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IPWEA NZ CONFERENCE 2020 DUNEDIN ustainability: Life, Liberty and the Pursuit of Negative Entropy S Part 2: Transportation, R esiliency and Artificial Intelligence John Milne Clark County Public Works Vancouver, WA, US A IPWEA NZ


  1. IPWEA NZ CONFERENCE 2020 DUNEDIN ustainability: “ Life, Liberty and the Pursuit of Negative Entropy” S Part 2: Transportation, R esiliency and Artificial Intelligence John Milne Clark County Public Works Vancouver, WA, US A

  2. IPWEA NZ CONFERENCE 2020 DUNEDIN EDINBUR EDINBURGH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FUR GH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FURTHER THER

  3. IPWEA NZ CONFERENCE 2020 DUNEDIN Learn Learnin ing Ob g Objectiv jectives es Ob Objectiv jective 1 e 1 - Use the “entropy-based resource management” organizing principle to help your community achieve a sustainable economy and environment Ob Objectiv jective 2 e 2 - Develop holistic, multi-resource strategies for sustainability, resiliency (to climate change) and the advent of driverless cars and autonomous vehicles Ob Objectiv jective 3 e 3 - Assess how you might collaborate with other disciplines to integrate your current research into a comprehensive and effective sustainability strategy

  4. IPWEA NZ CONFERENCE 2020 DUNEDIN Does y Does you our c r commu ommunity n ity need eed a..... a..... • Sustainable land use plan? • Sustainable roadway grid? • Strategy for climate change? • Strategy for driverless cars? EDINBURGH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FUR EDINBUR GH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FURTHER THER

  5. IPWEA NZ CONFERENCE 2020 DUNEDIN Ar Are y e you our..... • Commutes miserable? • Air quality alert days increasing? • Wetlands drying up? • Summer stream flows lower and more polluted? • Wells drying up? EDINBUR EDINBURGH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FUR GH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FURTHER THER .....entropy-based resource management is for you!

  6. IPWEA NZ CONFERENCE 2020 DUNEDIN Con Concep cept

  7. IPWEA NZ CONFERENCE 2020 DUNEDIN Sus Sustainability ainability Malthus – mee “M “Mr. M meet Mr t Mr. Smu . Smuts” ts” EDINBUR EDINBURGH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FUR GH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FURTHER THER http://centerforsi.org/index.php/2018/05/11/clark/

  8. IPWEA NZ CONFERENCE 2020 DUNEDIN En Entr trop opy-b -based ased r resou esource man ce manag agemen ement t • Natural processes always minimize energy loss and leave all resources in a state of minimum entropy afterwards • The resource is always maintained in its highest, most ordered state, at the highest energy level possible Try to create and maintain order, to “create negative entropy” , in all EDINBURGH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FUR EDINBUR GH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FURTHER THER things, in all places, at all times

  9. IPWEA NZ CONFERENCE 2020 DUNEDIN Natu Na tural Ex al Examp amples les 1. Snowpack 2. High groundwater Water in solid phase at the highest Water in liquid phase at the highest possible possible potential energy potential energy ….next best thing?? “Pu “Pump mp u up th the gr e grou oundwater (th er (then en p plan lant e t ever erywh wher ere) e) ” ”

  10. IPWEA NZ CONFERENCE 2020 DUNEDIN Th The en e entr trop opy-b -based ased r resou esource man ce manag agemen ement “ t “or organ anizin izing g princ principle iple”…. …... • Brings separate initiatives, covering multiple resources, together in a holistic sustainability strategy • Establishes order, not only on the molecular scale, but also in all other management, planning and regulatory operations. .........and does it quickly and cost effectively EDINBURGH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FUR EDINBUR GH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FURTHER THER

  11. IPWEA NZ CONFERENCE 2020 DUNEDIN Th The e e effect ective s e stor orage a e and f frugal u use of e of ou our n natural r res esou ources ces: • Use those resources we need to live sparingly • When you’ve got too much, store some for later when you’ll need it more

  12. IPWEA NZ CONFERENCE 2020 DUNEDIN Or Organizing p princi ciple?? e?? “Just roll the bloomin’ snowball down the hill!”

  13. IPWEA NZ CONFERENCE 2020 DUNEDIN Part 2 Literature Review Pa En Entr tropy-based tr -based transpo ansport rtatio tion n st strategies EDINBURGH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FUR EDINBUR GH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FURTHER THER

  14. IPWEA NZ CONFERENCE 2020 DUNEDIN es” Tr Transportation planning: “ A t A tale of e of t two en o entrop opies 1. Minimizing entropy in traffic management: Reducing energy use “About the analogy between optimal transport and minimal entropy”; (Gentil et al., 2016) 2. Maximizing entropy in traffic management; Optimizing choice in transportation options and routes “Maximum Entropy and Utility in a Transportation System”; EDINBUR EDINBURGH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FUR GH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FURTHER (Mazumber et al., 1999) THER

  15. IPWEA NZ CONFERENCE 2020 DUNEDIN es Oth Other en er entr trop opy-b -based ased tr traffic man fic manag agemen ement t t tech echniq iques 3. “Entropy in urban systems”, (Cabral et al., 2013) 4. “Concept of transportation entropy and its application in traffic signal controls”; (Zhou et al., 2013) 5. “Cost-minimizing choice behaviour in transportation planning”; (S.B. Erlander, 2010) 6. “Entropy-based transportation model; a geometric programming approach”; (Samata et al., 2003) EDINBUR EDINBURGH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FUR GH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FURTHER THER

  16. IPWEA NZ CONFERENCE 2020 DUNEDIN it! Her Here. e... h have a e at it EDINBUR EDINBURGH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FUR GH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FURTHER THER

  17. IPWEA NZ CONFERENCE 2020 DUNEDIN En Entr tropy-based tr -based transpo ansport rtatio tion n st strategies Application Ap on t to ot o other er cu curren ent i issues es EDINBURGH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FUR EDINBUR GH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FURTHER THER

  18. IPWEA NZ CONFERENCE 2020 DUNEDIN Transportation planning and land use Tr “Maximum Entropy and Utility in a Transportation System”; (Mazumber et al., 1999) “Both entropy and utility* can be adopted by skilful proponents to explain almost any form of transportation problem”. *Utility = benefit from making economic choices such as home and workplace location. Important in land use planning. EDINBURGH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FUR EDINBUR GH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FURTHER THER

  19. IPWEA NZ CONFERENCE 2020 DUNEDIN ange Resilien esilience t ce to clima o climate ch e chan Sustainability and resiliency are essentially two sides of the same coin, having essentially the same solutions: Electric vehicles: • use less energy (sustainability) • produce less greenhouse gases (resiliency) Low Impact Development techniques: • recharge groundwater supplies (sustainability) • reduce flooding (resiliency) EDINBURGH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FUR EDINBUR GH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FURTHER THER

  20. IPWEA NZ CONFERENCE 2020 DUNEDIN icles Driv Driverless c erless car ars an s and au auton onomou omous v s veh ehicles • Entropy-based transportation strategies can establish energy-efficient transportation networks, for all types of vehicles • In the vehicle , entropy-based (energy usage) algorithms can help optimize travel route choices EDINBUR EDINBURGH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FUR GH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FURTHER THER

  21. IPWEA NZ CONFERENCE 2020 DUNEDIN ce Smart In Smart Infr fras astru tructu cture an e and Artificial In Artificial Intellig elligen ence • Smart infrastructure can be the on-the-ground embodiment of well planned, entropy-based resource management systems • Artificial Intelligence software can make the operation and maintenance of smart, entropy-based public infrastructure easier and more efficient EDINBUR EDINBURGH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FUR GH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FURTHER THER

  22. IPWEA NZ CONFERENCE 2020 DUNEDIN En Entr trop opy-b -based ased r resou esource man ce manag agemen ement t “Back “Ba ck-t -to-b o-basics cs s sustainability” ” EDINBURGH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FUR EDINBUR GH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FURTHER THER

  23. IPWEA NZ CONFERENCE 2020 DUNEDIN “T “The Sustainable City” En Entr trop opy-b -based ased R Resou esource Man ce Manag agemen ement Plan t Plan Energy Water Air EDINBURGH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FUR EDINBUR GH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FURTHER THER

  24. IPWEA NZ CONFERENCE 2020 DUNEDIN Ener Energy gy Employ entropy-based transportation strategies to minimize the work needed for home-to-work travel and all other trips. Develop energy-efficient electric vehicles to perform that work as efficiently as possible. EDINBUR EDINBURGH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FUR GH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FURTHER THER

  25. IPWEA NZ CONFERENCE 2020 DUNEDIN Suppo Supporting rting str trategie gies: s: • Multi-modal transportation systems • Replace fossil fuels with renewabl e energy Implemen Imp lementation tion measu measures: es: • Sustainable land use plan (“Smart Growth” plan) • AI-enhanced “Smart City” infrastructure and operations Oth Other c er comp ompatib tible s le str trategies: egies: • Complete Streets, driverless cars, First Mile travel options, 20-minute Neighbourhoods, roundabouts, entropy-based limits on sprawl, etc. EDINBUR EDINBURGH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FUR GH LIKE DUNEDIN, BUT FURTHER THER • Solar energy, wind energy plus pumped storage, better batteries, artificial photosynthesis for fuel, etc.

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