total y @ West } Jasmine Little 660Total York 186 413 } "Dollins" 660 Total Katy } 709 Total Katy Lakes Crossing 527 44 "Katy } Morton Crk. Ran. Investm 755 Total ents/Bo } Camillo Lakes 770 Total b Rob" 69 470 Cross } Bridgeland 920Total Creek 520 2 Tamarr } Cane Island 1,314Total on 437 78 Lin } 4,027 Total Family Elyson & - 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 Sweene y Estate 64 440 2024-2029 2019-2024

Bridg dgeland 920 lots Jasmine ine 660 lots Ely lyso son 4,027 lots Katy Ka y Lakes & West Gr. . Pkwy y @ W Lit ittle tle York rk PROJECTED 1,328 lots 599 lots SINGLE-FAMILY Camillo llo Lakes Katy Ka y Crossi rossing HOUSING 770 lots 571Total SF OCCUPANCIES Morton on Cree eek k Ranch Dol ollins 755 lots 660 lots 202 020 – 2029 2029 Cane Isla land 1,314 lots Cross ross Creek 522 lots

► 133% % increase crease in 65+ resid idents ents in 10 years ears ► Compa mpared red to a 56% increa rease se in Katy I.S.D. S.D. total tal pop. ► Now 14% are re millenn nnia ials ages 25-34 4 – up fro rom 11% in 2008 2008 ► Millennials lennials will l stru rugg ggle le to buy y most ost homes omes in K. K.I.S.D. S.D. ► Regenera generation tion is occur curri ring ng in a few w older der subdiv bdivisi ision ons s especially pecially those hose affe fected cted by Ha Harve vey

Multi-Family Housing ► 35% % of all future ture housin sing g unit its = MF un F unit its ► 11.1% .1% of curre rrent t stude dents s liv ive in e in MF un F unit its ► 15,108 ,108 total al MF u F uni nits ten entat ative ively ly pr projecte jected, , but t under der-projected projected in latt tter er years s because ause of unknown “pop - up” locations ► Almost ost cer erta tain in to be e more e un unit its as as KI KISD buil ilds ds out and d MF dem F demand d in increa eases es

LUZ Name Units 17 Pine Forest 34 18 Brighton 7 29B Abbey at Barker Cypress 3 29B Broadstone at Barker Cypress 60 29B Enclave at Cypress Park 6 29B Paramount 14 34 San Remo 88 Multi-Family 37A Inkwell on Greenhouse 275 42A Eleva 5 Complexes 47B Amberjack Estates 15 47B Kingsland West 27 Now Being 47B Vue Kingsland 4 48 Broadstone Energy Park 63 48 H6 2 Occupied 49 Grand on Memorial 70 49 Marquis on Memorial 3 49 Parkside at Memorial 32 61E Broadstone Falcon Landing 5 78D Grand Fountains 9 79B Marquis at Grand Lakes 6 79F Marquis at Cinco Ranch 10 Total: 738

Multi-Family Complexes Under Construction LUZ Name Units 12A Davis Dev. 320 NW 23C Crawford at Grand Morton 330 12B Seville at Clay Crossing 310 24A Elation 320 NE 37A Orion Group 280 37A Territory at Greenhouse 345 37B The Vic at Park Ten 350 42B Lenox Crossing 330 42B Tessa Katy 250 SW 42C Grand Reserve 380 53 Boardwalk Lofts 620 73I ParkLane Fulshear 290 Total: 4,125